Home » Extraordinary!China’s Wheat Harvest Will Affect Global Economy Farmers Sell Young Crops as Grass | Xi Jinping | Food Security | Wheat | Young Crops | Silage | Global Economy | Hunger | Poverty | War | Weather | Perfect Storm

Extraordinary!China’s Wheat Harvest Will Affect Global Economy Farmers Sell Young Crops as Grass | Xi Jinping | Food Security | Wheat | Young Crops | Silage | Global Economy | Hunger | Poverty | War | Weather | Perfect Storm

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Extraordinary!China’s Wheat Harvest Will Affect Global Economy Farmers Sell Young Crops as Grass | Xi Jinping | Food Security | Wheat | Young Crops | Silage | Global Economy | Hunger | Poverty | War | Weather | Perfect Storm

[Voice of Hope, May 11, 2022](Comprehensive report by our reporter He Jingtian)Recently, Chinese farmers sold young wheat crops that were about to mature and harvested as silage to farmers. Several industry insiders and experts interviewed by CCTV on May 11 agreed that something was wrong. Wang Jian, a senior media person, pointed out that farmers sell young wheat crops that can be harvested immediately as feed. The only possibility is that they judge that the wheat harvest will be very poor, which is related to the CCP’s extreme epidemic prevention measures. The New York Times reported on May 11 that global food prices will continue to climb if China’s wheat harvest is poor. The war in Ukraine and this year’s harsh weather have contributed to a perfect storm for food production.

Harvesting wheat crops in many places in China attracts attention

In more than 20 days, the wheat in northern China is about to mature. But recently, many videos of harvesting young wheat crops have been circulating on the Internet. The video shows that the whole piece of green-looking wheat fell to the roar of the harvester. Some of these young wheat shoots have already set ears.

Judging from the information transmitted by the video, these harvested wheat crops are mainly used to make silage. The farmers who grow wheat can get an income of 1,500 yuan per mu.

The CCTV Sannong Channel reported on May 11 that for this reason, reporters from the channel interviewed relevant companies and experts.

Li Guoxiang, a researcher at the Institute of Rural Development of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said that usually grain wheat (wheat in a mature state) can reach a high yield of 500 kg per mu. At present, wheat can be sold at a high price of 1.5 yuan/catties, so the average grain wheat Can be sold for 1300 yuan per mu. The wheat is now about a month away from maturity, during which time farmers will need ongoing cost inputs. If someone buys green wheat at a price of 1,500 yuan per mu at this time, it will still be very attractive to farmers. After the farmers harvest the wheat in advance, they can plant corn and get the next income.

However, is this transaction cost-effective for breeding enterprises (farmers)?

Gao Xiang, head of the Luxi Yellow Cattle Farm in Shandong Province, said it was wrong to spend 1,500 yuan to collect one mu of young wheat crops as silage.

Gao Xiang said that it is possible to use wheat as silage, but the cost is too high to be worthwhile. Because corn is mainly used as silage now. At present, the biomass of silage corn per acre is generally more than 3 tons. The nutrition of silage corn is much higher than that of silage wheat, and the price of silage corn purchased by aquaculture enterprises is generally average. In the 1200 yuan to 1300 yuan. The current wheat has just begun to fill the grain. It has little nutrition and is just a kind of grass. Moreover, the biomass of one acre of wheat is just over one ton. The cost of 1,500 yuan to buy one ton of grass is too high.

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Yan Shengmao, who is in charge of raising cattle at Shengmu Dairy, has worked in the dairy farming industry for many years. In an interview, he said that 1,500 yuan per mu of young wheat crops is 750 yuan per ton, even if it is calculated as two tons of biomass per mu of land. If the cost of silage is added, the price of a ton of silage wheat is 800 yuan, while the price of silage corn they bought last year was only about 720 yuan, and silage wheat is not as high as silage corn in terms of nutritional transformation.

Yan Shengmao said that the use of silage wheat as feed is rare in the dairy farming industry. Many years ago, some people in Inner Mongolia did an experiment and used silage wheat to feed dairy cows, but they gave up later. Few of them used silage wheat as feed these years. Regarding the news about the purchase of young wheat crops by breeding enterprises on the Internet, Yan Shengmao analyzed that it may also be that the price of corn was high last year, and some breeding enterprises were insufficiently prepared for silage corn, so they had to buy a little wheat seedlings at high prices as a supplement. Normal breeding enterprises are Not a lot of acquisitions.

Yang Pengbiao, Technical Director of Shanghai Mugao Biotechnology Co., Ltd. has been working in the silage industry for a long time. According to him, there is still relatively little wheat used as silage in China, mainly because its nutritional value is relatively low compared with silage corn. At the same time, compared with corn, the biomass produced by wheat is too small.

Zhao Liansheng, senior animal husband of the Institute of Animal Husbandry of the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, also believes that it is not cost-effective for breeding enterprises to purchase young wheat crops for silage for 1,500 yuan per mu.

According to CCTV, both farmers and industry experts think this is a bit abnormal. But in any case, such a thing will not happen on a large scale, because the market is not supported.

CCP’s official response

Regarding the situation of farmers cutting green wheat as fodder, on May 8, the Department of Agriculture and Rural Affairs of Henan Province issued an emergency notice, requiring that from now until the end of the wheat harvest, no place, any unit, or any person shall destroy the wheat or use the wheat for any reason. in silage.

On May 10, officials from the relevant departments of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs of the Communist Party of China stated that in response to the recent media reports of the destruction of wheat in some places and the video of “cutting green wheat for feed” circulating on the Internet, verification and verification have been deployed during the “May 1st” period, and all relevant provinces will pay close attention to it. Scheduling and investigation, the “violation of laws and regulations” behaviors are found and dealt with together.

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Li Guoxiang said that farmers have autonomy in buying and selling food and need more policy guidance.

The zero-clearing policy delays the farmers to stop losses during the farming season

Regarding the phenomenon of farmers buying young wheat crops, senior media person Wang Jian analyzed in the live broadcast on May 11 that from the video streaming out of the Internet, this phenomenon is not an isolated case, but a common one. However, people in the industry believe that this is wrong, and where is the wrong?

The young crop transaction mentioned here has four conditions: 1. Wheat young crops; 2. The buyer is a farmer (breeding enterprise); 3. The young crops are sold as silage;

Wang Jian believes that the first three conditions should be no problem. The problem lies in the price. The price of 1,500 per mu definitely does not exist. If this transaction can be established, the transaction price is very low, and farmers may be willing to buy it. . So what makes farmers sell wheat crops that are about to ripen and harvest at low prices?

Wang Jian said that this year’s agricultural production first encountered unfavorable climatic conditions. There was more rain in the harvest season, which affected the filling of young wheat crops. This was the first factor. The second point is that the farmers missed the planting season and this year’s farming season will have an impact on the output of wheat. This is the second point. The third point is that the CCP’s epidemic prevention has greatly interfered with farmers’ farming and affected field management. The farmers judged that this year’s harvest was It will be quite poor, so selling young crops is a stop loss for farmers.

Wang Jian said that this may be the reason why farmers sold their young crops early. There is no external force destroying China’s food production safety, and there is no official “illegal and illegal” behavior by the CCP.

Wang Jian pointed out that the CCP’s extreme zero-clearing policy has not only damaged industrial production, disrupted commercial operations, but also significantly hit agricultural production. This year’s crop failure and reduction in China’s grain production are predictable.

The New York Times reported on May 11 that China’s June wheat harvest is a major factor of uncertainty for the global economy. The global economy is already struggling with high commodity prices, especially in regions that rely heavily on crops from Russia and Ukraine. A poor future wheat harvest in China could further push up food prices and exacerbate hunger and poverty in the world‘s poorest country.

Russian incursions, including blockades of Ukrainian ports, disrupted food supplies from Ukraine. Ukraine is a major grain exporter and has long been known as the breadbasket of Europe.

Energy prices have been rising since before the war, prompting many fertilizer producers to slow production or close factories. As fertilizer costs have skyrocketed, many farmers around the world are reducing their use of fertilizers, resulting in smaller harvests.

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After the war, severe weather around the world added to the challenges of food production. This spring, India, a major wheat exporter, was scorching hot, while crops in the southern U.S. Great Plains and East Africa were also hit by drought.

This is a double whammy for some countries in East Africa, where bread prices have doubled. “44 million people around the world are heading for hunger,” the World Food Programme warned on Friday.

Adequate food supplies have long been a priority in China, where tens of millions of people died of famine during Mao Zedong’s disastrous agricultural experiments in the early 1960s.

Xi Jinping, the top leader of the Communist Party of China, takes food security as the top priority, and at different times and on different occasions emphasizes the stability of the rice bowl, and the rice bowl should be filled with Chinese grains.

In a speech published on March 31 this year in the Communist Party’s magazine “Qiushi”, Xi Jinping warned that “the demand for food will continue to increase for a period of time in the future, and the balance between supply and demand will become tighter and tighter.” The international situation is complex and severe, and the string to ensure food security must always be tight and tight.”

In early March, China’s Agriculture Minister Tang Renjian said the wheat harvest would be the worst ever due to last autumn’s floods, drawing international attention. Other Agriculture Department officials have also issued warnings, albeit less pessimistically.

Western experts analyzing satellite photos of Chinese crops are generally less concerned than Chinese officials. The U.S. Department of Agriculture estimated last month that China’s wheat production would be 3 percent lower than last year.

“I don’t think it’s going to be a disaster, but I don’t think it’s a normal harvest either,” said Darrin Friedrichs, founder and director of market research at Shanghai-based commodity analysis firm Sitonia Consulting.

Top Chinese officials have issued gloomy warnings before to ensure lower officials keep a close eye on the harvest, especially in 2011. Global food shortages could make Chinese officials extra vigilant this year.

The outbreak of the CCP virus has complicated China’s food problems. Lockdowns this spring disrupted agricultural production in large agricultural regions such as Jilin Province. Many families are barred from leaving their residences to go grocery shopping, making it difficult to find enough food.

Many people have been stockpiling food, fearing they will be hit by the same lockdown restrictions. China’s jitters over grain inventories could ripple through global supply chains.

Global food prices have climbed sharply, with wheat up nearly 80 percent since July.

The New York Times reported that it was a perfect storm of war and weather.

Responsible editor: Lin Li

This article or program has been edited and produced by Voice of Hope. Please indicate Voice of Hope and include the original title and link when reprinting.

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