Beijing time:2022-06-29 09:48
[NTD Beijing time on June 29, 2022]On June 28, Li Qiang was successfully re-elected as secretary of the Shanghai Municipal Party Committee, and his career has once again attracted attention. According to routine, Li Qiang is more likely to “enter the Standing Committee” (member of the Politburo Standing Committee) at the 20th National Congress, but some analysts believe that Li Qiang may also be downgraded due to the closure of Shanghai.
On the same day, the first plenary meeting of the 12th Shanghai Municipal Committee held a general election. Li Qiang was re-elected as Secretary of the Municipal Party Committee, and Gong Zheng and Zhuge Yujie were re-elected as Deputy Secretary of the Municipal Party Committee.
The position of secretary of the Shanghai Municipal Party Committee is recognized as a springboard for entering Zhongnanhai. Xi Jinping, Zhu Rongji, Han Zheng and others have all entered Beijing from this position. Li Qiang was once expected to be a popular candidate to become a member of the Politburo Standing Committee at the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China this year, and may even take over the position of vice premier.
According to the CCP’s practice, Li Qiang’s successful re-election this time means that he is more likely to enter the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, and he is also a key pawn in the personnel layout of Xi Jinping’s 20th National Congress.
However, Alex Payette, CEO of Cercius Group, a consulting firm specializing in China issues, analyzed the Financial Times in May that Li Qiang may not be able to follow his predecessor Shanghai, which has sparked public criticism. The secretary became a permanent member, but was reassigned or “de-escalated” to another party central body.
In order to control the epidemic in Shanghai, Li Qiang implemented the closure measures for more than two months, which resulted in heavy economic losses and calls for accountability, which also cast a haze on Li Qiang’s political prospects.
But Payette also said that if Xi sacrificed Li Qiang, it would trigger a “big earthquake” within the party before the 20th National Congress, undermining the thorny alliance system. Send “unsafe” messages to other Xi allies such as Chen Miner, Ding Xuexiang and Cai Qi.
At present, it is at the stage of fierce competition among factions before the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China. Xi Jinping’s decision to leave or stay as Shanghai secretary of Li Qiang is bound to set off a storm within the party.
French radio quoted an analysis on June 28 that the epidemic prevention in Shanghai is not that simple. Li Qiang is faithfully implementing Xi Jinping’s order to “clear and unswervingly”. If Xi lets Li Qiang out, it is equivalent to admitting that the clearing has failed. And Li Qiang announced a few days ago that he won the so-called “Shanghai Anti-epidemic Defense War”, which has actually released a signal.
Li Qiang’s successful re-election as secretary of the Shanghai Municipal Party Committee shows that the personnel layout of Xi Jinping’s 20th National Congress does not seem to be affected.
(Reporter Luo Tingting comprehensive report/responsible editor: Zhu Xinrui)
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