The statistics company has considered all of the nine scenarios that could arise across the matches Manchester City – Arsenal and Liverpool – Brighton.
At five scenarios have You want a supercomputer reckoned that City will remain as title favorites with nine league rounds left to play. In addition to the three that include a City win, a draw between City and Arsenal would also mean that the Light Blues are favorites for the title if Liverpool lose or draw against Brighton.
Arsenal are again favorites for gold if the team beats City and there is at the same time a draw or a Brighton win in the match at Anfield. In other words, two different scenarios.
Liverpool have the percentages on their side if they beat Brighton themselves, and it either ends in a draw or with Arsenal winning the big game against City. Like Arsenal, they are once again favorites for gold in two different scenarios.
If City wins against Arsenal and Liverpool loses against Brighton, Opta has calculated that the light blues from Manchester have a 70 percent chance of running away with the gold. At the opposite end of the scale, Arsenal are only given a nine percent title chance if they lose against City and Liverpool take three points at home against Brighton.
This is how the percentage range varies for the three teams (smallest and largest possible percentage chance of taking the Premier League gold after the weekend’s games):
Manchester City: 20–70
Liverpool: 17–47
Arsenal: 9–49
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