Electric cars will be cheaper to produce in Europe from 2027 and by 2035 they could reach 100% of sales, again in Europe. This is what he reports Transport&Environment (T&E), NGO for sustainable mobility, based on aor study that itself commissioned a Bloomberg.
The excessive price, not to mention out of market, is considered by many to be the main obstacle to the adoption of the full electric car (BEV) by motorists. In truth, this is not the case. A recent survey by AgitaLab, a think tank, revealed that, according to insiders, the price is decisive for 33%, but even more so is the availability of a parking space where to have the charging column (70 %) and a daily routine made up of trips within a range of 50/70 kilometers (45%).
But at least the price shouldn’t be a problem anymore, according to Julia Poliscanova of T&E: “Electric vehicles will be a reality for all new buyers within six years. They will be cheaper than combustion engines. ”
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Therefore, customers are warned: a few more years of patience and then they will be able to evaluate the purchase of an electric vehicle without having to pay more. They have been over a century with thermal engines, they will certainly be able to take another six years. from hybrids but also from plug-ins (plug + tank, that is zero worries and hassles). The study claims, in the words of Poliscanova, that: “With the right policies, battery electric cars and vans can achieve 100% sales by 2035 in Western, Southern and even Eastern Europe.”
At first glance it might appear an unrealistic forecast, detached from reality. Indeed, T&E has found an easy way to reach the 100% sales target: it asked the EU to tighten its emissions targets in 2020 and set 2035 as the end date for the sale of new polluting vehicles. . It is likely that they are right in the sense that if sales of thermal cars are not blocked, those of electric cars may never reach significant shares. Also because the builders, who are themselvesaiming to convince customers to get into a battery-powered car, absolutely not 100%, but only a percentage sufficient to avoid fines. A couple of years ago, Alix Partners, a consulting firm, estimated 4% of sales were necessary.
Without bothering with concepts such as market economy and liberal democracy, it remains to be seen to what extent the EU and especially the Member States consider these viable “Right policies”. For now, and perhaps this may be behind T&E research, the EU has just taken a step back, raising the nitrogen oxide (NOx) emission limit for Euro7 engines from 10 to 30 mg / km, simply making possible what would otherwise have been impossible to produce. Also because these excessive restrictions, in addition to destroying the competitiveness of industry and with it hundreds of thousands of jobs, would produce the so-called “Cuba effect”: the indefinite preservation of cars already in circulation, slowing down the turnover.