Home » India surprises experts on “Delta+” variants: India’s third wave of epidemics may arrive within 6 to 8 weeks-IT & Health

India surprises experts on “Delta+” variants: India’s third wave of epidemics may arrive within 6 to 8 weeks-IT & Health

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Since June, the new crown pneumonia epidemic in India has been generally stable, and the number of newly diagnosed cases reported daily has continued to decline. However, something worrying still happened. Rajesh Bhushan, a senior official of the Ministry of Health of India, said at a press conference on June 22 that India has recently discovered a new variant of the virus strain “Delta Plus” (Delta Plus), which has been in three states. Dozens of cases have been detected and are worthy of attention.

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In an interview with a reporter from China Business News, Liu Zongyi, secretary-general of the China-South Asia Cooperation Research Center of the Shanghai Institute of International Studies, said that in terms of the second wave of epidemics, the epidemic has indeed improved in large Indian cities, but in small and medium-sized cities. And the situation in rural areas is still unclear. He said that the mutation of the new crown pneumonia virus during the large-scale spread is not only “Delta+”, but also a variety of fungal diseases have been found at the same time. These are all factors that may lead to the third wave of outbreaks.

“Delta+”

The more scientific name of “Delta+” is B.1.617.2.1, and it is also known as the AY.1 variant, which is formed by the further mutation of the highly infectious new crown mutant strain “Delta”.

Soumya Swaminathan, the chief scientist of the World Health Organization (WHO), said on the 18th that “Delta” is becoming the main epidemic strain in the global new crown epidemic. At present, “Delta” has been detected in 92 countries and regions. This strain was first discovered in India in October 2020 and was initially called a “double mutant” virus by the media.

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At present, India’s Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Kerala and other places have reported cases of “Delta+” infection. Since these three states are not adjacent to each other and are located in the north, central, and south of India, health experts believe that it shows that this mutant strain has spread in India.

At the same time, the Ministry of Health and Population of Nepal announced on the 21st that cases of infection with this strain have also been found in its territory.

According to reports in the Indian media, some health experts worry that Delta+ may be able to escape the antibodies produced by infection or vaccination. There are even some Indian media relaying what the experts said, “Delta+” may be the “most dangerous” mutant strain known so far.

However, some experts said that there is not enough evidence to conclude that the “Delta+” infection rate is faster and more dangerous. As far as the known cases of infection are concerned, they are mainly mild, and the related conditions still need to be further observed and studied. People are urged not to panic too much.

At present, the most confirmed cases of “Delta+” have been detected in the Indian state of Maharashtra. Experts in this state worry that “Delta+” may trigger a third wave of epidemics, even earlier than expected. For this reason, the local The government is already preparing for the third wave of the epidemic.

Expert: The third wave of epidemics may occur within 6 to 8 weeks

Regarding the new wave of epidemics, Randeep Guleria, director of the All India Institute of Medical Sciences, said on the 19th that the third wave of new coronary pneumonia in India may begin in 6 to 8 weeks. Previously, Indian public health experts have stated that a new wave of epidemics is inevitable and is likely to start from September to October.

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At present, various places in India have adopted unblocking measures. The Indian government has repeatedly stated that the strict blockade has played an important role in epidemic prevention. But now all parts of the country have been unblocked. The Indian federal government issued a warning to all states on the 19th to wear masks and maintain social distancing and other epidemic prevention measures must not be relaxed.

Guleria said: “As India begins to lift the blockade, we can once again see the lack of response to the new crown pneumonia epidemic. It seems that we have not learned the lessons from the first and second waves of the epidemic.”

Guleria went on to say: “If you don’t follow the measures suitable for epidemic prevention, the third wave may occur within 6 to 8 weeks. Before vaccination starts, we need to actively work to prevent another wave of outbreaks.” He suggested, Epidemic hotspots need to adopt active surveillance strategies and blockades in the event of any major surge.

From the 21st, India will open the new crown vaccine to all adults free of charge. On that day, India vaccinated 8.6 million people, breaking the record for the number of vaccinations in a single day in India.

However, many local health experts believe that it will be difficult to maintain such a rate of vaccination in the future, because one day of vaccination has consumed a lot of the state’s multi-day reserves. Currently, only about 5% of India’s population has completed two doses of vaccination.

At the same time, Indian small and medium-sized enterprises have recently faced operating difficulties and many have faced bankruptcy, leading to a further increase in unemployment. “The Modi government did not make up its mind to take severe measures to close the city this year because of fear of the economic impact. This has led to rounds of outbreaks in India, which has caused even greater damage to the economy,” said Liu Zongyi. .

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