In the end, it will probably be 100% of work activities that will be disrupted by Artificial Intelligence, or at least 99.9%. But for now the International Monetary Fund makes an intermediate forecast and says that the impact of AI will affect 60% of jobs, destined to disappear under the blows of advancing technology.
According to a study presented at the Davos Forum, emerging economies (such as China, India and Brazil) will be a little more sheltered from the revolution, where the impact will be 40%, and even less – in an initial phase – it will be the turn of the truly poor countries, with 26% of jobs at risk, but in Europe and the United States the share will soon reach 60%. Not only that: AI is destined to increase social inequalities within individual countries, and to increase the gap between the richest and poorest countries. According to the IMF we need to “put the issue at the center of the global political agenda and act quickly to mitigate the impact that new technologies will have especially on the most vulnerable categories of workers, with dozens of professional figures at risk of disappearing forever” .
The report therefore indicates the workers most at risk, those destined to be swept away by the advance of artificial intelligence and whose tasks will be completely replaced by new technologies: operators in the telemarketing sector, or those in call centres, but also – we read in the study – the artists (on this point the prediction seems a bit risky). On the other hand, certain specialist professions such as surgeons, judges, lawyers are safe: all figures who make use of and can benefit from the support of artificial intelligence but who do not risk being replaced by the ability of new technologies to reproduce tasks hitherto linked exclusively to human intelligence.