[Epoch Times, August 17, 2021]On August 15, the Taliban had taken control of Kabul, the capital of Afghanistan, and the original government and army basically collapsed. The CCP’s media cheered and even claimed that the United States or the US military had failed in Afghanistan. The outside world may comment on the US military’s actions in Afghanistan for a long time. However, the rapid collapse of the original Afghan government is not necessarily a bad thing for the United States.
During the Trump administration, the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan has been greatly accelerated and the plan has been roughly completed. The Biden administration basically continued its withdrawal strategy. It is the strategic consensus of the two administrations of the United States to abandon Afghanistan, which does not have much strategic value, and concentrate its efforts against the CCP in the Western Pacific. Compared with the rapidly deteriorating situation in Afghanistan, the threats and provocations the US military faces in the Western Pacific are far greater. Abandoning Afghanistan will put the United States at risk of more terrorist attacks, but if the US military loses the Western Pacific, the defense system of the entire Pacific will be broken. It is not difficult to weigh which is more important.
Can the CCP take over the mess in Afghanistan?
While the CCP media propagated the failure of the United States, it was merely inciting nationalism again in an attempt to consolidate the CCP regime, which is in constant crisis. However, the top CCP leaders are very clear that the troubles of the United States have now become their own troubles.
Afghanistan is not the backyard of the United States, but the backyard of the CCP. In the past 20 years, the United States has worked hard to maintain order in Afghanistan, which is tantamount to helping the CCP manage its backyard. Today, the CCP has to manage its own backyard. Therefore, the Chinese Communist Party media laughed at the failure of the United States while complaining that the withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan was “irresponsible”.
On July 28, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi met with Taliban representatives in Tianjin. The Taliban representatives stated that “I hope that China will participate more in Afghanistan’s peaceful reconstruction process and play a greater role in Afghanistan’s future reconstruction and economic development”. The two “more” characters reveal the relationship between the CCP and the Taliban. Wang Yi said at the time that the Taliban are “a pivotal military and political force in Afghanistan, and are expected to play an important role in the process of peace, reconciliation and reconstruction in Afghanistan.”
It can be seen that the CCP is very clear about the strength of the Taliban. At that time, the US military had not completely withdrawn and the legal government of Afghanistan still existed. The CCP was ready to recognize the Taliban in power. However, the Taliban is not the Burmese military government, and the CCP cannot really control it. The previous cooperation was mainly to deal with the United States. Now that the United States has left, the basis of cooperation has also disappeared.
Wang Yi also stated at the time that he hoped that the Taliban would “keep a clear line with all terrorist organizations such as the’Eastern Iraqi Movement’ and deal a resolute and effective attack.” It shows that China is well aware of the close relationship between the Taliban and the so-called “East Iraqi Movement” organization. The party media reported that the Taliban representative’s response only stated that “Never allow any forces to use the Afghan territory to do things that endanger China.” It shows that the Taliban has not promised to “completely draw a line with all terrorist organizations such as the “Eastern Iraqi Movement”, and to resolutely and effectively crack down on them,” but merely stated that there will be no harmful actions. The Taliban should continue to appeal to the CCP, but they are unwilling to follow the CCP’s mercy.
The Taliban delegation not only visited China, but also visited Russia and neighboring Central Asian countries to gain support. Afghanistan was once the sphere of influence of the former Soviet Union. The former Soviet Union invaded Afghanistan mainly to support the pro-Soviet government against opposition forces. The pro-Soviet government at that time held an atheist position and opposed Pakistan, which was supported by the Chinese Communist Party.
After the U.S. troops withdrew, the CCP certainly hoped to control the Taliban to stabilize its backyard. The embassies of various countries in Afghanistan are evacuating rapidly. The press conference of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the CCP on August 16 confirmed that the CCP’s embassy in Afghanistan is “still operating normally,” but most of the citizens in Afghanistan have “returned to the country in advance”. Not at ease. What is striking is that the Russian embassy in Afghanistan has not withdrawn, and the CCP is likely to compete with Russia for control of Afghanistan.
Therefore, the strategic significance of the US abandoning Afghanistan is extraordinary.
The price the U.S. paid
On August 15, the U.S. State Department and the Department of Defense issued a joint statement to increase the number of troops in Afghanistan to 6,000. This was not to save the original Afghan regime, but to focus on the security of Hamid Karzai International Airport and complete the security of the personnel of the United States and allies. The evacuation includes local employees and their families and Afghans who are eligible for special immigration visas for the United States.
The United States is fulfilling its final responsibility in Afghanistan as soon as possible. The United States has been trying to assume greater responsibilities in Afghanistan, and the price paid is quite high. According to Brown University estimates, the United States has spent approximately US$2.261 trillion on the war in Afghanistan in the past 20 years. The US Department of Defense alone spent US$933 billion on overseas emergency operations.
The U.S. military initially declared war because the Taliban refused to hand over the terrorist leader Bin Laden and destroyed the Taliban regime in one fell swoop. The Taliban could only use guerrilla tactics against the U.S. and later government forces. After bin Laden was killed, the U.S. military had achieved its strategic goals, but political correctness prevented the U.S. government from easily shitting its responsibilities in Afghanistan. Not only did it try to help democratize Afghanistan, it also invested heavily in helping reconstruction, but eventually found that it could not fill this bottomless pit. .
The CCP regime clearly knows more about the newly disintegrated Afghan regime. Both are also full of corruption; the Afghan government forces trained by the US military are vulnerable, which may annoy the US government. It only shows that the US government has not understood the corrupt regime so far. Mode of operation. The even greater failure of the United States should be that it did not understand the CCP’s dictatorship. When the U.S. military was busy with the anti-terrorism war in the Middle East and Afghanistan, it did not realize the CCP’s ambitions in time.
The U.S. military finally abandoning Afghanistan is a double awakening; the rapid collapse of the original Afghan government should also make the U.S. government more soberly aware that the high price it once paid is completely worthless, and it is obviously using the wrong place. The US$933 billion spent by the Ministry of National Defense can at least double the Pacific Fleet, which will further expand its advantages over the CCP’s military. Now there is no need to worry about the advantages being lost.
Compared with the cost of the United States in Afghanistan, the United States has paid a far higher price in the face of the CCP. The U.S. gives the CCP hundreds of billions of dollars in a trade deficit every year, but the CCP uses it to build its military to fight for hegemony with the U.S. Now, the tragic epidemic deliberately spread by the CCP has not yet ended. The U.S. has to speed up the withdrawal of the supply chain from China with allies. Prepare for a possible second Pacific war.
It’s not too late to make up for it
The U.S. military withdrew from Afghanistan and the Middle East and fully responded to the CCP. The delay was more than a beat, but it has not yet reached the point of irreversibility. Perhaps the evaluation of the outside world makes the US government feel that it has lost face in Afghanistan, but it has lost much more face by misjudging the most important enemy of the CCP.
As the saying goes, victory or defeat is commonplace in the military, not to mention the fact that the US military has won the war on terrorism in the Middle East and Afghanistan, and no other country in the world can do it. The U.S. military has won tactical or partial strategic victory, but it has made serious mistakes in its overall strategy and failed to see through the CCP’s tricks earlier. There are still many American businessmen who have forgotten their gains and intentionally or unconsciously helped the CCP mislead the United States.
The abandonment of Afghanistan by the United States is an important part of the key strategic adjustments after the Cold War, and it also sets the standard for the United States to regain its true responsibility to the international community.
It was only in the tit-for-tat confrontation with the evil regime that the United States truly became stronger. It broke down the axis of evil during World War II, and brought down the communist camp of the former Soviet Union during the Cold War, and thus became the world‘s largest power. However, after the Cold War, it neglected to suppress the CCP. Important task.
Fortunately, it is not too late. If the collapse of Afghanistan is exchanged for the collapse of the CCP, it can be regarded as the United States to make up for it. If the Chinese Communist regime can be defeated as soon as possible, the collapse of Afghanistan today will not be a bad thing for the United States.
Editor in charge: Gao Yi#
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