Home » What is behind Gustavo Petro’s double game with the Venezuelan elections

What is behind Gustavo Petro’s double game with the Venezuelan elections

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What is behind Gustavo Petro’s double game with the Venezuelan elections

With less than 100 days until the Nicolás Maduro regime organizes what until now is presented as a new electoral farce with the main opposition candidates prevented from participating, some regional leaders traditionally allied with the dictatorship seek to distance themselves from the negative burden of supporting to Chavismo or try to stop a new wave of Venezuelan migration in their countries that they anticipate will occur if the Caracas regime achieves its re-election this July 28.

A recent study carried out by the firm Meganalisis reveals worrying data about Maduro’s hypothetical victory in the next elections.

The survey highlights that 8 out of 10 people in Venezuela prefer that Chavismo and Maduro not remain in power for an additional period of six years.

Furthermore, it highlights concern about the lack of freedom of participation and absence of electoral guarantees, with 70% of those surveyed expressing doubts about the legitimacy of the electoral process.

This context suggests a potential increase in migration, since almost 40% of the population, according to Megaanalysis, would consider the possibility of emigrating if a change does not occur in the next votes, which would be equivalent to an estimated 8.9 million people.

However, the latest opinion study carried out by More Consulting reveals that a unitary candidate supported by María Corina Machado would have every chance of defeating Maduro at the polls with 45.8% of the voting intention.

This figure contrasts significantly with the support registered for the Caribbean dictator, who would obtain only 21.6% in his re-election attempt.

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Furthermore, the study highlights that in the event that Machado and the Democratic Unitary Platform (PUD) manage to consolidate a single candidate, there is a marked increase in the willingness to vote, with 71.1% of those surveyed expressing their complete confidence in participating.

Anticipating a possible political defeat of Chavismo, Colombian President Gustavo Petro and his Brazilian counterpart, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, proposed holding a plebiscite simultaneous with the presidential elections, as a strategy to “guarantee security and political rights.” of the losing candidate.

This initiative would seek to facilitate an amnesty for the leaders of the current regime in the event of a change of government and begin an orderly transition in Venezuela.

“We want to transmit to President Lula a proposal that was transmitted to President Maduro and the opposition. This is a possibility of a plebiscite in the upcoming elections, which guarantees a democratic pact,” Petro said.

“We want to guarantee for anyone who loses in these electoral contests certainty and security about their life, about their rights, about the political guarantees that any human being should have in their respective country,” he added.

However, this position, which indicates a clear recognition of the absence of the rule of law in Venezuela, also reflects the Colombian president’s ignorance of the electoral laws of the Caribbean country, since in Venezuela the figure of the “plebiscite” is not contemplated in the Constitution.

Petro’s proposal has been described by various analysts as “ambiguous” but “convenient.”

“Both Petro and Lula want the situation in Venezuela to be normalized as much as possible (…) It is in no country’s interest to have a neighbor that is in permanent political instability, that is not good,” said international analyst Iván Rojas in an interview. with the Voice of America portal, highlighting the importance of generating an environment of security and certainty that benefits all parties involved in the Venezuelan political conflict.

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The technical feasibility of this proposal, according to the journalist and director of Votoscopio.com Eugenio Martínez, is conditioned on the definition of the questions and response options of the referendum that must be ready before May 15, in order to comply with the requirements of audit of the Venezuelan electoral system.

“It is about simply including a second voting screen in the electoral machines and putting the question and the two answer options: Yes or no,” Martínez said in conversation with the aforementioned media, which adds a layer of complexity to the already challenging Venezuelan electoral process.

For her part, political scientist Ana Milagros Parra emphasized the relevance of international actors like Petro proposing mechanisms to confront the Venezuelan crisis, “since they are recognizing in some way that this election can be a problem within the country and regionally.”

The Colombian president faces intense criticism after his recent meeting with the Venezuelan candidate Manuel Rosales during his visit to Caracas on April 10, a fact that has generated controversy both in Colombia and in the international community.

This meeting occurred one day after his meeting with Nicolás Maduro, which has been interpreted by many as implicit support for the authoritarian regime of Venezuela.

The Colombian senator Paloma Valencia and the recognized Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaidó questioned the meeting between Petro, Maduro, and Manuel Rosales.

Valencia assured that the Colombian leader’s actions seek to legitimize an opposition created by the dictatorship itself, while Guaidó accused the Colombian president of interference and contributing to the recognition of the regime.

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“Have you seen this? Petro saying that he met with the opposition in Venezuela… the opposition that Maduro invented to say that he is not violating María Corina Machado,” Valencia expressed.

Guaidó, for his part, assured that Petro ignored the mandate of the Venezuelan people in the primaries when meeting with candidates allied with Maduro.

“You met with a dictator and deliberately ignored the candidate elected by Venezuelans. We know that we are facing a dictatorship and that is why they disqualify us, for a president to do so is to collaborate with the whitewashing of a regime,” Guaidó said.

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