Home » Dear bills, the January sting is coming: gas + 50%, electricity + 17%. But with efficiency and renewables savings of 1 billion

Dear bills, the January sting is coming: gas + 50%, electricity + 17%. But with efficiency and renewables savings of 1 billion

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ROME. If the state does not intervene to calm down, on January 1 the gas bill in Italy will jump by 50% more, that of electricity by at least 17%, perhaps by 25%. And in 2022, a typical family could spend 1200 euros more on gas and electricity. These are the accounts made by the experts of Nomisma and Consumerism for a hypothesis that is considered “realistic” by the economist Carlo Cottarelli while the government tries to find new resources in budget law to mitigate the sting on bills in January.

«The government – affirms Cottarelli – has put in 3.5 billion for a quarter, but it means going at an annual rate of 14 billion while now there are two or a little more. There will be an increase if the government does not decide to have the same level of subsidies ”. Salvini asks for an immediate cut in taxes on electricity and gas, and Legambiente explains that with renewables and energy efficiency, 1 billion euros could be saved between now and 2030 and the energy expenditure of buildings reduced by 50%.

The International Energy Agency (Iea) reveals that 2021 will break all records for the installation of new renewable sources. But this acceleration is still not enough to reach the COP26 goal of zero emissions around mid-century. Davide Tabarelli, president of Nomisma Energia, explains that «in the quarter October-December 21, the gas tariff, set by Arera on the basis of international prices, is 0.95 euros per cubic meter. But given the trend of the markets, without state intervention to calm down, in the quarter January-March 2022 it will reach € 1.40 ”, about 50% more.

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The rise in the global price of gas also raises that of electricity, largely produced from methane. «Today on the international markets electricity costs from 250 euros per megawatt hour to almost 300 – explains Tabarelli -. In the past it seemed like a lot when it cost 40-50 euros. Without state intervention, the tariff increase (decided in Italy by the Energy Market Manager, GME) will be from 17% to 25% on 1 January ».

The consumer association Consumerismo estimates that in 2022 the increases could bring the typical household’s spending on electricity and gas bills to 3,368 euros per year. An increase of 1,227 euros compared to the expenditure incurred in 2021. The association believes that the government should find at least 10 billion to avoid the sting on Italian families. On the same figure is also the Codacons. Prime Minister Draghi has already announced that the government will intervene to calm the bills. There are 2 billion in maneuver, and another 1 billion should come from the savings made on the tax reform. Yesterday Enrico Letta said that a state intervention on the matter is necessary.

Today Matteo Salvini agreed with the Pd leader, and asked for a “tax cut on electricity and gas bills”. Antonio Tajani reiterated that on dear energy there is “an identity of views and joint action” of the center-right. Just today Legambiente has returned to propose its recipe on the subject, even if it is long-term. According to a study commissioned by Elemens, distributed generation from renewables and energy efficiency in buildings can produce 1.1 billion savings in bills for consumers between now and 2030 and reduce energy expenditure in buildings by 50%.

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The International Energy Agency (Iea) has announced that 2021 will break all records of new renewable installed power, with 290 new gigawatts in the world. China will be driving the growth of clean energy (although it is prudent in leaving fossil sources). In 2026, renewables will reach 4,800 GW, the equivalent of all the current power of fossils and nuclear combined. Yet, according to the IEA, all of this is still not enough. To reach the goal of zero net emissions around mid-century, set at the Cop26 in Glasgow, double the new power expected between now and 2026 would be needed.

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