Home » The proportion of “one-generation households” in China has soared by nearly 50%. Economic policy is difficult to handle (Figure) Demographic Crisis | Pension Crisis | Financial Observation | Wenlong

The proportion of “one-generation households” in China has soared by nearly 50%. Economic policy is difficult to handle (Figure) Demographic Crisis | Pension Crisis | Financial Observation | Wenlong

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The demographic crisis is approaching, which has had a major impact on the formulation of official economic policies. (Image source: Adobe stock)

[Look at China December 8, 2021](Look at the comprehensive report by Chinese reporter Wen Long) According to the latest China Statistical Yearbook, the situation of people living in the same generation or living alone is “Generation“The proportion rose to 49.5%.Population crisisNearly, to the officialeconomic policyThe formulation has a significant impact and is also related toPension crisisResonance.

On December 8, Chinese state media reported that the “family of three” is no longer mainstream. The family model in China has changed from “four generations living under one roof” to a “family of three” in which a couple live with children, and then to a family model in which the couple live alone or dominated by couples, that is, the “one-generation household”.

According to the latest “China Statistical Yearbook 2021”, the proportion of “one-generation households” in China in 2020 has increased by 15.33% compared with 10 years ago, reaching 49.5%.

In 2010, according to the China Population and Employment Statistical Yearbook, the proportion of second-generation households (“three-person households”) was as high as 47.83%. In 2020, the proportion of second-generation households has shrunk to 36.72%.

Behind the increase and decrease is a major change in China’s population structure. Instead, there are various forms of households: single living alone, couples, empty nesters, etc. From the perspective of the provinces, although the situation is different, the growth of one generation of households is also very rapid, and no province is less than 40%.

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The proportion of one-generation households in 13 provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities including Jilin, Inner Mongolia, and Tianjin has exceeded 50%, among which Shanghai, Heilongjiang, Beijing, and Zhejiang all exceed 58%. Relatively speaking, Hainan, Yunnan, Fujian and other places account for only slightly more than 40%. This shows that the increase in the proportion of one-generation households does not occur alone in certain regions, but a phenomenon that occurs across the country.

Dong Dengxin, a professor at Wuhan University of Science and Technology, said that the main reasons for this situation include declining total fertility rate, aging population, population mobility and other factors.

On November 20, the official media “China Fund News” reported that the birth rate of China’s population was at a record low, and the birth rate fell below 1%. Dong Yuzheng, president of the Guangdong Provincial Population Development Research Institute of China, analyzed that the epidemic has increased the economic pressure of the people, and the fear of future prospects has also impacted the willingness to bear children.

The “China Statistical Yearbook 2021” shows that the birth rate of China in 2020 is 8.52‰, falling below 10‰ for the first time, setting a record low. During the same period, the natural population growth rate (birth rate-death rate) of China was only 1.45‰, which also hit a record low.

According to the yearbook, compared with 2019, China’s population will increase by 2.04 million in 2020, compared with 4.67 million in the previous year, and an increase of 5.3 million in 2018.

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Lu Jiehua, vice president of the Chinese Society of Demography and professor of the Department of Sociology at Peking University, told the state media “China News Weekly” that the data disclosed in the “China Statistical Yearbook 2021” should be the lowest natural growth rate since 1949. The pace of negative population growth has advanced. If there is no growth this year and there is no rebound next year, it may be the past two years.

Chinese people have said that the government’s encouragement of childbirth is wishful thinking, the birth rate should be lower, and there must be water in the data.

Earlier on May 11, the Seventh China Census Report released by the National Bureau of Statistics of China was full of inconsistencies and loopholes. There were also huge controversies in data such as births and deaths.

Population data is the most fundamental basis for formulating economic policies, and data distortion makes Zhongnanhai’s decision-makers unfounded.

Feinian Chen from the Department of Sociology at the University of Maryland, who studies population development, previously pointed out that if China’s fertility rate continues to decline in the future, the pressure of population aging will follow. Not only will the economy be affected, but it will also give rise to the care of the elderly population. And other social issues. Even if the government intends to save the fertility rate, it is still to no avail.

Judging from a lot of information, the population crisis and pension crisis have caused chaos in Zhongnanhai’s economic decision-making. For the authorities, various crises are gradually appearing in Chinese society, but there are two crises that can shake China’s national strength: the population crisis and the aging/old-care crisis.

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China has entered a deeply aging society, and aging also presents the characteristics of a large elderly population, a significantly faster aging process, and obvious differences in the level of aging between urban and rural areas.

The declining birthrate and aging population in China are important trends in social development and will become China’s basic economic status for a long period of time in the future.

Editor in charge: Xin He Source: Look at China

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