The second-hand housing market in many places is heating up, “basically one house can be sold every day” | Second-hand housing market_Sina Finance_Sina.com

Original title: The second-hand housing market in many places is heating up, “basically one house can be sold every day”

Our reporter Peng Yan

“Recently, the number of second-hand housing purchases and customer sources have rebounded, and customers who held a wait-and-see attitude in the early stage have also started to sell. The demand for second-hand housing has increased compared with the previous period.” A real estate agent from Haidian District, Beijing Tell the reporter of “Securities Daily”.

Not only Beijing, but also the transaction volume of second-hand housing in many cities including Shanghai, Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Zhengzhou, etc. have risen sharply recently. Based on the reporter’s investigation, the transaction volume of second-hand housing in many places has stopped falling and rebounded, and some cities have even shown a continuous upward trend.

Xu Xiaole, chief market analyst of the Shell Research Institute, told a reporter from the Securities Daily that benefiting from the improvement in the credit environment, the current second-hand housing transaction volume has rebounded significantly. It is expected that the credit environment of the real estate market will further improve in the later period, and there is still room for optimization of mortgage interest rates and lending cycles in some cities. This will further promote market transactions at the end of this year and early next year to stabilize and rebound, and prices will gradually stop falling and stabilize after the transaction volume rebounds.

　　Intermediary trading volume increased

Mostly needed and improved houses

The rebound of Beijing’s second-hand housing market has been confirmed by real estate agencies. Zhang Lei (pseudonym) of a real estate brokerage company in Haidian District told reporters: “In the area we are responsible for in the past two months, more than 40 second-hand houses have been sold. Since December, 17 second-hand houses have been sold. Basically, one can be sold every day. Sets, the trading volume in the past two months is several times that of October.”

“Recently, there have been more customers looking at houses, and there are several waves of customers looking at cost-effective listings a day.” Another Beijing real estate agent also said that recently both buyers and sellers have been very active, especially those who are in demand and improved housing. .

“The trend of transaction volume has been relatively stable. In particular, the school district has more housing customers and replacement customers, supported by rigid demand.” A staff member of a real estate brokerage company in Shanghai told a reporter from the Securities Daily.

A real estate agent in Shenzhen said: “Banks have made loans very quickly in the past two months, and banks with large loan lines can basically make loans in half a month.”

“Since November, the second-hand housing market in Zhengzhou has shown signs of a slight recovery.” A real estate agent in Zhengzhou told reporters that as some banks’ second-hand housing loan interest rates fell and lending speeded up, some early-stage home buyers began to take the initiative again in the near future. Contact the inspection.

Although the transaction volume has risen sharply, the brokers interviewed in many places all stated that the transaction price has not changed too much and the market as a whole is stable. Wang Hao (pseudonym), sales manager of a real estate agency in Haidian District, Beijing, told reporters that the recent transaction price of the area he is responsible for has fallen by 15% to 20% compared with July and August. At present, the prices of second-hand houses are generally stable, but the bargaining space for customers is gradually shrinking.

“House prices began to decline in October, and the room for bargaining was the largest in October, with a bargaining room of up to 800,000 yuan. At present, the bargaining space for a single house source is about 300,000 to 500,000 yuan, and the bargaining space for owners who are sincerely selling houses is even greater. Some.” Wang Hao said.

From the perspective of the transaction cycle, the time from listing to sale of listings has been significantly shortened. “A house recently sold was sold in more than 20 days after listing.” A store broker of a large real estate agency in Beijing told reporters: “Currently, the house can be sold in about 3 to 5 months after listing. In general, it is much faster than before. The specific cycle mainly depends on the housing conditions and customer conditions.”

　Second-hand housing sales stopped falling and rebounded

The property market is expected to gradually stabilize next year

The recovery of the second-hand housing market has been corroborated by official data. “Securities Daily” reporter found that, including Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen four first-tier cities, the sales of second-hand housing in many places have stopped falling and rebounded.

Statistics from Centaline Real Estate Research Center show that after 7 consecutive months of decline in quarter-on-quarter data, Beijing’s second-hand housing transaction volume ushered in the first month-on-month increase in November. In that month, Beijing’s second-hand housing transaction volume was 11,851 units, an increase of 26.9% from the previous month. The number of online signings in a single day for multiple consecutive days exceeded 600 sets. As of December 22, the transaction volume of second-hand housing in Beijing reached 9,637 units in December, and it is expected to be between 13,000 and 14,000 units throughout the month.

At the same time, second-hand housing transactions in Shenzhen and Shanghai have also picked up recently. According to data from the Shenzhen real estate information platform, the number of second-hand residential transfers in Shenzhen in November was 2,211, an increase of 37.8% from the previous month, reversing the “seven consecutive declines” in Shenzhen’s second-hand housing market. Shanghai’s second-hand housing transaction volume has also shown a rebounding trend for two consecutive months. According to data from the China Index, the city’s second-hand housing transaction volume exceeded 14,000 sets in November, which is close to the same period in 2018 and 2019.

The reporter noticed that not only the second-hand housing market in first-tier cities is picking up, but the second-hand housing transaction volume in key cities across the country has also risen.

Xu Xiaole said that the continuous improvement of the credit environment benefited the second-hand housing market at the end of the year and helped to repair the bottom. According to the observation of the Shell Research Institute, since October, the second-hand housing transaction volume in Shell 50 cities has increased month-on-month for two consecutive months, releasing a signal of bottoming; the second-hand housing transaction volume has been improving since December, and the average daily transaction volume in the first half of the month was higher than that in November. The average level has increased, and market transactions are in the process of accelerating bottoming.

“Recently, policies have been blowing warmly, especially the central bank and local policies to maintain real estate stability, and policies to limit irrational downward adjustments in the market have continued to be introduced. In addition, the credit backlog in many cities has been significantly eased, and it is expected that housing prices will continue to fall inertially in December. “Zhang Dawei, chief analyst of Centaline Property, told a reporter from “Securities Daily”.

Zhang Dawei predicts that the market is expected to gradually stabilize in the first quarter of 2022, and first- and second-tier cities will be the first to emerge from the downturn.

Editor in charge: Li Tong