DNIPROPETROVSK – Two detailed studies by the British think tank Rusi help to understand why Russian generals are pushing so close to the front line of the fighting – where they are very exposed to the electronic eyes and ears of American intelligence, which follows their movements, pinpoints their position. and then passes it to the Ukrainian soldiers. In short: because the Russian generals continue to be found on the front. This tandem work of US and Ukrainian intelligence has so far led to the killing of twelve Russian generals – which is an abnormal number considering that we have just passed the seventy days of the war.
The two British studies claim that the Russians have serious problems with field communication and electronic warfare. Here is an example: in theory the Russian army has excellent portable radios, modern and safe, but due to the endemic corruption that afflicts the army these radios were not really available to the units on the front line, which often and willingly lost the contacts with the commanders, positioned many kilometers behind. To remedy this situation, the Russian soldiers started using what they had, therefore less secure radios and cell phones, and the officers began to move forward instead of staying in more secure positions. But using less secure radios and mobile phones means offering Ukrainians backed by American intelligence the opportunity to intercept conversations and travel and at the same time put the generals in the line of fire.
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Another example: the Russians have good electronic warfare systems to make communications between Ukrainian soldiers go haywire, but they are afraid to take them too far in the field because they fear they will be captured by enemies as often happens with other pieces of equipment. For this reason, during the first phase of the war – the one fought around the capital Kiev – Russian soldiers used the systems to block the enemy’s communications but from too far back. As a result, they blocked not only the communications of the Ukrainians, but also those of the Russian forces that were on the front line. In the ensuing chaos, senior officers in command moved close to the front to remedy and were spotted and shot.
Tom Nichols, a Russian expert at Naval War College, argues that generals also die because of the way the Russian military is organized, based on a rigid hierarchical system that is not flexible enough to make quick decisions. The same decisions that in a Western army – where initiative and autonomy are favored – are taken by officers and non-commissioned officers, in Russia require the presence on the spot of a general to unravel the situation. But as it is now understood, being in place means exposing yourself more to the electronic surveillance of American intelligence and therefore becoming the target of Ukrainian snipers and gunners.
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It is possible that even the low morale of the Russian soldiers engaged in the invasion forces the Russian generals to enter the danger zone. Yesterday the American site Daily Beast presented some interceptions between Russian soldiers, caught while passing instructions to sabotage their tanks. If our tanks fail we are not required to fight – it was the idea of the intercepted, which corresponds to many other reports of broken morale among the Russian troops, such as the spill of fuel in the meadows to be able to claim to have run out. petrol and therefore unable to advance. Again, the solution requires bringing the Russian generals closer to the front line.
In the piece of the New York Times which reveals the involvement of the American services in the killing of Russian generals, as was suspected since the first days of the war, there is an important paragraph: the sources of the American newspaper specify that the Americans did not help the Ukrainians to strike a week says General Valery Gerasimov, the highest-ranking officer in the Russian army, because for reasons of political expediency they have decided not to consider him among the possible targets.
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The most interesting and recent case concerns the bombing on Saturday 23 April by Ukrainian artillery of a meeting of senior officers near Kherson, in southern Ukraine, which bears all the signs of an intelligence operation. In fact, you need to know a lot of information to accurately guess the place and time of the meeting and there is an obligation to hit the mark with a few hits. Two Russian generals died that day.