Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has caused the Chinese community at home and abroad to focus on cross-strait relations. Therefore, how the CCP’s “two sessions” will express the Taiwan issue this year has become the focus of outside attention. The Fifth Session of the 13th National People’s Congress of the Communist Party of China opened in Beijing on the 5th. In his government work report, Premier Li Keqiang made the same general statement as last year when talking about cross-strait relations, but added the words “resolutely opposed to interference by external forces”, which may be related to Recently, Biden’s special mission is related to the visit of former US Secretary of State Pompeo to Taiwan.
According to the broadcast of the CCP media CCTV, when referring to Taiwan in the government report, Li Keqiang said that he will adhere to the general policy of working with Taiwan, implement the “overall strategy of the party to solve the Taiwan issue in the new era”, and adhere to the “one China” principle and the “1992 Consensus”. “, to promote the peaceful development of cross-strait relations and the “reunification of the motherland”, resolutely oppose the separatist act of Taiwan independence, and resolutely oppose the interference of external forces.
Last year’s “two sessions”, Li Keqiang’s government work report did not mention the implementation of the “New Era Party’s overall strategy for resolving the Taiwan issue”, and at the same time expressed “high vigilance and resolute containment of Taiwan independence and separatist activities.”
In the 2020 “Two Sessions”, Li Keqiang stated in his government work report on Taiwan-related work: “We must adhere to the general policy of Taiwan work, adhere to the one-China principle, and promote the peaceful development of cross-strait relations on the basis of the ’92 Consensus’. We must firmly oppose and Curb the separatist act of ‘Taiwan independence'” and so on.
Regarding the expression of “Taiwan independence”, the wording of the government work report in the last three years has changed from “resolute opposition and containment” in 2020, to “high vigilance” in 2021, and then to “resolute opposition” this year.
It is worth noting that this year’s government report added the expression “resolutely opposed to interference by external forces” on the Taiwan issue. Before the “two sessions” this year, US President Biden’s special envoy and former US Secretary of State Pompeo visited Taiwan successively. Pompeo even called on the United States to recognize Taiwan as a sovereign state diplomatically, and said that “this has nothing to do with Taiwan’s future independence. It is an acknowledgement of a clear and pre-existing fact.”
The successive moves of the United States to support the stage have made Beijing jump with anger. Taiwan’s presidential spokesman Zhang Dunhan said that at a time when the situation in Ukraine is severe, the visit of a high-level US delegation to Taiwan demonstrates that the Taiwan-US relationship is “rock solid.” At a press conference, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Wang Wenbin asked the United States to stop any form of official exchanges between the United States and Taiwan and handle Taiwan-related issues prudently. The Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council reminded the United States to “don’t continue to play with fire on the Taiwan issue.”
Some analysts pointed out that since the Russian-Ukrainian war, the United States has visited Taiwan successively, showing the importance it attaches to Taiwan, and also showing the international community the determination of the United States to support Taiwan. The newly added statement about the interference of external forces should be aimed at the recent actions of the United States.
The Russian-Ukrainian war is stalemate, and the visit of important US figures to Taiwan is of great significance
A well-known Taiwanese scholar and director of the Taipei branch of Japan’s Sankei Shimbun Akio Yaita posted an analysis on Facebook, saying that at a time when Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is still in a stalemate, important figures from the United States have come to Taiwan one after another, which is of great significance.
He believes that the primary purpose of the United States is to show the CCP. Because on the Ukraine issue, the United States knew in advance that war might break out, but it failed to use diplomatic means to prevent Russia’s attack in advance, resulting in an unmanageable situation. Therefore, after a painful remorse, I first expressed support for Taiwan on the Taiwan issue, and hoped that China would vote against the rat.
The second point is to cheer up the people of Taiwan. Taiwanese society is divided among ethnic groups and fake news is rampant, and the people are easily affected. This time, because the U.S. did not send troops to the Ukraine war, some media in Taiwan began to hype the issue of “the U.S. military will not come”. Therefore, Murren, the former chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff of the United States, said that “the United States‘ support for Taiwan is rock-solid”; Pompeo said that “the United States will always be with Taiwan”, in fact, he wanted to give Taiwan more confidence.
Yaita Akio believes that both parties want to increase their popularity. Because in today’s democratic countries, Ukrainian President Zelensky, who is on the front line against the power, is a popular fried chicken, and supporting him is absolutely politically correct, and the second popular person is Taiwan, who is steadfast and unyielding in the face of China’s hegemony. President Tsai Ing-wen. The U.S. will soon have mid-term elections, and expressing its support for Taiwan will definitely benefit the election. So in a sense, Murren came on behalf of the Biden Democrats, and Pompeo came on behalf of the Trump Republicans. After Pompeo announced his itinerary to come to Taiwan, Biden saw that something was wrong, and immediately sent Murren to come first and get there first.
Conflict in the Taiwan Strait will lead to World War 3
At present, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has entered its 10th day. Many observers believe that the CCP is weighing the issue of invading Taiwan by force by observing the Russian-Ukrainian war. Yuan Hongbing, a jurist based in Australia, holds the opposite view. He believes that the CCP should invade Taiwan by force or follow its communist totalitarian global expansion national strategy without being influenced by Putin. Whether Putin hits Ukraine or not, the CCP will invade Taiwan by force.
In an interview with The Epoch Times, he said that the time node for him to judge the CCP’s military invasion of Taiwan is in 2024, that is, before the next US election.
Yuan Hongbing said that the strategic focus of the United States is in the Asia-Pacific region, in the Taiwan Strait, not in Europe. The focus of international politics has already shifted from Europe to the Asia-Pacific region and to the Taiwan Strait.
“The next conflict in the Taiwan Strait is when the CCP’s tyranny launches the Taiwan Strait campaign, and when Xi Jinping launches the Taiwan Strait campaign, there is a real possibility of triggering a third world war. Now in Ukraine, this possibility does not exist at all.”