[Epoch Times November 05, 2021]Hello, everyone, it is November 4th (Thursday) Eastern Time, and November 5th (Friday) Beijing Time. Welcome to chat about current affairs every day. I am Sydney (Wang Yuhe); I am Qin Peng. (Qin Peng live broadcast)
Today’s focus: new evidence: may Xi Jinping let Peng Shuai’s Weibo deliberately? The U.S. report estimates that the CCP will force Taiwan to negotiate in 2027. Director of the National Security Council of Taiwan: It will not negotiate under the force of force.
Sydney: After the affair between Peng Shuai and Zhang Gaoli broke out, the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection of the Communist Party of China immediately released the corruption case during Zhang Gaoli’s administration in Tianjin. The outside world believed that this was Xi Jinping’s intention to use the scandal to attack Zhang Gaoli. However, did he use it afterwards or knew it beforehand? Today, we did an exclusive test on Weibo, let’s take a look at the test results.
Qin Peng: The U.S. Department of Defense released a report on the CCP’s military strength on Wednesday, revealing that the CCP will use force to force Taiwan peace talks when its military strength reaches the level of confrontation with the United States. On Thursday, the Director of National Security of Taiwan made a strong statement at the Legislative Yuan: Taiwan cannot negotiate under force!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6t8wjGe_g-0
The Central Commission for Discipline Inspection named Zhang Gaoli and Xi Jinping to release Peng Shuai on Weibo?
Sydney: The former Politburo Standing Committee member Zhang Gaoli sexually assaulted the famous tennis player Peng Shuai and finally abandoned the scandal. Recently, major international media have been rushing to report it. Once again, the world and Chinese at home and abroad have once again seen the party discipline and state law of the top CCP officials. The true face of actual male thieves and female prostitutes. After the incident, the CCP blocked Weibo and other information, which also allowed the world to see the essence of the CCP’s so-called freedom of the press and freedom of speech.
Qin Peng: I discussed this incident with Mr. Yokogawa, an expert on China issues, in the program of “News Everyone” on Monday (November 3). I have talked about some strange things, including: 1. The timing is too subtle and coincidental; 2. Peng Shuai himself revealed that Zhang Gaoli’s Weibo was not deleted for 20 minutes. This is under strict censorship by the CCP. It is very rare in the system.
Sydney: The timing of this “nuclear bomb-level” scandal is sensitive, just a few days before the Sixth Plenary Session of the CPC Central Committee will be held on the 8th. In the heat of high-level infighting, Xi Jinping constantly purged the “Jiang Zemin and Zeng Qinghong faction”.
Zhang Gaoli happened to belong to the anti-Xi Jiang Zemin faction, and he was still a general. So you and Mr. Yokogawa believed that Xi Jinping would use this incident to attack Zhang Gaoli himself and the high-level Jiang faction of the Chinese Communist Party, and then before the 6th Plenary Session of the 19th Central Committee During this period and before the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, consolidate power and gain more benefits in the process of high-level power division.
Sure enough, Xi Jinping had already beaten Zhang Gaoli, and the outside world believed that Zhang Gaoli was suspended.
On November 3, on the second day after the Zhang Gaoli scandal was exposed, the official website of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection issued a special notice “Tianjin notified 8 typical cases of violations of the eight central regulations”. Part of the case involved Zhang Gaoli’s appointment as secretary of the Tianjin Municipal Party Committee. During the period, the real estate development was vigorously promoted. In fact, the cases disclosed by the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection are all old cases that have already been handled.
For example, the case of Yao Guoqiang, the former party secretary of the Tianjin Urban Construction Group, was closed as early as March last year. Yao Guoqiang has been “double-opened” and sentenced to 11 years and 6 months in prison. Therefore, the old case of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection seems to be deliberately citing the black history of Zhang Gaoli when he was in power in Tianjin.
Qin Peng: Judging from the point of time, the action of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection is indeed very similar to Xi Jinping’s timely compensation of Zhang Gaoli: Peng Shuai’s Weibo was sent at 10:30 pm on November 2, 20 minutes later. Deleted, and the incident spread across the Internet within a few hours; then, the next morning, the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection released some cases involving Zhang Gaoli in Tianjin. This is certainly not a coincidence.
Among them, the case of Yao Guoqiang, the former party secretary of Tianjin Urban Construction Group mentioned in the notice of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection, is the largest state-owned enterprise in Tianjin, specializing in financing, investment, and construction of major urban infrastructure. On the surface, the time when Yao Guoqiang was announced and Zhang Gaoli did not overlap with Zhang Gaoli, but the notice also added “other serious violations of discipline and law”, which may hide a murderous intent.
The Tianjin Urban Construction Department is also a place where corruption is high. On July 28, 2014, Ma Baiyu, the chief urban construction manager during Zhang Gaoli’s administration, the former chairman of Tianjin Urban Investment Group, and the former deputy director of the Water Affairs Bureau, fell from the horse and was sentenced in 2018. And Yin Hailin, the deputy mayor of Tianjin, who fell after Ma Baiyu, was successively promoted by Zhang Gaoli from the post of deputy director of the Tianjin Municipal Planning Bureau, and eventually became the deputy mayor of Tianjin.
Sydney: Yes, it is reported that Zhang Gaoli was in charge of Tianjin from March 2007 to November 2012 and was engaged in real estate investment. Since then, Tianjin’s real estate investment has entered a period of crazy growth, which has become the source of serious corruption in the urban construction sector.
Qin Peng: So this time, whether Zhang Gaoli will be caught by the so-called swaying vines, it is worth observing.
Sydney: Now the capital also feels that Zhang Gaoli may have a bad outlook. On Wednesday (3rd), the four “Xinyi” Hong Kong stocks headed by Zhang Gaoli’s son-in-law Li Shengpo plunged 5% to 10%, and the market value evaporated by nearly 20 billion. Hong Kong dollars (approximately US$2.6 billion). It really feels like “mountain rain is about to come and wind is all over the building”.
There is a possibility that Peng Shuai’s Weibo was deliberately released by Xi Jinping’s group
But when it comes to Xi Jinping, did Peng Shuai take advantage of this incident after posting on Weibo, or did he know it beforehand? You previously thought that Peng Shuai himself posted the Weibo and then it was more likely to be used by Xi Jinping. Do you still think so?
Qin Peng: Today, I had some discussions with the famous host and producer Ms. Xiao Ming, and we also did a set of experiments together. From the results of the experiments, I now tend to think that Peng Shuai’s Weibo was deliberately by Xi Jinping’s group. The possibility of release exists, and it is to use this to attack Zhang Gaoli.
As you may all know, the name of the CCP’s Standing Committee is a sensitive word on the Internet in Mainland China, and it is censored by machines and humans. Events and news that are unfavorable to them are not allowed. In the words of the CCP, there should be no news that is unfavorable to the party and state leaders. Those who publish these news may also be silenced and punished, just like the disappearance of Peng Shuai we see now.
Sydney: Yes, so, it is now doubtful. There are two obvious keywords in Peng Shuai’s Weibo, Zhang Gaoli and Deputy Prime Minister. Was it because the Weibo review team later found out, dealt with it late, and neglected its duty? Or was it deliberately released by the relevant parties, sitting and watching the event ferment and then using it?
Qin Peng: Well, Ms. Xiao Ming also wants to solve this doubt today. We did a set of experiments and tested the names of some members of the Standing Committee-because Zhang Gaoli’s name is no longer visible, we tested some others. Let’s take a look:
This is the test of Han Zheng, the first vice premier of the State Council of the Communist Party of China, recommended and succeeded by Zhang Gaoli, a member of the Politburo Standing Committee. Can you see it?
In fact, I can’t see it. According to my link, what other people see is like this…
Sydney: It’s like you have set privacy, so others can’t see it, only you can see it. But in fact, you have not set privacy, so in fact these words have been censored, and you can’t even post them at first?
Qin Peng: Yes, I didn’t restrict people to watch, but it was blocked by censorship almost at the same time, but it was very clever, that is, I can only see it by myself, and I don’t know that others can’t see it.
If viewers do not believe it, you can type the three words “Zhang Gaoli” on Weibo, and you will find that Weibo is still there, but no one else can see it.
Sydney: But Zhang Gaoli has been blocked by the entire network because of the scandal. Now it is normal for his name to be censored and not posted.
Qin Peng: So I searched some other members of the Standing Committee. It was found that basically the first few pages only had positive reports from certified official media or similar political and legal systems and government departments, and almost no personal Weibo information was seen. Even if there are individual ones, they must be positive and similar to reminisce about their approachability and great achievements.
Sydney: In other words, Weibo has its own review and management system for the names and information of these standing committee members. Officials or individuals are allowed to report positive, but negative news is not allowed.
Qin Peng: There are two exceptions. One is the name of Zhou Yongkang, the former secretary of the Political and Legal Committee of the Communist Party of China. You can see negative news about Hong Kong student leaders who have the same name as him. There are also negative news about Zhou Yongkang, the secretary of the Political and Legal Committee. I was caught, so it should be possible to report these negative news; the other was Luo Gan, secretary of the Political and Legal Committee of Jiang Zemin’s era, and the search showed “According to relevant laws, regulations and policies, the search results for’Luo Gan’ were not displayed.” This may be because he did almost all bad things, such as persecuting Falun Gong, building a firewall, and so on. (Qin Peng live broadcast)
Sydney: Yes, if it is an overseas search, it is all about the persecution of Falun Gong, the persecution of human rights lawyers and house churches, the persecution of Uyghurs in Xinjiang, etc. Therefore, people like the Political and Legal Affairs Committee and the Central Propaganda Department were very self-aware and took the initiative to shield themselves.
Qin Peng: Yes, to summarize the conclusions of our tests: the official media or government accounts of the Chinese Communist Party can be released without censorship. Some people’s names, such as Luo Gan just now, may be scolded by too many people, or he is directly in charge of politics and law. It is not allowed to search directly, and some officials’ information can also be posted to their private accounts on Weibo, but no negatives have been seen so far, so it should have gone through machine + manual review.
Sydney: Is it possible that before Zhang Gaoli’s accident, the censorship rules were not so strict. After the scandal, the Weibo censorship rules became stricter?
Qin Peng: You are a good question. When the CCP established the Internet firewall many years ago, it had already added sensitive words to the names of senior officials such as the Politburo Standing Committee and strictly censored them. It stands to reason that they would not make such low-level mistakes. They easily made Peng Shuai post Zhang Gaoli’s name and official title. come out.
In addition, Ms. Xiao Ming has also communicated with people who are familiar with this field in China, and the other party also replied “always like this.” He also provided more details, saying that the machine would directly examine the Politburo members’ names and negative vocabulary information, which would be killed without having to go to humans. Humans will review positive information.
Sydney: This time, Peng Shuai’s post stayed for 20 minutes. However, is it possible for the review to be missed?
Qin Peng: The other party said that if manual review is okay, but browsing, or discussing, or forwarding exceeds a certain limit, such as 200 people, then it will be subject to a higher level of second review: Why does the traffic increase in a short time?
If there is no problem in the second review, but as the traffic increases, such as 500 people, then there will be a higher level, more politically sensitive auditor to review again.
Therefore, it is unreasonable to say that it was due to the negligence of inspectors. In other words, considering that Xi Jinping may conduct “intimate” surveillance on political officials, etc., coupled with this censorship system, it is entirely possible: after Peng Shuai sent the message, Xi Jinping’s personnel discovered it and then deliberately let it go. , And it has not been deleted after 20 minutes, given sufficient time to be forwarded and archived, and then deleted. Moreover, some other Weibo accounts with greater influence, such as the three Weibo accounts posted by a personal tennis account @Tennis欧阳文升, were deleted after 3:30 in the morning.
Sydney: In other words, the possibility of political manipulation by the top CCP or Xi Jinping camp is not ruled out. However, it is difficult to imagine that the CCP has such a complete set of AI and manual review. This is how many people are needed to do the review and how much money it will cost.
Qin Peng: Every major Internet company has a large censorship team. This does not count as official police and central propaganda department. The cost in this area is huge. China’s official newspaper “Southern Weekend” once published an investigation report on China’s censorship industry, pointing out that Jinan has become a new “censorship capital” after Tianjin. It filters current affairs news 24 hours a day, and the article was immediately received by the entire network. delete.
This report revealed that the Mingsheng Building located in Jinan High-tech Development Zone, including “Byte Beat”, “Phoenix Network”, “Yianxin”, “Far Right APP” and other Internet companies set up censorship bases to settle in, censor The editor has more than five thousand people.
In addition to Jinan and Tianjin, there are also many content review teams in Wuhan, Xi’an, Yancheng, Chongqing, and Chengdu. In terms of the entire content review industry structure, Tianjin and Jinan are the two major bases in the north, Xi’an is the base in the northwest region, Chongqing and Chengdu are responsible for the southwest region, and Wuhan is responsible for the central China region.
Sydney: It is roughly estimated that there will be at least 100,000 censors from Internet companies and police in the country, plus tens of millions of full-time and part-time 50 cents, which consumes huge manpower, material resources and financial resources. No wonder the CCP’s budget for maintaining stability will exceed Military expenditures. It turned out to be to guard against the Chinese people. It’s really chilling.
Qin Peng: Yes, such a large review team is equipped with the most advanced computer in fact. AI can quickly identify which Weibo has a large-scale change, whether it is positive or negative, and it will soon be discovered. At this time, humans will definitely intervene to see what happened. Therefore, I think it is unlikely that it will take 20 minutes to react. Oh, this is not an ordinary melon, it is about the party and state leaders.
Sydney: So the Chinese people cannot get real information, and they are often deliberately guided.
Qin Peng: Well, regarding how Zhang Gaoli’s incident will ferment, we will continue to track and analyze it for everyone. Please also follow our channel every day: “Qin Peng Political and Economic Observation-Talking about current affairs every day.”
Director of National Security of Taiwan: Will not negotiate with the CCP under force
Sydney: Let’s look at the Taiwan Strait again. On Wednesday, the US Department of Defense released the latest “Chinese Military Power Report”, detailing the Chinese military’s acceleration of nuclear expansion and deployment of nuclear warheads. 1,000 pieces.
The report also predicts that the Chinese People’s Liberation Army will be able to compete with the US military in the Indo-Pacific region by 2027. At that time, the Chinese Communist Party may force Taiwan to negotiate according to the conditions set by the Chinese side.
Qin Peng: The number of nuclear warheads that the CCP plans to possess in this report far exceeds the current possession of 300. In other words, the CCP plans to expand to more than three times the current number in less than 20 years. This is obviously not a simple self-defense goal, but the hope to dominate the world.
In terms of weapons, this report not only analyzes the CCP’s nuclear weapons, but also pays special attention to the CCP’s military’s chemical and biological research, which is often referred to as biological and chemical weapons. This is also the new content of this report this year. This also makes the outside world wonder whether the CCP will abide by the “Biological and Toxin Weapons Convention” and “Chemical Weapons Convention” it signed before.
Why does the report specifically mention 2027? It is because that is the 100th anniversary of the founding of the CCP, and the CCP is trying to achieve its goals. Hong Kong’s South China Morning Post once cited the views of military sources and analysts and pointed out that the CCP plans to complete the military transformation by 2027 and create three combatable aircraft carrier battle groups to keep pace with the United States in the Pacific and deter the United States. Rush to aid Taiwan.
Regarding this part of Taiwan, the CCP’s attempt to force Taiwan to yield by force is also a topic of most concern to the outside world today.
Sydney: On Thursday, Taiwan’s National Security Director Chen Mingtong responded to this incident in the Legislative Yuan, saying that Taiwan cannot negotiate under force, because “chicken dung has three inches of smoke when it falls on the soil.” This Taiwanese means, chicken dung is so. Insignificant things will smoke when dropped on the ground, so people should not underestimate themselves, but have aspirations. In addition, it also shows that no matter how humble, everyone has dignity and deserves dignity. Chen Mingtong said that Beijing will not give up the use of force to reunify Taiwan, because this is their goal, but to survive with humiliation is not something the people of Taiwan should do. It is necessary to clearly understand that “humiliation will not lead to peace” and humility will not be exchanged. Peace.
Qin Peng: He also said that Taiwan is not afraid of war and must strengthen its national defense. What does Sydney mean? Is sweet potato a sweet potato?
Sydney: Yes, sweet potatoes are sweet potatoes, and we also use the term sweet potatoes. I say this here, because sweet potatoes have strong vitality, so Taiwanese compare themselves to sweet potatoes. At the beginning, they distinguished between local people and people from other provinces. People from the province called “sweet potatoes” and people from other provinces called “taro”. “. The complete sentence should be “sweet potatoes are not afraid of falling to the ground, only the branches and leaves are passed on from generation to generation.” The Dean of the Executive Yuan Su Zhenchang also said that the people of Taiwan are as tough as sweet potatoes, and they are not afraid of falling off the soil and rot, and the branches and leaves will multiply from generation to generation.
Qin Peng: How does Taiwan define its own province and people from other provinces?
Sydney: In fact, very few people now define the province and people from other provinces. Because over time, generation after generation passed, most people’s identity was Taiwanese, and there was no such distinction. The people of this province are the people who settled in Taiwan relatively early. It is a term created after the National Government took over Taiwan. It refers to people who settled in Taiwan before the surrender of Japan in 1945, that is, during the Qing Dynasty and the Japanese rule. “People from other provinces” refer to those who came to Taiwan later, especially those who went to Taiwan with the Kuomintang after the Kuomintang and the Communist Party failed in the civil war in 1949. There are fewer such definitions now. When I was young, I still had this distinction. When I was young, I didn’t understand so much. At that time, I thought that people from other provinces meant Chinese people who came to live in Taiwan.
Qin Peng: In other words, the vast majority of Taiwanese now regard Taiwan as their home. The basic consensus is that they are Taiwanese. They are no longer like early or very old people, and they still feel that they are here. From there. Taiwan’s democratic development experience over the past few decades is in sharp contrast with the mainland under the rule of the CCP. No wonder I see that in the “Annual Survey of Cross-Strait Relations” published by the United Daily on October 1, only those who support reunification with the CCP 10%.
Sydney: National Security Director Chen Mingtong’s metaphor is very interesting. On the Sanli News Channel, I saw him in an interview with the media saying that “using war to force talks” has always been Beijing’s usual tactic, and the National Security Bureau has been following it for a long time. Let’s take a look.
When answering questions, he said that a cross-strait war is impossible within one to two to three years. The assessment of the U.S. report this time is for 2027, so many people think it is very important for Taiwan to maintain vigilance. Just as he also said, Taiwan must strengthen its national defense and pay close attention.
“Using war to force talks” is Beijing’s usual tactic
“Use war to force talks” is Beijing’s usual tactic. Can Qin Peng give us some examples?
Qin Peng: The CCP has always been doing this during the Chinese civil war. “Use war to force talks,” or use peace talks to conceal the goals of war, and ultimately want to achieve greater results. When they were unable to fight, they started shouting for negotiations and recuperated for a period of time; when they had the strength, they started fighting again.
On the Korean battlefield, the CCP did the same. For a total of three years, the real war actually ended very quickly. The rest was because the United Nations military wanted to let the prisoners of war voluntarily choose to return to mainland China or Taiwan. The CCP I didn’t agree, so I started fighting, trying to force the coalition to agree, but was beaten wildly by the UN army and had to sit at the negotiating table and basically agreed to voluntary repatriation.
Sydney: When the Kuomintang legislator asked Chen Mingtong, would the CCP use nuclear bombs if it attacked Taiwan? He replied, “If this happens, it will be a tragedy for the people on both sides of the strait.” In fact, this also shows that the CCP allows the people to watch the movie of the Battle of Changjin Lake. I want people to ignore a big fact, that is, people who fight oneself will suffer a lot of deaths and injuries. Even this movie is about brainwashing people to voluntarily become “flesh shields” for the so-called national spirit, but in fact it is only serving the Communist Party.
Qin Peng: Yes, the Battle of Changjin Lake was a bloody battle against the U.S. military with a sea of tactics. In other words, the U.S. military suffered more than 6,800 casualties and 13,000 non-combat casualties. Therefore, 150,000 CCP volunteers were also maimed and reduced by 90,000. Among them, 30,000 were killed in battle and 20,000 to 30,000 were frozen to death. For the CCP, it was 10,000 murders and self-defeating 30,000. This battle is actually a failure of the CCP.
The entire Korean War was an unrighteous battle. The three-generation dictatorship of the Kim family was fostered, and the lives of North and South Korea and China were sacrificed, as well as the miserable lives of more than 25 million people in North Korea today. It’s really not worth it.
Therefore, what Chen Mingtong said, I think this is the normal view and practice of the entire normal mankind towards war, that is, war should be a last resort. If leaders on both sides of the Taiwan Strait really consider the peaceful development of the people and the world, they should maintain peace and rely on the system, the happiness and freedom of the people, and democracy to compete, not just for the selfish interests of those in power of the Chinese Communist Party. Take the lives of people and soldiers on both sides of the strait as your stepping stone.
Production Team of “Qin Peng Live”
Editor in charge: Li Hao#
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