Home » From the cut in citizenship income 1 billion for work or tax

From the cut in citizenship income 1 billion for work or tax

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The last 200 million “chip” inserted in the tax decree – subtracting “active” workers’ funds – to meet the “pending” requests for the last months of 2021 has turned into the political detonator of what is real game on citizenship income: the restyling to be triggered from next year.

A game that could be worth at least one billion euros: according to some unofficial estimates, a lot could be obtained by making spending more efficient by leveraging targeted improvements and adjustments, especially in terms of active policies and controls. Also because Mario Draghi, despite the harsh attack launched by Matteo Salvini, with the support of Iv and also of Fi, to the flag measure of the Five Stars, does not seem to have any intention of canceling or strongly resizing the subsidy.

The political clash on citizenship income

But even an eventual “optimization” of the measure would be destined to turn into a political battleground. With the Democratic Party that seems to be ready to grab the potential dowry of a billion linked to the reconfiguration of the DRC to allocate it to the reform of social safety nets, on which at the moment the Mef would be willing to put no more than 3-4 billion, which are substantially equivalent half of the funding originally requested by the Minister of Labor, Andrea Orlando. Lega, Italia viva and also Fi would prefer instead to direct this dowry on the tax reform, strengthening the fund to finance the IRPEF cut, which at the moment seems to have more chances than scissoring the tax-contributory wedge (net of the Cuaf contribution, which is 1.7 billion, hypothesis still on the table), on which the pressing of companies continues incessantly.

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Complicated synthesis

In short, on the merits, positions very distant from each other, which make squaring the circle complicated. In August, according to the latest INPS data, the groups receiving citizenship income (and pensions) were almost 1.36 million, equal to over 3 million people involved; these numbers are growing, as a result of the long tail of the Covid emergency which has seen absolute poverty spike (in 2020 over 5.6 million individuals, more than two million families). However, with the economic rebound in recent months, and an initial restart in the following months, the situation is destined to improve. And the DRC could drain fewer resources, compared to the latest projections which indicated an expenditure for the measure above 40 billion in 2029. Too many for an instrument that is not working as an accompanying measure to work, indeed it was a real flop, with very low percentages of employees (1 out of 10 subjects that can be activated, according to the most recent reports).

Hence the tug-of-war, not only political, on the DRC. And it is no coincidence that the Saraceno commission, set up in March by the Minister of Labor, Andrea Orlando, has not yet revealed its proposals on the instrument.

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