Net decrease, after the holidays, of infections among the elderly. Before the red zone, the increase between the twenties and the little ones (Graphic elaboration by Danilo De Rosa)
UDINE. There are those who work, unable for a thousand reasons to resort to smart working. Perhaps there are also those who, given their age and beliefs about a disease that mainly affected the elderly in the first phase, shrugged, paying less attention than they should. The contagion curves that we analyze, relating to the period between the second and third waves in Friuli Venezia Giulia and before the start of the red zone restrictions, tell two things: compared to the beginning of the year, the band most affected by the coronavirus appears to be that between 19 and 44 years, while the decline among the over 80 is clearly appreciated, also thanks to the effect of mass immunization which also affected retirement homes, among the hottest fronts in the first and in the second phase of the pandemic in the region.
The age groups that recorded, on 7 March last, the worst incidence for contagion were those between 45 and 64 years (309 per 100 thousand inhabitants) and between 25 and 44 years (306 per 100 thousand), increasing after the decline recorded after the Christmas holidays, the evident effect of the restrictive measures adopted by the Conte government just around Christmas, with the launch of the national red-orange zone.
What is particularly striking is the downward curve between the over 80s, included in two age groups between those in which the population spectrum of the Region is broken down, i.e. the elderly over 85 and those aged between 80 and 84. The positivity index on 100 thousand subjects went from 627.34 (peak recorded in the week of January 10) to 136.38 of the last survey revised in the graphs by Danilo De Rosa, or that of March 7, for the over 85. In the eighty-eighty-four year old group, the index went from 454.33 (10 January) to 180.2 (7 March).
Perhaps it is precisely in the sudden increase (just two weeks) of infections in the lower age groups the explanation of why the Fvg has slipped from orange to red. In the 19-24 range, the contagion index per 100,000 inhabitants started to rise again at the beginning of March, returning to the levels recorded immediately after the holidays. The most important increase, however, is evident in the range of children who attend elementary school (6-10 years), confirming the different aggressiveness of the variants.