[Epoch Times, April 5, 2022]At a time when the epidemic in Shanghai has risen sharply and the citizens of Shanghai have made various mourning, on April 3, the People’s Liberation Army Daily of the Communist Party of China published a piece of news: On April 3, the army will recruit guards More than 2,000 diligent people have supported Shanghai to do a good job in epidemic prevention and control. The medical team selected this time comes from 7 medical units belonging to the army, navy and joint logistics support force. After arriving, they will quickly carry out medical treatment, nucleic acid testing and other work. This news immediately reminded people of Wuhan in those days.
According to CCP official media reports in March 2020, the CCP army has dispatched 3 batches of more than 4,000 medical staff to Wuhan starting from New Year’s Eve on January 24. On April 16, the official media reported again that with the approval of Xi Jinping, Chairman of the Central Military Commission, the military supported the Hubei medical team to successfully complete the task of withdrawing. Obviously, the dispatch and withdrawal of troops, that is, all movements, all require the approval of Xi Jinping, the chairman of the Military Commission. This also confirms the author’s judgment in the previous article “What does the medical and nursing special police supplies from all over Shanghai indicate?”: Beijing Zhongnanhai high-level officials should have already intervened, and they are directly directing Shanghai to clear the battle against the epidemic.
While the military medical staff arrived in Shanghai, more provincial and municipal medical teams also went to Shanghai for support. In addition to the medical teams in Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Anhui, Beijing, and Xi’an mentioned in the previous article, according to a report by People’s Daily on April 4, “the state has established medical teams to assist Shanghai, and medical teams from several provinces and cities have arrived in Shanghai.” For example, Tianjin has sent a medical team of 1,512 including 250 doctors, 1,250 nurses and 12 managers, who will join the makeshift hospital. In addition, Tianjin has also prepared a nucleic acid sampling team of about 500 people, who can support Shanghai nucleic acid sampling at any time. Another six trucks full of 500,000 anti-epidemic supplies have arrived in Shanghai. According to the report, the state-aided Shanghai medical team also includes medical personnel from Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Anhui, Shandong, Jiangxi, Hainan and other provinces and cities.
It can be said that without the order from the highest level of Zhongnanhai, Shanghai would not suddenly change its epidemic prevention policy, nor would it announce a closure of all staff. Shandong special police, military medical staff, medical staff and even supplies from all over the country would not support Shanghai so quickly. According to the official media’s previous statement when Wuhan was fighting the epidemic, Xi Jinping commanded to launch a “people’s war, total war, and blocking war”. During the severe stage of the epidemic, he “concerned about the epidemic prevention and control work day and night, and gave instructions and instructions in various ways every day.” . Now facing the turbulent Shanghai epidemic, it is probably the same.
Judging from the current exposure, the number of people infected with the epidemic in Shanghai is very large, even from official data. For example, on April 4, Shanghai’s official bulletin stated that there were 425 new confirmed local cases of new coronary pneumonia and 8,581 new cases on the 3rd. There are more than 50,000 asymptomatic infected people in Shanghai. Considering that there are still close contacts, the real data is amazing.
On the 3rd, an unverified WeChat content in Shanghai was even more shocking: A: Don’t you watch the concert? B: Just now, the nurse told me that there are more than 80,000 samples in Huangpu District, and there are only more than 700 yin tubes, which is too scary. A: True or false, I saw it too. B: The lady nurse told me just now. Although the author cannot confirm the truth or falsehood, the fact that Zhongnanhai sent the military and medical staff from many provinces and cities to assist Shanghai is enough to prove that the situation is comparable to or even surpassed that of Wuhan.
Since Shanghai, as a mega city with a population of more than 20 million, plays a pivotal role in China’s economic development, and the number of infected people is large, it is probably not easy for the top executives of Zhongnanhai to achieve the goal of complete zero, and it will take a considerable amount of effort. price.
An article titled “A decisive battle to decide China’s fate is about to kick off in Shanghai” (hereinafter referred to as “Armageddon”), which was just launched on the Internet, just as the battle for the delivery route has been decided, Zhongnanhai has to deal with the epidemic. To fight to the death, “betting on the fate of the country, betting on the fate of the army”, or betting on the fate of the CCP regime. The article revealed the following important information:
1. “At present, there is almost no street in Shanghai that is not positive, the situation is critical, and the situation is full of eggs.” Therefore, “all people must be tested immediately to screen for positives, isolate patients, and block infection.”
2. The high-level officials of Zhongnanhai are mobilizing the whole country to win the battle against the epidemic. The army and 100,000 people from 16 provinces and cities rushed to help Shanghai, of which about 10,000 people have been mobilized by the People’s Liberation Army. In addition to military medical staff, the armed police officers and soldiers stationed in Shanghai have also been mobilized to join a series of tasks such as closure and control, testing, and logistical supplies.
The deployment of the military means that the battle over the so-called “clearing” line has been settled, and the next moment is the “death battle” with the epidemic. This battle, “is a decisive battle to decide the fate of the country and the nation.”
3. The state machinery is fully operational to transport personnel and materials. The article pointed out that on the 3rd, more than 150 civil aviation passenger planes, more than 10 military planes, and dozens of high-speed railways have arrived in Shanghai to transport the aid troops. “The intensity of personnel and material transportation has exceeded Russia’s transportation capacity several times in the Russia-Ukraine War.” “In just two days, such a large-scale human, material and transportation capacity has been mobilized. It can be said that the country is in this national transportation. We have done our best in the war.”
4. The 100,000-strong army rushed to Shanghai and completed the testing of 28.6 million Shanghai residents within 36 hours. And surrounding provinces and cities are ready to accept the transfer of positive patients. The society will be cleared on April 11, and conditions will be reopened on April 18.
An urgent document on the Internet, “Notice on the Centralized Quarantine of People Transferring from Shanghai to 6 Cities including Hangzhou”, also confirmed the severity of the epidemic in Shanghai and the authenticity of the article “Armageddon”.
The document stated that “Hangzhou, Ningbo, Huzhou, Shaoxing, Jinhua, and Taizhou will provide reserve and isolation places for Shanghai’s close connection and sub-close connection. Among them, it is planned to transfer 10,000 people to Hangzhou and Ningbo. 2,000 people will be transferred to Huzhou City and Taizhou City, and 3,000 people will be transferred to Shaoxing City and Jinhua City. Hangzhou City and Ningbo City must prepare the first batch of 5,000 people for isolation before 12 noon on April 3.” This is undoubtedly in accordance with the requirements of Zhongnanhai’s requirements of “everything should be checked, everything should be collected, everything should be checked, and everything should be treated”, and Shanghai people are classified and isolated.
The author is not optimistic about whether the decisive battle of the epidemic in Zhongnanhai in Shanghai will be able to “succeed” in two weeks, because some people have a long incubation period, and the virus cannot be detected within 36 hours, but the author fully believes that, Even if there is no complete social cleanup, the CCP media, which has always been false, will definitely sing praises, praising Shanghai’s great victory in the fight against the epidemic, the wise commander, etc., even if the actual situation is not the case. It is estimated that the CCP media is already preparing in advance how to sing praises.
However, such a “big battle” will inevitably pay a heavy price. The first is destined to arouse great dissatisfaction and resentment among Shanghai citizens and officials at all levels. The chaos that has occurred in Shanghai’s epidemic prevention so far has made Shanghai people scolded for a long time, and Shanghai officials at all levels, especially grassroots officials, are full of resentment. , they will directly point the finger at the unscientific and chaotic policies of epidemic prevention, and leaders do not accept scientific advice.
In the opinion of Shanghai professionals including Zhang Wenhong, “epidemic prevention is not the goal, but people’s stability is the goal”, so they believe that for many asymptomatic infected people, they can be isolated at home if they have the conditions, and they can recover in a week. It is best not to go to isolation places such as Fangcang shelter hospitals with poor conditions, which will cause cross-infection.
It is conceivable that all asymptomatic infected persons, close contacts and sub-close contacts must be isolated in this “big battle” for epidemic prevention directed by Zhongnanhai. How can living conditions be guaranteed? How many parents and children and families are separated? What about sick patients? How many people could die from uncertainty in quarantine? As some Shanghainese believe, the secondary disaster caused by the epidemic may be far greater than the infection itself. And in this process, how many Shanghainese can endure it? How many people in Shanghai can further see how the party that shouts “people first” ignores life? This will undoubtedly further shake the ruling foundation of Zhongnanhai and bring the CCP a huge ruling crisis.
Second, the closure of Shanghai has not only hit Shanghai’s economy hard, but also hit the CCP hard. Now affected by the epidemic, the Huangpu River is densely parked with freighters from all over the world, and the container cargo operation of Shanghai Port, the world‘s largest container port, has been directly affected. Some practitioners said that now container truck freight is basically in a “semi-paralyzed state”.
Not long ago, Shenzhen lost 60 billion yuan a week after the closure of the city, and Shanghai’s loss is destined to far exceed this figure. Recently, the economics team of the Chinese University of Hong Kong used the data of the positioning of nearly 2 million trucks in China to study the impact of the city closure. Based on the fact that the cities that implement the city closure account for 20% of the GDP of mainland China, they believe that the city closure will cause China to lose at least 46 billion US dollars per month. , which is equivalent to 3.1% of GDP. If more cities follow Shanghai’s lead and implement tougher stay-at-home measures, the economic costs will multiply.
Song Zheng, a member of the research team and a professor at the Department of Economics at CUHK, said that China’s lockdown measures are tougher than other countries, and the economic cost is higher. The monthly loss of 3.1% of GDP is only a conservative estimate. If the impact on national inflation and supply are included The spillover effect of the chain will be more serious. A strict lockdown in Shanghai alone could reduce China’s real GDP by 4%.
Third, the negative international impact caused by the closure of Shanghai should not be underestimated. As a metropolis favored by many foreign companies and foreigners, such strict measures in Shanghai will likely prompt more foreign companies and foreigners to leave Shanghai and avoid reinvestment. Recently, I saw a business owner on Weibo saying that many foreign companies, including some old customers, have not placed orders in the second half of the year, which is very worrying.
So why does Zhongnanhai still want to achieve the goal of clearing zero in Shanghai, knowing that it will cause huge losses? Perhaps, as revealed in the article “Armageddon”, this is a battle of lines, that is, a battle between Shanghai and Beijing not only on the issue of fighting the epidemic. If Shanghai follows the Western model of “coexisting with the virus” in its anti-epidemic method to gain the upper hand, it will be a major blow to Zhongnanhai, which has always insisted on “dynamic clearing and unswerving.” This is by no means what Beijing wants to see, hence the saying that “it is a decisive battle to decide the fate of the country and the nation”.
Of course, by taking over Shanghai due to the outbreak of the epidemic in Shanghai, the high-level officials of Zhongnanhai can further weaken the anti-Xi Jiang faction in Shanghai’s political, financial and other fields, and isolate the Shanghainese, which is also strengthening the control of key personnel, which may also be Zhongnanhai’s one of the main purposes.
Perhaps, in a week or two, the official media will announce the victory of Beijing, but it is difficult to say victory in terms of popular sentiment, economy, and international influence, not to mention the disappearance of the virus may appear at any time, piercing the “victory”. It is unknown whether the Jiang faction and other opposing forces will use the voices of civil and international dissatisfaction to force the palace in Zhongnanhai, but one thing is certain is that the decisive battle against the epidemic in Shanghai has paid a heavy price. At the same time, Xi Jinping Jiang Game will enter a more intense decisive battle stage.
Responsible editor: Pu Shan