[Epoch Times, January 5, 2022]On January 4, Xi Jinping issued the Military Commission’s Order No. 1 of 2022 as usual, which has changed dramatically compared with the previous two years; on the one hand, it has given up the “focus on preparation for war” that was repeatedly emphasized in 2021. On the other hand, it proposed to accurately grasp the “changes in the security and military struggle situation”, keep an eye on “changes in war and changes in opponents,” and called for “welcoming” the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China.
According to the CCP’s practice, the No. 1 military order after the New Year is generally an order to start the military training of the year, as if the CCP leaders did not give the order, the army could not be trained. In fact, this is a way for CCP leaders to demonstrate their military power internally. Of course, if the CCP army conducts large-scale military training, it will involve large-scale military mobilization, and it does require the CCP leader to order it himself. The CCP army is the SS. Its primary task is to defend the CCP leader, not the country; but the CCP leader is also most afraid of military coups. Any unauthorized large-scale mobilization may be seen as a dangerous signal, including participation in disaster relief operations. , No one in the army should dare to touch this red line.
Compared with the previous two years, Military Order No. 1 in 2022 has shrunk a lot, with only 2 paragraphs and 2 sentences; Military Order No. 1 in 2021 and 2020 are both standard 6 paragraphs and 6 sentences. The content of the No. 1 military order in 2022 is significantly reduced. Obviously, it is not the secretary’s hastily rushing to do it, but deliberately to highlight the new content, so as not to make too much rhetoric to dilute the real new theme.
In the first paragraph of Military Order No. 1 in 2021 and 2020, the first paragraph emphasized that the whole army should “implement Xi Jinping’s thoughts on strengthening the army and implement the military strategy of the new era”; similar statements disappeared in 2022, and replaced by “implement the Party Central Committee.” And the Central Military Commission’s decision-making instructions.”
This shows that the main goal of the CCP’s army in 2022 is no longer to “strengthen the army,” but to have new “instructions.”
The No. 1 Military Order of 2021 proposes to “focus on preparations for war”, “persist in using warfare to lead training and use training to promote war”, “strengthen front-line military training in military struggle”, and “ensure full-time warfare and ability to fight at any time”; Keep an eye on powerful opponents, pay attention to actual combat military training, maintain a high level of alertness, and ensure that the call is coming, the coming can fight, and the battle will win.”
In 2022, similar discourses are gone. Instead, “Accurately grasp the changes in national security and military struggle situation, keep a close eye on changes in technology, war, and opponents”, “promote the transformation and upgrading of military training in an all-round way,” and “assiduously. Training, scientific training, and safety training” to welcome the “Twenty Major Victory Held”.
In 2022, the main task of the CCP’s military is no longer external, but internal; to be precise, to ensure that Xi Jinping succeeds in serving in the 20th Dalian. This is the new “changes in the struggle situation” in 2022, and the following “changes in war and changes in opponents” are regarded as supplementary explanations.
In order to highlight the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, Military Order No. 1 of 2022 deliberately omitted the following expansion. After talking about the 20th National Congress, it was over.
The last four paragraphs of the No. 1 Military Order of 2021 explain the four aspects of “deepening joint warfare and joint training”, “deepening scientific and technological training”, “deepening the rule of law and training”, and “sharpening the will to fight”; the aftermath of the 2020 No. 1 Military Order In paragraph 4, it explains the four aspects of “emphasis on systematic training”, “emphasis on confrontation and inspection”, “emphasis on laying a solid foundation”, and “emphasis on tempering work style.”
In 2022, the content of these specific guidance training will disappear, and it will only be collectively referred to as “promoting the transformation and upgrading of military training”, “hard training, scientific training, and safety training.”
Talking about the formulas of mathematics, there is basically no role in guiding training. Probably only the final “safety training” has some meaning, and it should be required that there should be no training accidents. This may indicate that there have been major safety issues in previous training; for the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China in 2022, no more training accidents will be allowed. For this reason, the grassroots army may reduce the intensity of training and make more formalities, or in order to prevent the risk of infection, it may simply reduce group training, claiming “transformation and upgrading of military training.”
The Liaoning’s just-concluded sea-going training probably followed this line of thinking. The J-15 carrier aircraft only carried light air-to-air missiles for take-off and landing, and did not carry anti-ship missiles or gravity bombs. The Liaoning’s going to sea is mainly a political task, with safety first and actual combat second.
The top leaders of the Chinese Communist Party are desperate for the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China. On January 1, the Chinese Communist Party’s “Seeking Truth” magazine published Xi Jinping’s speech at the Sixth Plenary Session of the 19th Central Committee on November 11, 2021, stating that “In the face of major risks and powerful opponents, I always want to live a peaceful life and do not want to fight. Unrealistic”; “Evasion and retreat, compromise and retreat will only lead to failure and humiliation, it can only be a dead end.”
This sentence should fully reflect the reality of the CCP’s internal fighting. In his speech, he also took the Korean War as an example, saying that “in the past, facing the United States, which had the strongest economic power and the strongest military power in the world,” Mao Zedong “would not hesitate to rebuild at home.”
The situation of Sino-US military confrontation in the past two years has become clear. If the CCP ventures into war, it is likely to also face a “domestic broken” ending; not only is the economic loss huge, the anti-Xi factions are also likely to seize the opportunity to cause chaos and usurp power. Therefore, the goal of the CCP’s military in 2022 has shifted from confrontation between China and the United States to ensuring the smooth progress of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China.
Biden has repeatedly stated that he wants to avoid Sino-US conflicts and set up guardrails, which is equivalent to publicly stating that the US military will still maintain a strong deterrent, but as long as the CCP does not risk firing the first shot, the US military will not take the initiative to attack. On January 3, the USS Lincoln (CVN72) fleet entered the Pacific for deployment and is expected to replace the USS Carl Vinson in the Western Pacific. The US military will continue to strengthen its military deployment against the CCP; but on the same day, the White House also issued the United States, Britain, and the United States. A joint statement by France, Russia, and China on preventing nuclear war and avoiding an arms race.
Xi Jinping’s heart is generally regarded as falling to the ground, and he will soon turn the center of gravity of the Chinese Communist Party’s military in 2022 to the inside, and is always ready to open fire on the internal enemy. The CCP has always regarded the U.S. military as its greatest enemy, but the U.S. military will not go to war easily. The enemies within the CCP are the most dangerous to the CCP’s leaders. Xi Jinping’s No. 1 Military Order of 2022, aiming the gun at the inside, is regarded as a major warning to the anti-Xi factions, and it truly reflects the concerns of the top CCP leaders.
The Epoch Times
Editor in charge: Gao Yi#
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