Original title: China’s pork market is showing signs of oversupply
China News Agency, Beijing, September 23 (Reporter Chen Su) The reporter learned from the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs of China on the 23rd that the current production capacity of live pigs in China has been fully restored, and the pork market has already seen signs of oversupply. In order to prevent large fluctuations in pig production capacity, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs recently issued the “Implementation Plan for Pig Production Capacity Regulation (Interim)” (hereinafter referred to as the “Plan”).
It is understood that the “Plan” starts from the production link, takes the rate of change in the number of breeding sows as the core control indicator for pig production capacity, anchors the normal stock level, pre-adjusts, early adjustments and fine-tuning, and stabilizes the basic production capacity, so as to avoid production fluctuations and prices. Great ups and downs.
The “Plan” has a clear goal. During the “14th Five-Year Plan” period (2021-2025), the number of large-scale pig farms (households) with an annual output of more than 500 pigs will be stabilized at more than 137,000. For large-scale pig farms with an annual output of more than 10,000 heads and national core pig breeding farms, in accordance with the principle of voluntary pig farms, a national-level pig production capacity control base will be established and listed. The normal population of reproductive sows in the country has stabilized at around 41 million heads, and the minimum population is no less than 37 million heads. According to the different changes in the monthly inventory of reproductive sows, three control areas are divided into green, yellow and red, and the corresponding control measures are clarified.
The “Plan” requires that all localities implement the provincial chief responsibility system for stable pig production and supply and the “vegetable basket” mayor responsibility system, establish pig production capacity control bases at different levels, and build a counter-cyclical control mechanism for pig production that is linked up and down and responds in a timely manner. It is necessary to establish a sound pig production and market monitoring and early warning system, rationally guide market expectations, increase policy support, and continuously improve the ability to control pig production capacity. The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs will also regularly organize and assess the implementation of the pig production capacity control work in each province.
The relevant person in charge of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs stated that the current production capacity of live pigs in China has been fully restored, and the pork market has shown signs of oversupply, but the production of live pigs is still growing steadily. It is at the upper limit of the yellow control area delineated by the “Plan”. The majority of farms (households) should reasonably arrange the production rhythm, delay the replenishment of breeding sows, speed up the elimination of low-yielding sows, appropriately reduce the production capacity of pigs, and reduce the stock of breeding sows to a reasonable level.
The person in charge said that the “Plan” fills the policy gap of counter-cyclical precision regulation at the pig production side, provides a powerful policy tool for stabilizing pig production and ensuring market supply, and is of great significance to promoting the sustainable and healthy development of the pig industry. (over)
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