Summary
[Yuanda: How to treat the current theme performance as the index continues to differentiate]Today, the Shanghai stock index opened at a high point, opened high for a short period of time and then quickly fell back. The green disk fluctuated. On the contrary, although the GEM is also trending higher and lower, its performance is still strong. The growth rate remained above 1%. The differentiation between the indexes was once again affected by the differentiation between growth stocks and heavyweight stocks. Today, military industry led the gains, but without the cooperation of other weighting sectors, the impact on the broader market index was limited.
todayShanghai IndexThe opening was a high point, and it opened high for a short period of time and then quickly fell back. The green disk fluctuated. On the contrary, although the GEM was in a trend of rising and falling, its performance was still strong, and the growth rate remained above 1%. The differentiation between the indexes was once again affected by growth stocks. The differentiation of heavy stocks and heavy stocks affects the market today. Military industry leads the rise, but without the cooperation of other weighting sectors, the impact on the broader market index is limited, butthemeOn the other hand, semiconductors, photoresists, and new energy vehicles continue to perform, and the continuing opportunities for themes are still in the semiconductors and lithium batteries. Many stocks have set new highs one after another. People who have no holdings on the current themes have already reached the hype and dare not enter. , Those who have positions are hesitant to reduce their positions, so it is further revealed that the overall market opportunity is still small, the current theme hype may be coming to an end, and the operation needs more caution.
The RRR cut is coming, and the State Council will release a super signal!
According to news from the Chinese government website, Premier Li Keqiang presided over an executive meeting of the State Council on July 7 to make arrangements to further promote the efficient and convenient medical insurance services; determine a number of policy measures to strengthen the protection of labor rights in new employment forms; and decide to increase financial support to the real economy. Introduce measures to support carbon reduction.This time the regular meeting of the National People’s Congress will raise the issue of “applying RRR cuts in due course, etccurrency“Policy tools” have attracted widespread market attention. Since the beginning of the year, the official has repeatedly emphasized maintaining the stability of monetary policy, insisting on not flooding the floods, and keeping the total gate of the money supply in place. This has given the market an expectation that the monetary policy will not be loose or tight this year. , Coincides with the middle of the year, many institutionsResearch reportWhen looking forward to the monetary policy in the second half of the year, they all believe that there will be neither RRR cuts nor interest rate hikes in the second half of the year. However, the Standing Committee of the State Council “surprisingly” raised the RRR again, allowing the market to refocus on the possibility of monetary policy adjustments. Judging from the performance of the market before and after the implementation of the RRR cuts, there is no inevitable connection, but it has a positive impact on market liquidity. This time it is only an expectation. There is no definite RRR cut policy, and the impact on the market is limited.
How does the continuous differentiation between the indices look at the performance of the current subject matter?
Yesterday the index diverged, the GEM rose sharply, individual stocks rose more and fell less, but the market median increase was very low. The index rose but individual stocks were difficult to make money. Buying the right track is a bull market; buying the wrong track is just In the bear market, individual stocks and indices are severely differentiated. This still exists today. With the performance of individual stocks turning straight today, the number of gainers is only about 1,500. The current subject matter hype has entered the high-level game stage, and it is not a good time to participate However, the mid-line opportunities still revolve around technology, new energy vehicles, medicine, and consumption. The mid-line can continue to pay attention to dips.
(Article source: Yuanda)
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