Israeli analysts and researchers agree that Iran poses the greatest strategic threat to Israel’s national security, and this is achieved by escalating its military deployment risks and trying to establish militia organizations and troops similar to Lebanon’s Hezbollah in Syria. of.
Major Israeli research centers and various strategic assessments revealed that Tel Aviv believes that Tehran’s increasingly powerful forces and its ability to use suicide drones and long-range missiles to attack Israel from Iraq, Yemen, Syria, and Gaza are already very dangerous.
Israel’s worries and fears are not limited to Iran’s conventional weapons, suicide drones and missile platforms deployed in Syria, but have penetrated into the digital space and virtual world. Tel Aviv believes that the cyber war (electronic invasion) launched by Iranian hacker groups against Israeli civilian and military targets poses a threat to Israel’s national security. In addition, the Iranian nuclear program is also regarded by Israel as a threat at all levels.
While these concerns existed, the Israeli Air Force resumed targeting and strongholds against the Iranian militia in Syria. Prior to this, these attacks had been suspended for two months. It should be noted that before the resumption of these attacks, both Russian President Putin and Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett participated in the Sochi summit.
Close to the Golan Heights
The Israeli journalist Yovaf Stern, who specializes in Arab affairs, believes that the unprecedented escalation of Tehran’s use of drones and anti-missiles to attack Israeli targets reflects Iran’s efforts to break the restrictions imposed on it to strengthen its military in Syria. Existed, and entered a frenetic competition.
Regarding the signs of the escalation of Iran’s threat in Syria, the Israeli reporter pointed out to Al Jazeera reporters, “This confirms that Iran is continuing to make efforts to support, help and maintain the rule of the Assad regime. In addition to this public goal, It is also committed to achieving its hidden goals to develop its military capabilities and establish militias loyal to it on Syrian territory.”
The reporter stated that Iran is committed to replicating its experience in establishing and supporting Hezbollah in Lebanon at this stage, and seeks to build its own military and militia organizations and groups loyal to Hezbollah on the ceasefire line in Syrian territory and the Golan Heights. So that these forces constitute a strategic threat to the Israeli hinterland.
Measures to contain Israel
Stern pointed out that in this context, Tel Aviv found itself “in a state of private emergency because it rejected Iran’s measures and tried its best to defeat Iran and destroy its military capabilities.”
However, some restrictive measures have prevented Israel from continuing to launch attacks or air strikes against targets and strongholds in Syria. The Israeli journalist pointed out that “Russia has the final decision on the situation in Syria. Therefore, Israel will be subject to Moscow’s wishes and interests. Similarly, Moscow will not allow Tehran to act improperly on Syrian territory.”
The reporter also believes that the Sochi summit, attended by Putin and Bennett, opened a new stage for the coordination of Tel Aviv and Moscow on Syrian territory. Its main purpose was to deter all participants on the Syrian stage. And gave Tel Aviv the green light to weaken Iran’s role, but it will not completely destroy Tehran’s military capabilities in Syria.
Israel previously bombed a stronghold in Syria allegedly belonging to Iranians (Al Jazeera)Russian control
Although Iran’s threat has escalated and strengthened its military deployment in Syria, Stern refused to weaken the role of Israel’s attacks and bombings in Syria. “If this were not the case, Iran’s presence and influence in Syria would be greater than it is now. many.”
He explained that Russia is the party that determines the balance of the game on Syrian territory. It will continue to control the local situation and will not allow any party-whether it is Iran, the Syrian regime, or even Israel-to break the current power. A state of balance or deterrence.
Stern pointed out at the end that “Iran values its presence in Syria to create a military force that can continue to threaten Israel. The purpose is to prevent the Israeli army from directly attacking or bombing nuclear project sites in Iran.”
Hinder Iran from deepening its military capabilities
Ifram Kam, a researcher at the National Security Institute of Tel Aviv University and an expert on Iran, agreed with the above view. He also emphasized that for Tehran, the importance of its presence in Syria and Lebanon lies in its continuous impact on Israel. Threaten and prevent Israel from launching any attacks on its nuclear facilities.
Kam explained to Al Jazeera reporters that the Iranian regime considers Israel to be a serious threat and the second largest threat after the United States. Therefore, Tehran believes that it is very important to prevent Tel Aviv from harming its assets and influence in the Middle East. At the same time, Israel refuses to accept deterrence and threats, and confronts Iran’s various attempts to strengthen its deployment and capabilities.
Kam pointed out the nature of the main confrontation between Iran and Israel. In recent years, this confrontation has been mainly concentrated in Syria and its surrounding areas. Israel has repeatedly attacked the targets of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards and armed militias in these areas.
Kam believes that the goal of these attacks by Israel is to undermine Iran’s deployment and status in Syria, and to thwart Tehran’s attempts to establish and deepen its new military capabilities in Syria.
In 2018, an Israeli plane shot down in Syria (Al Jazeera)Limited response
The Israeli researcher believes that Tehran failed to prevent Israel from continuing to launch attacks in Syria, and the local forces loyal to Iran suffered heavy losses and severe damage.
He also pointed out that “it is true that Iranians have the ability to react and attack Israel to deter it, especially by using Hezbollah and Iran’s own missiles”, “but this happens really rarely.”
Kam added, “So far, Iran has only fired missiles at Israeli targets in a few cases. This is not a coincidence. This reflects Iran’s cautious attitude to prevent the conflict from worsening on a large scale because of this situation. It may cause the United States to join Israel in a full-scale confrontation with Iran, or to launch an attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities.”
.