Hundred CitiesHouse priceThe number of falling cities increased.
According to data from the Zhongzhi Research Institute, in December 2021, the average prices of new and second-hand houses in 100 cities across the country have both fallen month-on-month, and the number of cities that have fallen has increased. Among them, the average price of second-hand housing has fallen sharply. Among the top ten cities, the average price of second-hand housing has fallen the most in Shenzhen. In addition, the average price of new houses in Shenyang, Changchun, Harbin and other capital cities is less than 10,000 yuan per square meter.
Industry insiders believe that the Shenzhen second-hand housing market continues to be sluggish and the market has entered a stage of in-depth adjustment due to the superimposed influence of policies such as the “reference price of second-hand housing transactions”. Looking forward to 2022, while adhering to the positioning of “housing, housing, no speculation” and achieving the goal of “three stability”, local governments are expected to further implement “policies by city”. Some cities whose markets have cooled too quickly may speed up the introduction of supportive policies. .
Hundred cities housing prices have fallen, the number of cities has increased
Prices of new and second-hand houses in Baicheng continued to fall.
According to data from the China Index Research Institute, in December 2021, the average price of new houses in 100 cities across the country was 16,200 yuan/sq. Per square meter, a month-on-month decrease of 0.09%, an increase of 0.01 percentage point from November.
From the perspective of the number of cities that have risen and fallen, the number of cities that have fallen in house prices has increased. In terms of new housing, 39 cities increased month-on-month, 58 cities decreased month-on-month, 3 cities remained unchanged from the previous month, and the number of cities that fell increased by 5 compared with November. In terms of second-hand housing, 27 cities increased month-on-month, 71 cities decreased month-on-month, 2 cities remained unchanged from the previous month, and the number of decreased cities increased by 3 compared with November.
The China Index Research Institute pointed out that in terms of new house prices, except for the slight increase in the Pearl River Delta, house prices in the other major urban agglomerations have all fallen month-on-month. Specifically, Xuzhou, Yangzhou and Changsha rose 0.79%, 0.76% and 0.51% month-on-month respectively; Langfang fell by 0.76% month-on-month; Taiyuan and Sanya both fell 0.69% month-on-month.
In terms of second-hand housing prices, the market in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomerations, driven by cities such as Kunshan and Hangzhou, recovered to some extent. The month-on-month decline turned to rise, while other major urban agglomerations continued to fall. Specifically, 6 cities including Quanzhou and Kunshan increased by more than 0.5% month-on-month, of which Quanzhou was the highest at 0.82%; Nantong and Xiangtan cities fell by more than 1.0% month-on-month, and 17 cities including Baoding and Tangshan decreased by 0.5% (inclusive). -1.0%.
Shenzhen’s second-hand house prices fell the most month-on-month
From the perspective of housing prices in the ten major cities, data from the China Index Research Institute shows that in December 2021, the average price of new houses in the ten major cities was 29,300 yuan per square meter, down 0.04% from the previous month, and the decline narrowed by 0.03 percentage points from November; The average house price was 40,000 yuan per square meter, an increase of 0.09% month-on-month, from a decline to an increase from November.
Specifically, in terms of new homes, the average price of new houses in Guangzhou and Wuhan increased by 0.38% and 0.16% respectively from the previous month; Chongqing (the main urban area), Tianjin, Shenzhen, and Nanjing all increased within 0.1% (inclusive) from the previous month, with Shenzhen and Nanjing experiencing the smallest increase. Both are 0.05%. Among the declining cities, Shanghai fell by 0.17% month-on-month; Chengdu, Hangzhou, and Beijing all fell within 0.1%. Among them, Beijing fell 0.03% month-on-month, the smallest drop.
In terms of second-hand housing, Hangzhou saw the largest increase, with a month-on-month increase of 0.57%; followed by Nanjing, with a month-on-month increase of 0.49%; Guangzhou, Beijing and Shanghai all rose between 0.1% and 0.3% from the previous month. Among the cities that fell, Shenzhen had the largest decline, with a month-on-month drop of 0.38%; followed by Chengdu, with a month-on-month drop of 0.32%; Tianjin, Wuhan and Chongqing (main urban areas) all fell within 0.1% from the previous month.
As for the reason for the biggest drop in second-hand housing prices in Shenzhen, the Zhongzhi Research Institute acceptsSecuritiesThe Times reporter said in an interview that due to the superimposed influence of policies such as the “reference price of second-hand housing transactions”, the second-hand housing market in Shenzhen continued to be in a downturn, and the market entered a stage of in-depth adjustment. Except for a short-term rebound in November, the second-hand housing transaction volume in Shenzhen in 2021 has continued to decline in other months, indicating that buyers have insufficient confidence in entering the market, the market’s wait-and-see sentiment is still heavier, and the pressure of further downward adjustments in prices is greater. The price fell further from the previous month.
The average price of a new house in the capital cities of Northeast China is less than 10,000 yuan
From the perspective of 100 cities across the country, in December 2021, there are 50 new houses with an average price of less than 10,000 yuan per square meter, including many provincial capitals, such as Changsha, 9314 yuan/square meter, and Hohhot, 8660 yuan/square meter. , Lanzhou 9183 yuan/square meter, Urumqi 8199 yuan/square meter, especially the capital cities of the three northeastern provinces are less than 10,000 yuan, of which Harbin’s 9660 yuan/square meter, Changchun’s 9218 yuan/square meter, and Shenyang’s 9998 yuan /M².
Prior to this, E-House Real Estate Research Institute analyzed the real estate market in 31 provinces across the country. A number of real estate-related indicators show that Heilongjiang and Jilin generally face greater downward pressure. Among them, Heilongjiang’s house prices have fallen the most with 10%; Jilin’s house prices have fallen by 7%. , Tied for second with Qinghai.
In order to boost market confidence, Jilin recently proposed a housing purchase support policy at the provincial level. On December 22, 2021, the official website of the Jilin Provincial Development and Reform Commission released the record of the press conference of the Provincial Party Committee’s Economic Work Conference. In the actual record, Li Guoqiang, director of the Jilin Provincial Development and Reform Commission, said that next year, the real estate market will be promoted to be more stable, including encouraging and guiding cities and counties to carry out house purchase subsidies and loan interest discounts, and supporting farmers to purchase houses in cities; Changchun City will implement the settlement allowance for key college graduates. And the state-level leading talent purchase subsidy policy, raise the subsidy standard for the purchase of houses for farmers in cities, and extend the validity period of relevant support policies to June 30, 2022.
In addition, Harbin and Shenyang have also introduced housing purchase support policies. Among them, Harbin grants housing subsidies for qualified talents to purchase their first homes, up to a maximum of 100,000 yuan; increases the breadth of provident funds, and relaxes the age limit of second-hand housing provident fund loans to 30 years. Shenyang has increased the loan line of the provident fund for the first set of housing purchases by talents, and provided subsidies for the purchase of the first set of commercial housing talents.
The China Index Research Institute believes that the short-term property market control policies may have bottomed out. In 2022, under the positioning of “housing, housing, no speculation” and the realization of the “three stability” goals, local governments are expected to further implement “policies in accordance with the city”. Cities that cool too quickly may speed up the introduction of supportive policies.
(Article Source:SecuritiesTimes)
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