Original title: Chinese scholar: IS warned the Taliban not to cooperate with the US
(Observer News) After the Taliban entered Kabul, the domestic situation in Afghanistan seems to have gradually stabilized. However, the terrorist attack outside Kabul Airport on August 26, and the heavy casualties that followed, once again plunged the situation in this Central Asian country into turmoil.
Why did the extreme terrorist organization “ISIS Khorasan Branch” (ISIS-K) carry out terrorist attacks at this sensitive time and place? What impact will this have on the Taliban and the situation in Afghanistan? How will it affect China’s participation in Afghanistan’s reconstruction?
In response to these issues, Hong Kong’s “South China Morning Post” quoted a series of experts on related issues on the 27th, saying that the terrorist attack at Kabul Airport was an attempt by “ISIS” to reiterate its position in Afghanistan and warned the Taliban not to reach a ceasefire with the United States. protocol. And this will pose a “major threat” to Chinese investment and personnel safety in Afghanistan.
Yang Shu, former director of the Institute of Central Asia of Lanzhou University, said that as the Taliban build relations with foreign governments, “ISIS” is trying to use terrorist attacks to “show that it still has influence in Afghanistan.”
“For’ISIS-K’, the Taliban should stand in the same position against the United States, but now the Taliban seems to have abandoned its position and may cooperate with the United States,” Yang Shu. “The message this sends is that’ISIS’ will not give up confrontation with the United States like the Taliban.”
In his view, the Taliban may face a “very difficult situation” after the attack, because the confrontation between them and the United States may “intensify” after the attack. “ISIS” may be issuing a warning to the Taliban, asking them to “stop imagining not to confront the United States.”
According to previous information, the full name of “ISIS-K” is “Islamic State Khorasan” (Khorasan branch of Islamic State), and “Khorasan” (Khorasan) is a historical term that refers to today’s Afghanistan and the Middle East. Parts of Central Asia.
Although both “ISIS-K” and the Taliban are Sunni, there is actually a hostile relationship between the two. Since its establishment, “ISIS-K” has been at odds with the Taliban. In “ISIS-K”, there are many extremists who are dissatisfied with the Taliban.
Zhu Yongbiao, executive director of the “Belt and Road” Research Center of Lanzhou University and director of the Afghanistan Research Center, said that the chaos caused by the withdrawal of US troops is “an opportunity” for “ISIS”.
Surging images of the wounded in the hospital after the terrorist attack on the Afghan airportHe said: “A stable Afghanistan is not good for these extremist organizations. They are using chaos to plan attacks.’ISIS-K’ is expanding its influence and gaining more support from other terrorist organizations to maintain its relationship with the Taliban. Confront and maintain its position as the second largest extremist organization in Afghanistan.”
Sun Degang, an international affairs expert at Fudan University, said the attack also had an impact on China.
“Chinese investment and personnel security in Afghanistan face major threats,” Sun Degang said. “The deterioration of the situation will affect China’s future efforts to participate in the reconstruction of Afghanistan.”
In response to the current terrorist threat in Afghanistan and the Taliban’s previous commitment to “not allow any forces to use Afghan territory to do things against China”, Zhu Yongbiao said in an exclusive interview with Observer.com: “I think this requires more observation. It depends on the actual situation of the Taliban’s specific measures, not just his verbal promises, because historically, some of the Taliban’s promises have been fulfilled, and many of the promises have not been fulfilled in earnest. Moreover, judging from the many statements of the Taliban, they did. Some conflicting places.
He said: “For example, in order to show that the Taliban have become very moderate, they have said that they have not attacked girls’ schools and women in the past. This is obviously not true. At the same time, they said that women must receive education and education under the Islamic system. Work and other rights. But how do you explain Islam? What is the form of Islam in their mouths? Is it Turkish, Saudi or Iranian, or is it the original Taliban rule, or is it like the extremist organization “Islamic State” “The sites that were once controlled are the same? There is a lot of room for explanation, and the Taliban didn’t say it very clearly.”
“Therefore, the entire international community, including China, may be observing now. The reason is that you can’t look at what the Taliban say, it depends on what they do.”
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