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The ghost of the government crisis

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The ghost of the government crisis

The urge to vote exists and is more widespread than you think. In Montecitorio the suggestion is transversal, it runs from right to left, with a heterogenesis of ends that was unthinkable until a few weeks ago. On the other hand, if it is caressed even in the corridors of Palazzo Chigi – even with all the prudence that is required in times of war -, for the majority forces the temptation turns into the need to be ready.

The latest shocks came from the 5-star Movement, with which Mario Draghi has never managed to establish a serene dialogue. First the rule for the new incinerator in Rome which caused the abstention in the Council of Ministers of the Five Stars, then the cold criticisms against the superbonus grillino. Giuseppe Conte is furious: “They say we want to leave the government, but I’m starting to think that someone wants to push the M5S out of the executive,” he thunders at the press conference. And as proof of a worn-out relationship with the premier, the cannonade continues: “I don’t know which Dragons to talk about, whether the Draghi who approves the law extending the superbonus on the CDM or whether the Draghi who goes to the European Parliament to speak ill of a measure that allowed him to go around Europe to boast a GDP of 6.6% ».

Harsh words to which the Prime Minister does not reply directly, but transpires all his amazement at the tones used by his predecessor. And from government sources, where Conte’s tones are considered more akin to an electoral campaign than to a political confrontation, a clarification is added: when the M5S leader says that the increase in Italian GDP is due to the superbonus he says one thing imprecise, given that the contribution to growth of the entire construction sector represents 1%. Yet, beyond the media skirmishes, the M5S leader is aware that no one in Italy wants a crisis to open. And the polls, in the Movement, have always been the first compass with which the path is oriented. Not surprisingly, conversing with The print, Conte pulls the brakes: «We need a government that does things. It would not be good for a government to fall and bring forward the end of the legislature ”. There is the PNRR on which the executive must “work at a fast pace”, recalls the former prime minister, and then “if this war continues, we know that a crazy recession will hit the European Union”. On the one hand, therefore, responsibility is shown, on the other the tension with Palazzo Chigi remains high. An attitude that loosens ties with Enrico Letta’s Pd. Conte admits that he has not spoken to the secretary dem for some time, “thanks to the commitments”; on the other hand, Letta bacchetta who goes “to divide, to distinguish everything at all times, making the government weaker.”

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A jab also addressed to Matteo Salvini. In the center-right the calculations are already being made: «If we went to vote soon we would win, also because the large field of Letta is a disaster. In a year, who knows ». Here the battle considered decisive is that over the land registry, contained in the tax delegation. “The negotiations with the Mef are on a dead end,” says a deputy in contact with the technicians of Via XX Settembre. Nobody wants to bring down the government, but neither wants to give in on such an identity issue as the house. Matteo Salvini has made several allusions, “I go all the way on the land registry,” he said publicly. In private, however, he is more explicit: «If taxes increase, then I can’t wait to go and vote. I would have the electoral campaign ready ”, he repeated at the top with his allies. It is not a declaration of war, but the sign of an era in which anything can happen. Even the most loyal to Draghi, such as Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti, have long warned that in September the situation for the country will be very complex and, therefore, being found in the government will not guarantee any electoral advantage, unlike what will happen to Fratelli d Italy, which in fact no longer asks for elections.

For Silvio Berlusconi, needless to say, the house is an inviolable taboo, a symbol of one of his greatest electoral triumphs and therefore woe to anyone who touches it. In Arcore, early elections are spoken of with less ease. Among the Azzurri, and not from today, different souls coexist, the governist one and the one that sees the relationship with the League as strategic and here the risks for what remains of the legislature lurk. Renato Brunetta sniffs the problem: “Going to early elections right now would be madness.” But the wind is changing, just listen to the words of Alessandro Cattaneo, certainly not an enemy of Draghi, who attacks the government on the hypothesis of canceling the superbonus: «We need a political clarification. Just as the time has come to clarify the timing, methods and methods “. An executive of Forza Italia vents in the Transatlantic: «How does Draghi not understand that asking questions in this way only creates tensions? The truth is that he is tired of us and we are tired of him ».

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Here too there are resistance, first of all the body of parliamentarians already very active in the days of the Quirinale to avoid an early end of the legislature. The pension matures in the autumn and therefore is no longer under discussion, but the fact remains that 2/3 of the current deputies and senators will not be re-elected. Leaders are receiving all sorts of pressure, including weeping MPs asking to be re-nominated. But much will pass from the electoral law. Salvini is not yet convinced of the opportunity to change and go towards a proportional system, but he could give up if Giorgia Meloni continues to rise in the polls. Conte assures that she will hear him to talk about it, because «a proportional law must be made. Going to the vote with the reduction of parliamentarians and the Rosatellum means risking to further distance citizens from politics ». And it is above all on the desire of the parties for a new electoral law that their desire to return to the vote is weighed.

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