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Some international strategic analysts believe that Sino-Russian relations are to a large extent a fragile relationship of expedient measures, and the Biden administration has also extended an olive branch to Russia. The relations between the United States and Russia seem to have stabilized or even improved. However, a research report published in October by the RAND Corporation, a US strategic policy research institution, warned that Sino-Russian relations have strengthened and become closer since 2014, and the United States should be prepared to meet the challenge.
According to a report by Voice of America: The RAND report discusses the impact of close Sino-Russian relations on the United States and its future policies, and suggests that the US military should prepare for the results of enhanced Sino-Russian cooperation to deal with what may eventually happen. Joint military operations.
The evaluation of the World Power Index and two other economic forecasts shows that as the comprehensive strength of Russia and China continues to approach the United States, the relationship between China and Russia will become closer by 2022. The report also predicts that China will exert greater influence overseas, but it is not certain when China’s strength will surpass the United States.
Regarding the military cooperation between China and Russia, RAND’s report pointed out that Russia may continue to sell high-tech systems such as S-400 missiles to China and seek more opportunities for cooperation in aircraft engines or naval shipbuilding. The report believes that the possibility of a Sino-Russian joint military plan complicates US military considerations and should prompt the US to re-evaluate its contingency plan. For example, the possibility of China-Russia cooperation in responding to the security crisis on the Korean Peninsula is reasonable. This raises a concern that once such a crisis occurs, the two sides will work together to restrict the freedom of movement of the United States. In extreme cases, the complete integration of China and Russia’s capabilities in certain areas will significantly enhance the already challenging threat environment.
The report also believes that China and Russia use each other’s limited resources outside the region to increase the potential for global presence and increase the possibility of contact or even confrontation with these forces on a global scale. The U.S. military should expect to encounter Chinese and Russian forces more regularly outside the region or in emergency operations, and to develop appropriate skills and procedures for contacting them on a non-confrontational basis.
The report believes that the United States and the U.S. military can do very little to influence the trajectory of Sino-Russian relations, but the report still makes several recommendations for the U.S. military. First, considering the possibility of Sino-Russian military-technical cooperation, the US military must be prepared to deal with the increasingly complex weapon systems of its two major strategic competitors.
As we all know, the British “Financial Times” recently broke the news that China tested a weapon suspected of supersonic technology in August. Although Chinese officials denied it, the military application of supersonic technology still worries US officials. Andrew Radin, one of the authors of the report, told VOA: The main risk is that Russia will have easier access to Chinese technology, and China will also have easier access to Russian technology. Therefore, this has become a problem of the rapid proliferation of new technologies, bringing more challenges to the United States, perhaps faster than the United States expected.
The general analysis believes that the ideologies of China and Russia, their views on the United States, and the military threats that the United States poses to the two countries have enabled China and Russia to continue to improve their political and military relations while maintaining cooperation. China needs Russia to prove that it is not isolated in the world, and Russia lost all its allies after the dissolution of the Soviet Union and the dissolution of the Warsaw Pact in the 1990s. In addition, the two countries have also found that their cooperation makes it easier for the international community to conclude that “authoritarianism is more effective and more stable than the chaotic democratic system they call.”
As the two long-term competitors of the United States, China and Russia have strengthened cooperation in the political, military, and economic fields since 2014. In addition to continuing to hold bilateral summits, Russia and China are also cooperating on multilateral occasions, such as the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit held in Qingdao, China in June 2018.
2021 is the 20th anniversary of the signing of the Sino-Russian Treaty of Good-Neighborliness, Friendship and Cooperation. China and Russia decided to extend the Treaty of Cooperation and Friendship for five years. In May of this year, China and Russia signed a contract to build an international lunar scientific research station. Xi Jinping and Putin participated in the opening ceremony of the two countries’ nuclear energy cooperation projects-Tianwan Nuclear Power Plant and Xu Dabao Nuclear Power Plant. Just last week, China and Russia began a military exercise code-named “Sea Union-2021” in Peter the Great Bay, Russia. Chinese experts said the exercise was more practical.
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