The braking in August was expected, physiological with the summer. After the giant steps in June and July, thanks to the holidays of staff and “vaccinandi”, the run-up to vaccinations has slowed down everywhere, even if around the corner there is the possibility of a new gallop. Thus, numbers in hand, the horizon to reach the symbolic 80% coverage of the population with at least the first dose now has a rather variable goal. This is confirmed by an elaboration of the research group led by Professor Davide Tosi, researcher at the University of Insubria, big data expert and popularizer through the project “Predire is better than cure” (which also collaborates with Massimo Galli , head physician of the «Sacco» of Milan and professor at the University of Milan).
If we kept the average of the first doses administered in this Ferragostan period, 80% of vaccinated people would arrive around 18 October; if we went back to maximum speed, that is to say at that rate of about 85-90 thousand first daily doses of the first half of June, we would bring forward the target to 6 September. But there is an essential basic consideration: the concept of herd immunity, which has been discussed so much in recent months, today seems more unstable.
DE L’ECO DI BERGAMO
Log in to read the entire article and all the insights for free. Enter your account username and password.