The Fed will announce the results of the interest rate discussion in the early morning of Thursday (17th). Investors will focus on the central bank’s view on reducing debt purchases, and will even announce the relevant timetable and scale immediately. Due to high inflation in the United States, the bureau may reveal that it had discussed reducing debt purchases at the meeting. However, in order to ensure that the U.S. job market can continue to recover, the bureau will not make an immediate announcement. Shock.
If there is no error in the above speculation, it is actually within market expectations.However, investors should also pay attention to three other aspects.interest rateTrend forecast changes; (2) The bureau’s latest forecasts on economic growth, inflation and unemployment; (3) Whether this interest rate statement is passed unanimously. If the Fed is biased towards the hawks, the dollar index has a chance to challenge the 91-91.5 level.
*It is expected that the pound exchange rate is still soft*
The epidemic in the United Kingdom has rebounded again, and the number of new infections per day has remained at around 7,000 in recent days. Prime Minister Johnson announced that the complete lifting of epidemic prevention measures will be postponed for four weeks. In fact, the last stage of measures include lifting all prohibitions on social distancing and reopening nightclubs and other places. Therefore, as long as the anti-epidemic measures are not tightened again, the impact on the real economy may not be great. Therefore, it is expected that the pound against the US dollar may still be soft in the short term, but it is expected that the 1.4050 level will be supported and the 1.42 resistance will be greater.
(Source: Economic Link China Station)
Article source: Economic Link China Station
Editor in charge: DF052
Original title: “Huihai Zeyan-Ye Zeheng” pay attention to the Reserve Board’s interest rate discussion, the extension of epidemic prevention measures expects the pound to repeatedly soften
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