[Epoch Times December 14, 2021](The Epoch Times reporter Fang Xiao reported) The net population increase in mainland China in 2020 hit a 59-year low. At the same time, the net growth of China’s total population has also declined significantly. According to expert analysis, the number of births in China is decreasing, and the trend of development or the era of zero population growth is approaching.
Expert: This year’s net population growth may continue to decline
According to the “China Statistical Yearbook 2021” recently released by the National Bureau of Statistics of the Communist Party of China, compared with 2019, the population of mainland China will increase by 2.04 million in 2020. In 2020, the birth rate of China will be 8.52‰, which is the first time that the population has fallen below 10‰. The growth rate is only 1.45‰.
“China Business News” reported on December 14 that according to the National Bureau of Statistics data, the net population increase over the years since 1949 found that the net population increase in 2020 hit a new low since 1962.
Statistics show that entering the 1990s, the annual net population increase has remained above 10 million. In 2000, the net population increase fell to less than 10 million for the first time in 39 years, to 9.57 million. By 2010, the net increase in population that year was only 6.41 million. However, the net increase in population in 2012 reached 10.06 million.
After the implementation of the “two-child policy” in 2016, the net increase in population that year was 9.06 million; in the following years, the annual net increase in population continued to decrease. From 2017 to 2020, it was 7.79 million, 5.3 million, 4.67 million, and 2.04, respectively. Ten thousand people.
In the 20 years since the 21st century, the net population increase in mainland China has been lower than the increase in the 1970s.
The report said that from the perspective of development trends, the net population growth rate this year may continue to decline. Professor Dong Yuzheng, a population expert and dean of the Guangdong Institute of Population Development, analyzed that from the current situation, there is a lack of motivation to increase the total population, it is getting harder and harder, and the number of births is decreasing. The trend of development is getting closer and closer to the edge of the intersection of births and deaths.
China’s birth population has declined for four consecutive years
Data from the seventh census of mainland China, which ended at the end of last year, has not been released for a long time, triggering discussions from all walks of life. It was not until May this year that the National Bureau of Statistics of the Communist Party of China announced the results of the seventh national census.
The economist He Qinglian’s article stated that after China released the seventh census data, it has aroused many criticisms, and the most criticized one is the serious distortion of the data. Falsification of Chinese statistics is a systemic disease that has existed since the birth of the Chinese Communist regime. Before family planning was criticized by the world, population data was under-reported and under-reported. Now it has become an inflated population, which can be regarded as a new problem in China’s population statistics.
The results of the seventh national census show that in 2020, the overall population growth rate of the mainland will be slow to almost stagnant, and the total population will slightly increase to 1.41 billion. Nearly 20% of residents are 60 years of age or older.
Ning Jizhe, director of the National Bureau of Statistics of the Communist Party of China, said that the number of births last year dropped by 18% compared with the year before. This is the fourth consecutive year that China’s birth population has fallen.
Before the data was released, the British “Financial Times” quoted people familiar with the matter as saying that China’s total population is less than 1.4 billion people, and there has been “the first decline since 1949.”
China’s population decline also marks the failure of the CCP’s population policy. Mary-Françoise Renard, director of the French Institute of Chinese Economics (Idrec), stated that after the CCP carefully relaxed the implementation of the “family planning” policy in 2016, the birth rate has fallen by more than 10 since 2017. %. At that time, China’s economic growth had begun to slow down, and residents’ living expenses were becoming increasingly expensive, which made Chinese people not want to have more children.
The CCP faces a demographic crisis
The number of births in China has dropped sharply in recent years, and the CCP is facing a population crisis. At the same time, the rapid aging of Chinese society is worrying.
Reynard said that the decline in the mainland’s population reflects the rapid aging of the Chinese population, and Chinese society may not be prepared for this. “This leads to increased dependence on employed people, and in a country where there is almost no universal welfare, it means considerable expenditure.” People must take care of the elderly and save for their retirement, which leads to more savings. The current savings level of Chinese residents is already very high, which is not conducive to consumption.
“China Business News” reported in September that after combing through the data of the seventh national census, it found that 149 cities in the mainland are currently deeply aging. These cities are concentrated in the Northeast region, Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration, the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River, the central region, and the Yangtze River Delta.
The population decline in mainland China, in addition to threatening China’s economic growth, the “Financial Times” has reported that China’s population crisis may have a great impact outside China. If consumption in China slows down, foreign companies relying on the Chinese market will face difficulties.
Editor in charge: Lin Congwen#
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