Home » [Oriental aspect]Xi Jinping’s gamble (video) |Oriental Xi Jinping| CCP|Economy|Controversy

[Oriental aspect]Xi Jinping’s gamble (video) |Oriental Xi Jinping| CCP|Economy|Controversy

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[See China News on July 1, 2021]Ten years agoXi JinpingAfter coming to power, he began a rapid totalitarian process, and he was dissatisfiedChinese Communist PartyThe status quo within the system does not hesitate to take risks and cannot wait to challenge the international order. Why is it so urgent? This is also something that makes experts on Chinese issues scratch their heads. There are two factions in international politics. One thinks that Xi Jinping wants to organize an international order, an international order that is more beneficial to the CCP; the other thinks that he has observed the end of the CCP’s regime from the inside. Do everything possible to monopolize the power. Both sides have reasons, but how do you explain Xi Jinping’s impatience?

Another more realistic interpretation is this. Xi Jinping sees that he has only ten to fifteen years of opportunity. For the CCP, this is an era of internal and external troubles.Structural changes in China’s population, ChinaeconomicThe inevitable cooling, the rapid development of digital technology, and the international power center began to leave the United States, all of this has been fermented in ten to fifteen years. After this village, there will be no such shop. If you seize this opportunity, if the CCP can play a role in promoting the transformation of world politics from the dominance of the United States to a pluralistic center, it may be able to resolve the crisis of domestic power struggle, avoid the middle-class income trap, and enhance China’s high-tech manufacturing. And military power.

Of course, if you think well, you may not be able to do it. People can’t count it. After Xi Jinping took office, a series of policy propositions and actions have transformed the CCP into the world‘s number one public enemy, and may even wipe out all the achievements of China since its reform and opening up. Economically, Xi Jinping is turning back. He believes that the government-led state-owned economic system will stifle the vitality of the private economy; he requires party members to never betray the party and requires personal loyalty to him. The CCP bureaucracy will become more rigid and ungrounded. Gas: The wolf-war diplomacy has not won the CCP’s respect in the international community, nor has it even made foreign governments afraid and fearful. It is annoying for the ruling and opposition parties in many countries, making the CCP increasingly isolated in the international community. When power is concentrated on one person too much, and there is no strong moral restraint, and there is no state of inner sage and outer king, everyone knows what will happen.

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Looking back now, Xi Jinping started doing this as soon as he came to power. His predecessor Hu Jintao acted slowly and low-key. It is generally believed that Xi Jinping is the same and will continue to focus on the economy and deepen economic reforms. But Xi Jinping has been in power for a few months. After that, it began to reshuffle the cards. The first thing to do was to eliminate dissidents internally. After decades of economic reforms, China was quite corrupt. Party branches of state-owned enterprises, private enterprises, non-governmental organizations, and even the Central Propaganda Department were basically paralyzed. State, high-level decision-making process has no rules. Beginning in 2013, Xi Jinping began a large-scale anti-corruption campaign. At the same time, he also eliminated the so-called ideologically unsteady people. In Xi Jinping’s view, the number of CCP members is not important because, in his view, the proportion of Communist Party members in the former Soviet Union Being high again by the CCP, in the end, he could not escape the fate of disintegration. Secondly, externally, Xi Jinping no longer follows the policy of keeping a low profile and biding time. He has acted frequently on the sovereignty of the South China Sea. He has set up air defense protection zones in disputed waters, called for the establishment of the Asian Infrastructure Development Bank and the introduction of the One Belt One Road. Xi Jinping’s process of centralizing power basically encountered no challenges. The Constitution was amended, the legal basis for lifelong tenure was established, and cronies were placed in the main positions. Xi Jinping’s thought became the learning content of party members and cadres, and even became the theoretical basis of economic plans and policies. Enterprises have to be loyal to the CCP and to him. A CCP virus epidemic is even used by the CCP as an opportunity to propagate its autocratic, centralized, and iron-fisted rule system.

In the field of diplomacy, the CCP’s current assessment is that the influence of the Western free society is deteriorating, and the world is changing from the U.S. dominance to the warring states. The U.S. is limited to the Iraq War and the Afghanistan War. The 2008 financial crisis hurt the U.S.’s international status. After the 2016 British referendum to leave the European Union, and Trump was elected as President of the United States in 2018, the CCP believes that this is a sign of changes in the world structure. The CCP believes that it can make a difference in this process. Although there are risks, There are also benefits.

At the same time, the CCP has encountered unprecedented challenges at home. Economic development is the only legal basis for the CCP’s governance. However, China’s economy cannot be changed to cool down or even decline. The problem of China’s aging population is a huge time bomb. Although the one-child policy has ended, the general trend of Chinese society getting old before getting rich is irreversible. The Chinese Academy of Sciences predicts that China’s population will no longer grow by 2029; The Lancet Magazine even predicts that by the end of this century, China’s population will be halved. The two main driving forces of China’s economic growth, one is a steady stream of cheap labor, and the other is a disregard for environmental protection. These two driving forces no longer exist. The dual circular economy proposed by Xi Jinping is not easy to talk about. In order to maintain the speed of economic development, we can only rely on stimulants, the real estate bubble, the credit bubble, and the Greek debt crisis triggered the 20058 financial crisis, but the scale of China’s debt crisis is thousands of times that of Greece. After the reform and opening up, Daxing Civil Engineering has laid the foundation and provided impetus for the rapid development of the economy, but today, China’s construction industry has serious overcapacity, and it can only go overseas along the Belt and Road, and the urbanization process has also come to an end. Now that the Beijing government is attacking private enterprises, which is China’s most dynamic economic field, the prospects of China’s economy can be imagined.

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In the digital age of human society, the CCP sees the development of high technology as a way out. The Xi Jinping government vigorously supports high-tech industries such as artificial intelligence, automated robots, and bioengineering, which may be able to save the difficulties encountered in the economic, military, and cultural fields. From semiconductor chips and storage batteries, the Beijing government has invested huge amounts of capital, and it does not hesitate to learn or even steal cutting-edge technology through various means. The development of high technology is considered by China as the last hope and life-saving straw. Automation can make up for the problem of aging population, and high-tech industries can increase income. Of course, high-tech is a powerful tool to police Chinese society. With facial recognition, voice recognition, and posture recognition technology, almost everyone in China They are all under surveillance 24 hours a day, and dissidents and political opponents inside and outside the party monitor you without discussing it.

The CCP has not been stable since its establishment. It seems to be in a state of being attacked at any time. Since Mao Zedong, there has been no sense of power and security. After the CCP came to power, there have been internal struggles, famines, defections, coups, and peaceful evolution from an external free society. The CCP’s fear of ruling power is normal. After Xi Jinping came to power, he has institutionalized this fear. He put forward the concept of comprehensive national security. He claimed that the CCP is currently facing the most severe internal and external challenges in history and confuses national security with CCP’s security. And it is infinitely magnified. Whenever there is a stir, it can be described as a terrorist attack, color revolution, religious infiltration, and even large-scale ethnic cleansing in Xinjiang. Both Mao Zedong and Deng Xiaoping advocated strategic patience. Mao Zedong once told Nixon that it would be fine to wait a hundred years for the reunification of Taiwan. Deng Xiaoping promised that Hong Kong would remain unchanged for 50 years with one country, two systems, and Xi Jinping no longer followed strategic patience on Taiwan and Hong Kong issues.

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Xi Jinping believes he can change the direction of the future development of the CCP. The 18th-century economist Adam Smith described such a person and made him an institutional man. He is a leader who has romantic thoughts about his own governance and considers himself perfect. No lack, no different sounds are allowed. Xi Jinping has begun to follow the old path of the state-owned economy again, overturning the power transfer procedures of the past few decades. Although he himself suffered from the Cultural Revolution and was a victim of the CCP’s persecution, he obviously has feelings for the CCP and he also believes that his actions can help. Continue the life of the CCP. Again, people are not as good as heaven. The disintegration of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union in the 1990s was unexpected. So many experts on Soviet issues in Western society were collectively shocked; nine out of ten, the CCP also had this fate. It collapsed in a fate that no one had expected. You I haven’t understood it yet, it may not exist anymore.

Thank you for watching Orient. If you think what I said makes sense, please help forward the recommendation. Please also leave a message. If you have not subscribed yet, please click the subscribe button. Thank you again for watching Orient. I am Dongfang. Let’s next time -Goodbye.

(The article only represents the author’s personal position and opinions)

Source: Oriental Aspect

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