The odds of achieving “zero” are almost zero
Sun Chunlan, vice-premier of the State Council of the Communist Party of China, recently emphasized that the goal of “zeroing out the society” should be achieved in the shortest time. However, the epidemic situation of the CCP virus is still severe in various places, and the epidemic situation in the hardest-hit area, Shanghai, continues to expand.
The Voice of America reported on April 6 that the CCP virus variant Omikron has relatively limited lethality, but the CCP still does not relax its dynamic clearing. Some commentators believe that the Beijing authorities are concerned that the virus will spread rapidly if the lockdown measures are lifted. A surge in infections can lead to the collapse of the medical system and even turn into a political incident.
Ren Ruihong, the former head of the Medical Assistance Department of the Red Cross Foundation of China, said that from the current law of development of Omicron and the new virus with strong infectivity, the probability of achieving zero is almost zero.
Ren Ruihong believes that Omicron has a particularly strong communication power, and it is secretive and hysteretic. Asymptomatic infections are particularly numerous. Many people are infected without knowing they are infected. There is a high possibility of spreading it to others. Since it is impossible to check every person in the country every day, many asymptomatic or delayed infections have spread the virus.
Ren Ruihong said that once the epidemic is out of control, “it will cause large-scale social unrest, the collapse of the medical system, the increase in the number of deaths and other major factors, and everyone will blame Xi Jinping. He will definitely adhere to the dynamic clearing policy, but the country is currently under high pressure for many years. It is still unknown how much impact it will have on the political situation.”
Ren Ruihong believes that the CCP’s anti-epidemic campaign has turned into a political game.
It has been more than two years since the CCP virus epidemic spread around the world. Western countries are all seeking to coexist with the virus, so that the economy can recover and life can get back on track. Recently, some netizens claiming to be medical and nursing in Shanghai left a message saying that a lot of resources should not be used, such as the large-scale mobilization of medical and epidemic prevention personnel to assist in the containment and control, and the construction of a large number of makeshift hospitals to isolate mildly ill patients, saying that the local people who died due to excessive epidemic prevention, There are more people who died from the CCP virus pneumonia, and it is questioned whether to insist on dynamic clearing.
The zeroing policy has led to many humanitarian disasters. For example, mother and child were separated; a Shanghai woman who was not positive for nucleic acid test and asymptomatic was asked to take a 16-hour bus to the isolation center. During this period, she could not eat, drink, or go to the bathroom. Her only The wish is to leave alive. She is just one of thousands of victims of the chaos in Shanghai’s epidemic prevention.
The Wall Street Journal reported on April 6 that a highly contagious variant of the CCP virus Omikron has led to a surge in local cases, posing a challenge to Chinese President Xi Jinping. This fall, the Communist Party is expected to hold its 20th National Congress, when Xi Jinping is expected to start his third term, unprecedented in the history of the party.
Some observers believe that Xi Jinping has tied the clearing to his political reputation, and he cannot afford to lose.
On Tuesday, some netizens on the American social networking site Reddit posted a video that went viral on the Internet. These armed police or soldiers wearing protective clothing used brutal means to “drag” people out of their homes and force them to get into cars and send them to quarantine centers; there are also people It was photographed that many “gun-wielding” people were standing guard or patrolling on the streets, and netizens suspected that this was “maintaining stability” rather than fighting the epidemic.
Some netizens thought, “India, which was once severely affected by the epidemic, is now completely back to normal, all countries have graduated, and China under President Xi’s personal command is still doing homework, and finally said that it has explored an anti-epidemic route with Chinese characteristics and made contributions to the world. I find myself going down the steps, and I don’t care about my image anyway.”
“The 25 million people here have become part of some kind of disastrous political experiment,” Wayne Rand, a China correspondent for The Economist in Shanghai, described on Twitter. “While state media applauds itself, residents are suffer”.
The French Broadcasting Corporation reported on April 6 that the CCP virus Omicron variant virus has attacked many cities in the world. When it was the worst in many European and American countries, hundreds of thousands of people were infected every day, because the health authorities knew that this was an infectious disease. The virus is super strong and has a very low fatality rate. It will not squeeze the virus in medical facilities. It is not panic. Many countries have gradually or even completely liberalized, coexisting with the virus. Traffic, crowds, and life have returned to normal. But why is Shanghai still under lockdown? Why do some people feel that life is better than death?
According to the report, an opinion piece published by the Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Daily appeared to provide an answer to these questions. The article said, “Dynamic clearing or coexistence with the virus seems to be a struggle for anti-epidemic concepts, strategies, and methods, but in essence a struggle for systems, national strength, governance capabilities, and even civilization. A series of “hard-and-steel” language points out that the CCP leadership regards health and epidemic prevention as a struggle for systems, a struggle for national strength, and more appropriately, a struggle for superiority and inferiority with the Western world.
The world has seen that the serious humanitarian disasters and secondary disasters caused by the “zero-clearing” policy cannot be underestimated, but the People’s Daily, the CCP newspaper, commented on March 28 that the CCP is a world-class top student in epidemic prevention. On March 30, Xinhua News Agency published a long article “Insist on dynamic clearing and do not relax”, promoting Xi Jinping’s personal command and deployment of epidemic prevention and “further pointing out the direction for epidemic prevention and control.”
In fact, the CCP’s road to epidemic prevention was dishonorable from the beginning. When the CCP virus epidemic in Wuhan began, what appeared to the world was that the CCP leaders at all levels concealed the truth and delayed the response, resulting in the spread of the epidemic to the whole country and even the whole world. Subsequently, the CCP took strict measures to control the epidemic, and this kind of epidemic prevention measures at the cost of humanitarian disasters is difficult to implement in other parts of the world. The CCP immediately rewrote the anti-epidemic narrative, describing an anti-epidemic campaign that had spread to a worldwide catastrophe due to its opacity as an institutional advantage of the CCP and a victory under the personal command of Xi Jinping. The concept of “zeroing” itself is anti-scientific since then. While clearing has become Xi Jinping’s talisman, it has also become Xi Jinping’s curse. And he’s going to put a straitjacket on everyone’s heads.
The World Daily described the closure of Shanghai as more like “killing the enemy without a shadow and hurting countless self”. At this sensitive moment before the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, will this result of clearing the city at all costs and then clearing it up will lead to Xi Jinping What about the opposite of what is expected?