This means that in a few weeks – perhaps already after Super Tuesday at the beginning of March – Trump should formally be confirmed as the GOP nominee for the third time in a row. Since the introduction of the modern area code system in the 1970s, no one has managed to do this. The last politician to be nominated by either major party more than twice was Franklin Delano Roosevelt, who won four presidential elections during the Great Depression and World War II. But whether Trump can move into the White House a second time is another question
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Because the primary election process has once again revealed the candidate’s weaknesses. In the suburbs where presidential elections are decided, he has also performed relatively poorly in the previous primaries. His support among important voter groups, such as women with college degrees, is steadily declining – and it is far from clear whether the gains he has made among voters of Hispanic descent since 2016 will be able to compensate for this turned off.