Home » Sicily in yellow, that’s why the next candidates are Sardinia and Calabria

Sicily in yellow, that’s why the next candidates are Sardinia and Calabria

by admin

On the day of the official passage of Sicily in the yellow zone from 30 August, as established by the control room and the ordinance signed by the Minister of Health Speranza, there are two regions that must now be monitored more carefully: Sardinia e Calabria. Both remained for a whisker in the white area. But on the occasion of the next monitoring they are the first candidates to suffer the same fate. Let’s see why.

Sardinia avoids yellow thanks to admissions to ordinary wards

Let’s start from Sardinia. The monitoring published by the control room on Friday 27 August (with data on admissions relating to Tuesday 24) records an occupancy rate of beds occupied by Covid patients at 11.2% for intensive care and 14% for other departments . In addition to an incidence of infections of 148.5 cases per week per 100 thousand inhabitants. Two out of three parameters have therefore been exceeded. Intensive care (the critical threshold is 10%), infections (up to 50 new cases to remain blank). The island was saved from the yellow zone thanks to the fact that the occupancy rate of the ordinary departments is one percentage point below the critical threshold of 15%. But if we look at the latest available data (27 August) Sardinia has already gone from 224 to 233 hospitalizations in the non-critical medical area. And in the face of stable beds (1602), the occupancy rate is already 14.5%. It all depends on the trend of the next few days.

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Intensive therapies below the threshold in Calabria

The situation for Calabria is a little different. Also in this case, the monitoring of the control room recorded the overrun of two out of three parameters. In addition to infections (101.5 new cases per week per 100 thousand inhabitants), hospitalizations in ordinary wards (15.2%) are above the threshold, while resuscitation is at an apparently under control level (5.9%). In reality these are numbers that do not leave you calm at all. Because there are few beds in intensive care (169). And a slight increase is enough to increase the percentage. From the 10 admissions on Tuesday we have already risen to 14 on Friday 27 August (8.3%). Just get to 17-18 to exceed the 10% threshold.

The increase in the number of beds

It should also be noted that in the face of the increase in hospitalizations in ordinary wards, the Calabria Region has activated new beds, probably subtracting them from other departments. In the last three days we have gone from 821 to 945 (+124). Which, despite the sustained increase in hospitalized patients (from 127 to 143), kept the employment rate of wards in the non-critical medical area stable at 15.1%. If the trend of hospitalizations continues to increase with difficulty at the next monitoring, it will be possible to remain below the critical threshold of 15% despite the new beds found.

The crux of the beds considered in intensive care

Finally a clarification. On the basis of the decree of 23 July 2021 (article 2, paragraph 2) the regions are required to communicate to the control room the data of the beds available in intensive care to the control room. The Ministry of Health completed the survey at the beginning of August. This is a figure calculated by sharing the criteria for identifying these posts with the Ministry. A “fixed” figure, which can only be updated on a monthly basis “on the basis of additional beds”, provided that these “do not affect those already existing and intended for other activities”. In other words, the new beds should correspond to more doctors and nurses, not subtracted from other departments or beds already set up.

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