PARIS. Marine Le Pen rose and rose in recent days in the polls relating to the first round of the French presidential elections. In mid-March, the gap between her, placed in second place in the inquiries, compared to President Emmanuel Macron (who then sailed even more than 30%) was more than ten percentage points. But then the gap has narrowed more and more, until it closes: the first exit polls released on Sunday by the Belgian media (in advance of the official ones, which will be announced at 20 in Paris, after the closing of the polling stations) give Macron and Le Pen practically aligned at 24%.
Jean-Luc Mélenchon, the leader of France insoumise, the radical left follows in third place: he too has registered a surge in recent days, thanks to the appeal launched to the voters of the other left forces for a “useful vote” (of the series: vote for me, only I have a chance to pass the ballot). But in the end it is still the Macron-Le Pen duet that prevails, as in 2017. Back then, in the first round, Macron had taken 24% of the votes and Le Pen 21.3%. Then, however, Macron won the ballot with 66.1% of the votes and Le Pen stopped at 33.9. The polls of the last few days, however, give a reduced gap for the second round this time (in some cases even Macron at 51% and Le Pen at 49%).
The far-right tsarina could benefit from more ballot carry-overs than five years ago. Eric Zemmour’s voters should mostly vote for it and other consensus would also come from those who voted for Mélenchon in the first round (a popular electorate who finds some of his themes in Le Pen’s speech, without considering who even wants to block Macron by voting for Le Pen …) and from the constituency of Valérie Pécresse, the candidate of the Republicans, the moderate right and the result of neo-Gallicism (since Le Pen has become more moderate, even a part of these voters may prefer it to Macron).
(News being updated)
Presidential elections in France: the vote of Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen