Home » Chen Weijian: The CCP misjudged the situation in the Russia-Ukraine War and got into trouble | Russia-Ukraine War | Russia | Ukraine

Chen Weijian: The CCP misjudged the situation in the Russia-Ukraine War and got into trouble | Russia-Ukraine War | Russia | Ukraine

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Chen Weijian: The CCP misjudged the situation in the Russia-Ukraine War and got into trouble | Russia-Ukraine War | Russia | Ukraine

[The Epoch Times, March 3, 2022](The Epoch Times reporters Luo Ya and Ning Haizhong reported) The war between Russia and Ukraine continues, the negotiations between the two countries failed, and Russia is facing large-scale sanctions from Western countries. China’s role in the war is drawing more attention. Analysis believes that in the Russia-Ukraine war, the CCP wanted to take advantage of the war, but got into trouble because of misjudging the situation.

Chen Weijian, the editor-in-chief of “Beijing Spring” and a senior New Zealand media person, told The Epoch Times on March 2 that in the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, Russia’s requirements are relatively high, such as disarming Ukraine, not participating in NATO, and recognizing Crimea , this is impossible. So the Russian negotiation is basically a gesture, or preparation for the next phase of the offensive.

Regarding the outside world‘s worries about a nuclear war, Chen Weijian believes that the pace of war has not stopped. If it continues to fight, it is not entirely impossible whether a nuclear attack will actually occur in the end. Because once the dictator is about to fail, it can use nuclear weapons completely; but NATO also said, don’t forget that NATO is also a nuclear power.

On March 1, the Ukrainian foreign minister and the Chinese foreign minister called on Beijing to act as a mediator for the ceasefire in Russia, but the Chinese side called on the two sides to solve the problem through negotiations.

Chen Weijian analyzed that there is now news that Putin had informed Xi Jinping before attacking Ukraine. Before the war, Xi Jinping expressed his support to Russia. But now the CCP has turned its back on Russia in a sense.

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“We didn’t know this before, and now Russia has disclosed the situation in this regard. Judging from the situation in the past two days, the CCP has a little guilty conscience. It also has reservations about the war of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, especially it It abstained from voting on the Security Council, which means that it has violated the covenant signed by Putin when he came to China for the Winter Olympics. This covenant is a back-to-back strategic relationship, and there are no restricted areas. Now it has abstained from voting.” He Say.

On February 25, China abstained when the UN Security Council voted on a resolution condemning Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which was supported by 87 countries. Russia vetoed the resolution. The United Arab Emirates and India also abstained.

On the other hand, on February 28, China held a low-key meeting to commemorate the 50th anniversary of the publication of the Sino-US “Shanghai Communiqué”. Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi delivered a speech via video, saying that “since the door of China-US relations has been opened, it should not be closed again.” The front page of the official media “Guangming Daily” also published an article entitled “The general trend of win-win cooperation between China and the United States is irreversible”.

Chen Weijian said, “So from two aspects, China (the CCP) has now begun to turn, and it does not want to completely turn its face with the United States, completely turn its face with the EU, and put all its bets on Russia. Because it also sees this Two days ago, I thought that twenty-four hours would solve the problem, and now it’s the sixth day.”

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In recent years, the CCP has not stopped its civil attack and military intimidation against Taiwan, and some people have always compared Ukraine with Taiwan.

Chen Weijian said that this war is a good comparison and a good lesson for the CCP.

He said: “Ukraine’s military power is not comparable to Taiwan’s, especially aviation, and its defense capabilities are far worse. Taiwan has Patriot missiles, and defense military exercises have not stopped for decades. Ukraine is not on alert. Ukraine has always I think that Russia will not fight. After all, the two who used to be under the Soviet Union are one country, and the relationship between them is very close. They always think that they will not fight, so they are very inadequate in terms of military defense. , under such circumstances, Russia did not take it down 24 hours after the (invasion) as in the past.

“As soon as Xi Jinping sees this situation, he knows it in his heart. With Russia’s military strength, and China (the CCP) used to rely on Russia for its weapons, Russia can’t conquer Ukraine on the plane. Taiwan has such a strait, it ( CCP) how can it be beaten?

“So from this Russian aggression against Ukraine, we can see that it is very unlikely that the CCP will succeed in conquering Taiwan. This is the same for us in terms of military strength. So it is a good lesson for the CCP.”

Chen Weijian believes that Xi Jinping has misjudged the situation. He believes that if Russia is attacking Ukraine, if it is defeated, he can take this opportunity to defeat Taiwan. But the development of the situation was completely different from what he had imagined before.

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“During the Winter Olympics, Putin came to China and signed an alliance with China, a back-to-back strategic alliance. Xi Jinping should have said that he had gambled wrongly and made the wrong bet. Now I regret it a little bit, but the Russian side must take him Pulled into the water and said that we have the support of China (the Chinese Communist Party), military and economic support, and China (the Chinese Communist Party) is our best ally.”

Chen Weijian said that every time the CCP decides a major domestic event and an international major event, every time it makes a wrong decision, it slaps itself in the end. Now Russia has been abandoned by the world. If China (the CCP) is really sanctioned like Russia is, China’s economy will be finished soon. In fact, the CCP sees this very clearly.

Now there are voices in the world proposing to sanction the CCP together. Chen Weijian said, “Ukraine has begun to sanction China, Ukraine has stopped selling things to China, because Ukraine’s military technology has improved China’s military technology for 20 years. Now Ukraine sees clearly France originally planned to show a painting exhibition in China, but it was also cancelled. Now the main force of the international community is still on Russia, but because of the CCP’s support for Russia, it will gradually extend to China.”

“So the CCP is now eager to clear its relationship with Russia, but Russia is firmly holding it back. The CCP is now in a very embarrassing situation.” Chen Weijian said.

Responsible editor: Li Qiong#

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