[Epoch Times August 21, 2021]Hello, everyone, this is Tang Hao, how are you today?
Today’s focus: The US virus investigation will be released, and the CCP’s secret trick is rushing out of the pot? Biden’s high-level support for Taiwan, the strategy is blurred and clear? Hong Kong’s “Anti-Foreign Sanctions Law” has been halted urgently. What scruples does Beijing have?
The United States is about to announce the official version of the virus origin investigation report. Why is the CCP in a hurry? What tactics has the CCP adopted to actively throw away the pot? In addition, Biden said that if someone invades Taiwan, the United States will respond. Is Biden serious? Hong Kong’s “Anti-Foreign Sanctions Law” has been temporarily suspended. Why? This is the focus of our discussion today.
Topic 1: Insight into the Communist Party: The US Virus Investigation Will Announce the CCP’s Five Remedies
Topic 2: Answering questions at the crossroads
Let’s look at the first topic first.
Topic 1: Insight into the Communist Party: The U.S. Will Announce a Virus Investigation CCP’s Five Remedies
As you all know, it is now the end of August, and Biden ordered the intelligence department to speed up the investigation of the origin of the virus in May, and the results of the investigation will be announced 90 days later. In other words, the US will release an official virus investigation report in the next few days, arousing high attention from the international community.
On the eve of the report, the U.S. Department of Defense Policy Secretary Colin Kahl, who is the third most powerful person in the Department of Defense, and another think tank expert published a new book called “Aftershocks: Pandemic Politics” “And the End of the Old International Order”, the book discloses that at the beginning of this year, the CCP requested WHO experts not to conduct virus traceability investigations in order to allow the WHO team of experts to enter Wuhan.
For this reason, the WHO’s investigation results later declared that the claim that the virus leaked from the Wuhan laboratory was “extremely impossible,” but this claim also immediately attracted criticism and doubts from the international community. Now, the new book of the Secretary of Defense of the United States reveals the inside story of the CCP’s pressure on the WHO, which is tantamount to telling the world again: The CCP is very worried about the results of the virus investigation and is very worried about the relationship between the virus and the Wuhan Institute of Virology.
In fact, in my opinion, since the US requested to enter China to investigate the origin of the virus last year, the CCP has been trying its best to shake off the virus and cut the virus through a “five-step” model. We have talked about these five steps in the past. If you string together the first English word of each step, an “ADDCR” pattern will appear.
In fact, the ADDCR model originated from the teaching and warfare rules in the intelligence and spy system, and is specifically used to train spies how to deal with crisis situations. Now the CCP also uses this set of models to respond to the international community’s virus accountability actions. Let’s explain step by step:
First part: Admit nothing
When an agent encounters an identity being revealed or any unfavorable situation, the first intuitive reaction is to resolutely refuse to admit it, not to admit a word, completely isolate himself from any unfavorable accusations, and do not get caught. In fact, when you are at a passive disadvantage of being attacked, you should “defense” first to stabilize your position.
The CCP is the same. Faced with all accusations from the international community, including covering up the epidemic, delaying notifications, leaking the virus, etc., the CCP does not recognize them. This is the first step.
The second part: deny by all means (Deny, deny, deny)
After resolutely denying and standing firm on the defensive position, the next step is to launch a “counterattack.” The first step in a counterattack is to deny it to the end.
Shortly after the outbreak of the epidemic in China last year, international critics criticized the CCP for concealing the epidemic, which caused the virus to spread throughout the world. The CCP’s expert Zhong Nanshan immediately denied it and said that “Although the virus first appeared in China, it does not necessarily originate in China.” Later, the Chinese Communist Party and diplomatic envoys frequently denied it, claiming that the origin of the virus should be confirmed by scientists.
In this way, whenever there are any accusations, the CCP denies it to the end. In May of this year, the “Wall Street Journal” quoted a report from an intelligence agency stating that in November 2019, where the Wuhan virus was located, that is, one month before the outbreak, three researchers developed serious illnesses and went to the hospital for medical treatment. The Chinese Communist Party media immediately jumped out to deny that no one at the Wuhan Institute of Virology had been infected with the virus.
Now, the Undersecretary of the Department of Defense of the United States has released a book to reveal that the CCP is forcing WHO experts to reject the “laboratory leak” statement, which also shows that the CCP will unscrupulously deny everything that is detrimental to them.
Trilogy: Discredit others and question credibility (Discredit others)
Denial is the first step in the counterattack. The second step of the counterattack is to discredit the opponent’s credibility and question the opponent’s motives as problematic and biased, thereby prompting others to follow up to question the credibility of the opponent’s allegations. Generally speaking, this kind of credibility slander is mostly a claim that the opponent has a specific political motive or is bought by money.
For example, the CCP has always claimed that the U.S. and WHO’s virus traceability investigation is a “political manipulation.” Wang Yi has repeatedly criticized the U.S. for wanting to hold the CCP responsible for the virus on many occasions. It is actually a “political virus.” “. To put it simply, the CCP wants to lead the international community’s virus accountability into a “political struggle” and a “political smear”, and it wants to weaken the credibility and legitimacy of the US allegations.
The CCP also arranged for party media to issue articles claiming that the United States is using vaccines as a bargaining chip and to encourage China’s neighboring countries to accuse the CCP as the source of the virus. In addition, the Chinese Communist Party media also claimed that a Swiss biologist broke the news that the United States intimidated WHO experts and asked them to overturn the results of the first phase of the investigation, that is, overturning “the virus cannot leak from the laboratory.”
But embarrassingly, a few days later, the Swiss Embassy in China issued a special statement to publicly clarify that the Swiss biologist mentioned by the party media was not found. Switzerland did not have the biologist, and the party media requested the party media to correct it. This news. To put it bluntly, the CCP wanted to make up a Swiss mouth to slander the US, but it was beaten on the spot by Switzerland, and several teeth were lost.
However, although the CCP’s face was severely swollen, it did not give up its determination to slander. The incident of the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan made the CCP overjoyed and found new grounds for attack. The party media vigorously hyped “the United States is not credible”, “the U.S. promises are unreliable,” and so on. In fact, the purpose of such remarks is to indirectly discredit the credibility of the US in tracing the virus.
Four Steps: Counter-allegation
After defending and discrediting the opponent’s credibility, the third step of the counterattack is to actively raise all kinds of “counter-accusations” to attack the opponent, to throw the blame back, and to transfer the pressure to the opponent; at the same time, also You can shift the focus to further protect yourself.
For example, after the US proposed to trace the source of the virus last year, the Chinese Communist Party Zhao Lijian immediately jumped out and said that the virus came from the US military and was brought by the US military when they came to Wuhan to participate in the World Military Games. However, this statement was immediately debunked because there was no evidence; the CCP changed its words again. , Shake the virus to the frozen food.
Later, the CCP continued to “travel around the world” with the virus. It first flung the virus to Italy in Europe, then Spain, then India, then Australia, and recently returned to the United States. From the Fort Detrick Biological Laboratory in the United States.
Well, the CCP “travels all over the world” with the virus. We don’t know if it wants to imitate the spirit of Confucius. However, the latest version of the CCP’s current script says that the virus has leaked from the US laboratory. To put it bluntly, it is to “copy” and “paste” the accusations of others against the CCP and return it to the US. There is no new idea.
In fact, the CCP’s “counter-accusations” against the US have been clarified one by one by the US, and I will not repeat them here. Moreover, the simplest common sense is that if the virus really leaks from a laboratory in the United States, it stands to reason that the epidemic should break out in the United States first, rather than in Wuhan, China, on the other side of the earth, right?
In the face of these common-sense doubts, the CCP completely avoided talking about it. It just kept throwing out all kinds of accusations and dumping the pot. On the one hand, it wanted to get rid of responsibilities and shift the focus; on the other hand, it also wanted to treat the Chinese people in a big way. It is proclaimed to “vaccinate” the people in advance. Once the U.S. investigation results are unfavorable to the CCP, they can tell the people: “Look, the U.S. is doing politics and discrediting us. Don’t believe them!”
Five Steps: Repeat pitch
After completing the defense and counterattack, the last step is to repeatedly emphasize your original statement, and you must repeat it many times and say the falsehood as true, so that you can continue to deceive the public, stabilize your credibility, and protect your safety. .
For example, in addition to recent efforts to attack the United States and dump the virus, the Chinese Communist Party media has also issued a large number of reports to proclaim its consistent statement, declaring that the epidemic in China is “open and transparent,” and it also said that it will donate US$2 billion to help the world fight the epidemic. . The CCP also claims that it has produced a large number of vaccines to aid the international community, supporting the “lifeline” of the global fight against the epidemic.
The CCP also claimed that they “uphold the concept of people first and life first, and protect people’s lives, health and safety at all costs.” Well, these words sound very familiar, because they are the official language of the Chinese Communist Party for a long time. These old tunes are constantly replayed, which is to achieve the brainwashing effect of “faking into reality” through intensive cognitive bombardment. .
Okay, let’s say it again. In the face of the US’s upcoming virus investigation report, the CCP also adopted a set of special spy response methods to launch a counterattack layout, including:
First part: Admit nothing
The second part: deny by all means (Deny, deny, deny)
Trilogy: Discredit others and question credibility (Discredit others)
Four Steps: Counter-allegation
Five Steps: Repeat pitch
The first English word of these five methods is the “ADDCR” mode, which is also the CCP’s five-step virus-smashing pot. Please remember this model, because it is very helpful for us to analyze the CCP’s words and deeds.
We haven’t answered questions on the show for a long time, so now let’s answer a few more important current affairs questions.
Question 1: Biden said that if someone invades Taiwan, the United States will respond. Is he serious?
Well, this issue is one of the most watched international focuses in the past few days. The U.S. military’s withdrawal from Afghanistan and the withdrawal of chaos has caused the international community’s confidence in the United States to plummet, and it has also raised questions from all walks of life whether Taiwan will become the next Afghanistan. .
Therefore, Biden also personally appeared on TV interviews, emphasizing that the United States will abide by its promises to allies. The most surprising thing is that Biden not only said that if someone invaded Taiwan, the United States would respond, he also raised Taiwan’s status to the same level as NATO’s allies.
Looking at what he said, he said: “We keep every promise, and we make a sacred promise to Article 5 (North Atlantic Treaty). If someone invades or takes action against our NATO allies, we will respond. It’s the same for Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan.”
As we all know, NATO Article 5 is the famous “collective defense”, which means that any attack on a certain NATO member will be regarded as an attack on NATO as a whole, and NATO will respond with a counterattack. This is NATO’s most powerful deterrent force, and it is also the reason why many small Eastern European countries are vying to join NATO, because joining NATO can get the protection of many allies.
But the problem is that Taiwan is not a member of NATO, and Taiwan does not have the “Security Treaty” or the “Mutual Defense Treaty” with the United States like Japan and South Korea, only the “Taiwan Relations Act” and the “Six Guarantees”. So Biden said this time, “Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan are all the same.” This surprised the outside world.
I think that, first of all, Biden said this obviously to restore the embarrassment of the defeat of the Afghan troop withdrawal. He wants to declare to the international community that the United States will assist the defense of Taiwan and fight the CCP through tougher words and clearer commitments. This is exactly in line with our previous analysis. The current US-China situation will make Taiwan’s international status more and more elevated.
Secondly, when Biden said this, is it a slip of the tongue? Yes, we know that Biden often says something wrong, but if it is a slip of the tongue this time, it stands to reason that the US government will immediately come out to clarify or supplement or modify it to cool the atmosphere. But what is interesting is that the United States does not seem to have done so. In other words, it seems that the United States also intends to keep this speech, but it will not explain it much, and let all walks of life interpret it by themselves.
Okay, does this mean that US-China-Taiwan relations should move from “strategic ambiguity” to “strategic clarity”? In my opinion, it should be towards “strategic obscurity”, which is a bit clearer than vagueness. After all, for the United States, the greatest interest is to maintain the current cross-strait status quo, and no one can overwhelm the other. However, because the CCP’s recent ambitions and threats have become greater and greater, it has forced the United States to use stronger words and attitudes to check and balance. Chinese Communist Party.
Especially this time in Afghanistan, Biden has been criticized at home and abroad, so he is bound to show a tougher and more resolute stance on the Taiwan Strait issue to eliminate outside doubts and distrust, and at the same time suppress the Chinese Communist Party’s opportunity to prosper. The impulse to invade Taiwan.
Therefore, I think the US side does not have to achieve “strategic clarity” in one step, but because the CCP is constantly aggressive towards Taiwan and the US, forcing the US side to clearly show its cards step by step. To put it bluntly, I think as we said when we analyzed Lithuania last time, the United States is constantly revising and updating their cross-strait policies under the framework of “one China” to prevent the CCP from dominating cross-strait relations.
Moreover, it’s interesting that every time the CCP presses the US or Taiwan, the US draws a new red line, overshadowing the CCP’s original red line, and “anti-encircle” the CCP step by step, just like playing chess. Two steps back to you, but the CCP can only verbalize and curse, but can’t pay back.
Therefore, the following US-China-Taiwan relations will enter a more subtle balance of terror. But there are a few important points to note: First, will the Biden administration do what it says? This point must be observed. If the US can also strengthen its support for Taiwan and strengthen its deterrence against the CCP in action, it can suppress the CCP’s misjudgment and ambitions.
Second, Taiwan must also use actions to demonstrate a stronger determination to defend its homeland. It must strengthen its military training and scale. It must not treat the US as its own bodyguard or mercenary, otherwise it will lose the support and trust of its international allies.
Third, the current situation is actually relatively favorable for Taiwan. Because the US now needs to regain its face in the international community, it will have a stronger motivation to defend the Taiwan Strait. Therefore, if Taiwan can actively improve its defense capabilities in action, it may be able to obtain more support and assistance from the US to further consolidate the stability and balance of the Taiwan Strait.
Question 2: Why did the CCP suspend the promotion of the Anti-Foreign Sanctions Law in Hong Kong?
Well, everyone knows that the CCP passed the Anti-Foreign Sanctions Law in June this year, and wanted to use this law to sanction foreign companies, governments, and individuals. Originally, the Chinese Communist Party also wanted to pass a proposal in the Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress these days to incorporate the Anti-Foreign Sanctions Law into Hong Kong for implementation, but in the end it temporarily suspended it and said that it would be discussed later.
Obviously, for such an important bill to stop, it must be ordered by the Beijing Central Committee to step on the brakes. Then why did the central government call to stop temporarily? Obviously because of economic factors. The Hong Kong stock market plunged nearly 600 points on Friday, and the Hang Seng Index fell below the 25,000 mark. This shows that the financial community is very worried that Hong Kong’s economic prospects will be repeatedly undermined by the CCP’s political intervention.
As you all know, the two most important overseas fundraising markets for Chinese companies are the New York Stock Exchange and Hong Kong. Now Xi Jinping has ordered the tightening of Chinese companies’ listing in the United States, so only Hong Kong remains the main channel through which Chinese companies can obtain overseas investment. But now international funds are increasingly pessimistic about Hong Kong’s prospects.
Therefore, the CCP is also worried that if the Anti-Foreign Sanctions Law is implemented in Hong Kong at this time, it may force more foreign-funded enterprises and foreign banks to withdraw from Hong Kong in order to avoid risks. This will not only further deteriorate Hong Kong’s financial economy, but also As more Chinese companies under debt pressure cannot find overseas funds to recycle, the economic development of the Chinese mainland will also be hit hard, so this is the main reason why the CCP has suspended the implementation.
Question 3: It is the seventh month of the lunar calendar. Can you talk about some topics related to “Ghost Moon”?
Well, August 8th is the first day of the seventh month of the lunar calendar, which is the day when the “ghost door opens” as traditional folks say, which means the “ghost month” has begun. Of course, because of the influence of the CCP’s “atheism” in China, people generally do not believe in the existence of gods and ghosts. However, in Hong Kong and Taiwan, the folks have many legends and rules about ghosts.
In fact, when I saw this question, I found it very interesting, and I wanted to say whether I could do some related topics. But then I thought that there are actually many viewers who don’t like to touch these topics in Guiyue, which will make them feel uncomfortable, so I thought about it, and it’s better not to do it. Please forgive me for this.
However, I want to share a little bit of my personal experience. “Ghost Moon” does exist, but as long as one has a kind heart and values morality, then don’t worry too much. Because a righteous person will naturally have gods and Buddhas.
Ok, let’s talk about it today. If you like our program, please remember to subscribe, leave a message, press like, and please introduce it to more friends. Thank you for watching and we will see you next time.
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Editor in charge: Li Hao#
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