“Don’t think of it as a new era of search or a new chatbot, it’s just the packaging of its first version. I think that in three to five years, various industries will be reshaped by GPT, So now whoever does not embrace artificial intelligence will be eliminated.”
On November 30, 2022, the American startup OpenAI launched ChatGPT. The number of users exceeded 1 million in five days, and the number of monthly active users exceeded 100 million two months later, making it the fastest growing consumer application in human history.
In the “Dialogue” program broadcast on CCTV’s financial channel on the evening of the 13th, we invited Zhou Hongyi, founder of 360 Group, and Wang Xiaochuan, founder and CEO of Baichuan Intelligent, to take us to find the boundaries of AI.
Background: ChatGPT is a large-scale language model developed by OpenAI in the United States. It is a deep learning model that can generate human-like text responses by pre-training a large amount of text data. ChatGPT can be used for a variety of tasks, including text translation, summarizing and refining central ideas, one-click generation of PPT, writing advertising copy, video editing, image recognition, programming and other tasks.
ChatGPT-4.0 is already the smartest “person” on earth
Zhou Hongyi: This time the artificial intelligence is real, not fake. It is not artificial “mentally retarded” as in the past, it is “weak” artificial intelligence, or vertical artificial intelligence, it is general artificial intelligence. ChatGPT-4.0 is already the smartest “person” on the planet. All high-tech companies are building their own large-scale models, at least a “thousand-model war”, not surprisingly, it will soon develop into a “ten thousand-model war”.
Making a large model is like “alchemy”
Wang Xiaochuan: Three things are needed to do this. The first is capital. If you want to achieve the level of OpenAI, money must be an important aspect; the second is cognition. The establishment and development of cognition requires our joint efforts; the third is It is organizational ability, which is not an individual behavior. It cannot be done by one or two people in the laboratory.
Zhou Hongyi: The whole training is a bit like “alchemy”. Before the table of chemical elements was discovered, “artists made alchemy” was to change the formula little by little. There were many uncertainties, so OpenAI also went through a lot of pitfalls.
Will people who can’t use GPT be eliminated in the future?
Wang Xiaochuan: Everyone has the ability to embrace it. (Future) will not use GPT, just like people who do not know how to search now.
Hongyi Zhou: I think people who don’t know how to use GPT will be eliminated in the future. Don’t think of it as a new-age search or a new chatbot, it’s just a wrapper for the first version. I think that in three to five years, various industries will be reshaped by GPT, so whoever does not embrace artificial intelligence now will be eliminated.
Which industry will be replaced first? What new industries will emerge?
Zhou Hongyi: I personally think that most of them will not be replaced. Just like programmers, I think GPT cannot replace programmers. Although it can now write code, specific modules or specific functions, the structure of the entire program still requires a system architect.
Wang Xiaochuan: Instead of treating it as a tool, I instead regard it as a partner. It not only improves our production efficiency, but also helps us solve the “how to” problem. I think human beings will reach a new realm, rather than a paradigm change in the original industrial revolution. With technology like GPT today, many things have been replaced by “end” to “end”. Everyone can understand the world, live a more self-conscious life, and find the meaning of their true existence.
Shen Yang, a professor at the School of Journalism, Tsinghua University: This kind of industry where deep-level AI has been able to surpass the level of ordinary people will be obviously replaced. Like our team, it is basically all machine translation now. At the same time, there will be many new occupations in the future, such as prompters. AI has a characteristic, the stronger the questioner’s ability to ask questions, the stronger its ability to answer. New occupations are constantly being created, and the salaries are high.
The source of this article: CCTV Finance, the original title: “Can’t use GPT will be eliminated in the future? The dialogue between Zhou Hongyi and Wang Xiaochuan is very informative”.
Risk Warning and Disclaimer
Market risk, the investment need to be cautious. This article does not constitute personal investment advice, nor does it take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs of individual users. Users should consider whether any opinions, opinions or conclusions expressed herein are applicable to their particular situation. Invest accordingly at your own risk.