[Epoch Times, March 24, 2022]Russia has invaded Ukraine for nearly a month, and the war has entered a stalemate. The Russian army has generally turned to the strategic defensive, and the Ukrainian army has turned more to the counter-offensive. Another protagonist behind the war is becoming more and more revealing. It should be said that the US military was involved in at least half of it. The U.S. military is preparing for another possible war in the Western Pacific as it prepares to take down Russia.
The U.S. military may not have to prepare for two more wars
Before Russia invaded Ukraine, the White House made it clear that the U.S. military would not directly intervene. Of course, the United States does not want to face two wars at the same time. The Indo-Pacific region has always been a strategic priority. The US military has appropriately increased its troops to defend the front lines in Eastern Europe, but has significantly increased deterrence in the Western Pacific. The US aircraft carrier and amphibious fleet are in the South China Sea and the Philippine Sea. Frequent large-scale drills, warning the CCP not to try to take the opportunity to take risks.
After the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian war, the U.S. military reduced large-scale exercises in the Western Pacific, and it should have been detected that the Chinese military did not dare to act rashly. After the U.S. military quelled the CCP, in the Ukrainian battlefield, in addition to not investing in front-line troops and high-end strike weapons, the rest of the military tools were basically used.
The U.S. military hopes to take the opportunity to weaken Russia’s military power, which will greatly reduce the strength of the Russian military and will no longer pose a serious conventional military threat to NATO.
With the help of the U.S. military, the Ukrainian army successfully resisted the Russian attack, causing considerable losses to the Russian army. When US President Biden travels to Europe, he should consult with NATO allies on how to minimize Russia’s ability to threaten NATO.
If the United States can achieve its goals, Russia will not be able to start another major war; the US military will probably no longer need to prepare for two conventional wars at the same time, and prepare for one and a half wars in the future.
U.S. military involved in halftime Ukraine war
The U.S. military did not use tanks, missiles, F-35 fighters, etc., but the U.S. military’s combat system has fully participated in the Ukraine battlefield. The U.S. military was only short of pulling the final trigger, not issuing the final attack order, and participating in the rest of the process.
U.S. intelligence agencies should have shared as much information as possible with Ukraine. From the perspective of the preparation and response of the Ukrainian army, the U.S. military has handed over all the combat plans and deployments of the Russian army to Ukraine, and also provided staff services.
The U.S. Space Force should have provided the Ukrainian military with navigation, encrypted communications, and possibly even interference with Russian satellites and communications systems. At least the U.S. Cyber Command should have provided cyber protection services to the Ukrainian military to ensure the smooth flow of the Ukrainian military network.
The U.S. reconnaissance plane should have provided real-time battlefield intelligence to the Ukrainian army, helped the Ukrainian army’s air defense, and completed precise ambush one after another. U.S. fighter jets may have been involved in electronic jamming.
The U.S. military’s logistics system operates continuously, providing Ukraine with a large number of individual weapons and materials. The Ukrainian army has caused losses to the Russian army through a series of small-scale battles.
The U.S. military joint operations command center should operate 24 hours a day, keep abreast of changes in the battlefield, and make suggestions for the Ukrainian army. The U.S. military just did not invest in the high-end weapons and long-range strike methods that it has mastered, otherwise the war situation may have been reversed.
The U.S. military is sure it can take over the Russian army
For nearly a month, US Department of Defense spokesman John F. Kirby has answered a large number of questions about the Russian-Ukrainian war every day, and has almost become a commentator on the Ukrainian battlefield. The U.S. military knows the war in Ukraine inside out. The U.S. Department of Defense regularly summarizes the war in stages. The U.S. military has not participated in the war on the surface, but has the most authoritative right to speak.
On March 23, the US Department of Defense issued a press release “Russian Forces Invading Ukraine Suffer Low Morale” (Russian Forces Invading Ukraine Suffer Low Morale). The press release describes continuing to see Russian troops not properly planning their logistics, still having fuel, food problems, and suffering from frostbite, which any U.S. military leader would say is a symbol of a breakdown in troop morale and cohesion, which absolutely translates into potential military effectiveness.
The Ukrainian resistance has exacerbated the problem for the Russian army, which is retaking some of the territory originally occupied by the Russian army, the press release said. Twenty-seven days have passed, and the Russian army has consumed a lot of ammunition and invested a lot of troops. It has not occupied Kyiv, it has not occupied Kharkov, it has not been able to isolate the Donbas region, and it has not achieved any strategic goals set.
Such an evaluation almost confirms that the Russian army will be defeated. The press release praised the Ukrainian army’s very creative and very brave counterattack. In fact, half of the results obtained may be attributed to the US military.
The U.S. Department of Defense previously estimated that at least 7,000 Russian troops were killed, and the Russian military’s combat effectiveness fell below 90%. NATO’s assessment is even higher, putting 7,000 to 15,000 Russian soldiers killed, for a total casualty of 30,000 to 40,000.
According to the above assessment, the direction of the Russian-Ukrainian war has been determined, and the only thing left is how to end it; the United States and NATO also quickly turned their attention to the CCP.
US Indo-Pacific commander personally flew to South China Sea to warn CCP
On March 20, the U.S. Indo-Pacific Commander John C. Aquilino invited the media to board a P8-A maritime patrol plane and head to the skies over the South China Sea to introduce the CCP’s militarized islands and reefs in the South China Sea. He said that the CCP is becoming more and more aggressive, threatening all countries operating in the vicinity, and the United States, through cooperation with allies and partners, uses deterrence to promote peace and “prevent war”. Ready to fight and win.”
During the patrol process, the CCP repeatedly claimed by radio that the U.S. military aircraft had entered the territory and asked to leave; but the U.S. military replied, “I am a U.S. Navy aircraft with sovereign immunity and conduct legal military activities outside the airspace of any coastal state.”
Thinking of the recent deaths of several Russian generals, the US Indo-Pacific commander seems to be taking risks. Such an extraordinary move is actually a big warning to the CCP, that the US military can use force in the South China Sea at any time, and the US military is always preparing to deal with another battle. war. I don’t know if this counts as a response to the CCP’s aircraft carrier Shandong crossing the Taiwan Strait.
On March 18, the Shandong aircraft carrier crossed the Taiwan Strait and headed north, and was photographed by passengers passing through the sky. On the same day, Xi Jinping had a phone call with Biden, and Biden directly warned the CCP not to aid Russia. At the press conference of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Communist Party of China on the same day, a reporter asked whether this was a provocation. Foreign Ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian said that “it should not be linked with the communication between the Chinese and US leaders”; he countered that the reporter was “too sensitive.”
At that time, the U.S. warship accompanied the prisoners through the Taiwan Strait. The Eastern Theater of the Communist Party of China declared a protest, but did not mention the Shandong. The Ministry of National Defense of the Chinese Communist Party has remained silent. However, before the call to visit Xi Jinping that day was over, Xinhua News Agency suddenly issued a statement, “Xi Jinping: State-to-state relations cannot go to the stage of armies”, saying that “new and major changes have taken place in the international situation”; “The world is neither peaceful nor Peace”; “State relations cannot go to the stage of confrontation, conflict and confrontation are not in anyone’s interest”.
Such a hasty and strange content shows that it is not just the reporter who asked the question that it is “too sensitive”. Before the call, the CCP leaders may have felt that the situation is not good; before the US Indo-Pacific Commander warned, the CCP probably had heard the wind that something was wrong.
The Shandong did not carry any carrier-based aircraft, and it is more likely that it was a solitary ship returning to Dalian for regular maintenance. Although it cannot be ruled out that some kind of coincidental arrangement by the leaders of the Communist Party of China cannot be ruled out, the Xinhua News Agency’s statement clearly shows a posture of avoiding war. Of course, the CCP has seen the gap between the Russian military and the U.S. military. Does the CCP military dare to make a mistake?
Russian Army in Dilemma CCP becomes the next target
Since the start of the war in Russia, the gap in conventional military power has been completely exposed. The US military and NATO should prepare to completely destroy the Russian military, and at the same time hit Russia economically and politically, which is equivalent to providing a template for how to deal with the CCP.
On March 23, NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg introduced that most of the 100,000 US troops and 40,000 NATO troops are currently deployed in the eastern part of the alliance, receiving full support from air, sea, cyberspace and space. He said that since 2014, the allies have trained the Ukrainian armed forces and have significantly enhanced their capabilities; the allies have stepped up military support, providing anti-tank and air defense systems, drones, fuel and ammunition, as well as financial assistance and containment numbers. million refugees.
He also expects that at upcoming summits, allies will agree to provide cybersecurity assistance and equipment to help Ukraine defend against chemical, biological, radiological and nuclear threats. The NATO Secretary-General then changed the subject and pointed directly at the CCP.
“We face a fundamentally changed security environment where authoritarian states are increasingly prepared to use force to do whatever they want,” he said; “so I hope we will also address China’s role in this crisis”; China has provided political support to Russia, including spreading blatant lies and misinformation, and allies fear that China may provide material support for the Russian aggression.”
The words of the NATO secretary-general should make the CCP’s heart tremble, but now it is too late to regret accusing NATO with Russia. The NATO secretary-general also said, “I hope that EU leaders will make a call for China to fulfill its responsibilities as a member of the UN Security Council, not to support Russia’s war attempts, but to join the rest of the world in calling for an immediate and peaceful end to this war. “
NATO, like the United States, asks the CCP not to try to save Russia. The CCP sees possible allies being overthrown and has to clear the line, which will be quite uncomfortable. The United States and NATO should have the confidence to deal with Russia and start targeting the CCP.
On March 8, Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines testified before Congress that China “remains an unparalleled priority for the intelligence community.” She said that China’s economic, military and technological competition with the United States has never been closer; China has shown its power to neighboring countries and coerced them; China’s leaders are determined to forcibly unify Taiwan; China is still conducting the largest nuclear weapons program in its history. Force expansion and nuclear arsenal diversification efforts; and a desire to match or exceed U.S. capabilities in space; China and China pose “the broadest, most active, and persistent cyberespionage threat” to U.S. government and private sector networks.
The United States and NATO should be clear that if the CCP launches a war, it will undoubtedly be more harmful; if we want to prevent the recurrence of the crisis of invasion, we should take precautions now, and subduing the CCP is the next clear goal.
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Responsible editor: Gao Yi#