The sky is high and the sea is surging
——Why is my country’s development still in a period of important strategic opportunities?
[Serialization of “New Journey Face to Face” ③]
In Chinese history, the 20-odd years from 713 to 741 AD is known as the “Prosperity of Kaiyuan”, which is the most prosperous period of the Tang Dynasty. During this period of time, China’s economy was unprecedentedly prosperous, the population size increased substantially, and the people’s lives were prosperous and well-off, presenting a scene of “rice fat and corn white, public and private warehouses are abundant”. But the rulers at that time did not grasp and seize the opportunity. Not only did they fail to maintain and continue the good development momentum, they also triggered the “An-Shi Rebellion”, which caused the decline of the Datang River from prosperity to decline, and ultimately led to the division of the Five Dynasties and Ten Kingdoms. The lessons of history are embarrassing, and the warnings they bring to us are very profound. Today, the Chinese nation is in the best period of development in history. Seizing, maintaining and prolonging the important strategic opportunity period to accelerate development is so important for China to complete the “thrilling leap” in the future!
Those who observe the situation are wise, and those who control the situation win. The world today is undergoing major changes unseen in a century, the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation has entered a critical period, and my country’s development is facing unprecedented opportunities and challenges. In the context of time and space where history and the future continue to meet and China and the world are closely intertwined, only by having a long-term perspective, broadening one’s horizons, and proactively planning, acting in response to the situation, and taking advantage of the situation, can we accurately grasp the time and situation. The overall trend and development changes, nurturing opportunities amidst crises, and opening a new game amidst changes.
1. A period of important strategic opportunities still exists
In China today, the achievements of reform and development have attracted worldwide attention. However, the outside world is not peaceful, things at home are not easy, and the situation facing them is extremely profound and complicated. Against this background, some people have raised questions: Is there still a period of important strategic opportunities for my country’s development? Are development advantages still obvious? What should we think of this?
To answer these questions, we must first clarify the meaning of opportunities and important strategic opportunities. What is an opportunity? It is the conditions, factors and environment that are conducive to the development of things. It has objectivity and inevitability, and when and where it appears cannot be controlled by subjective will. The important strategic opportunity period is the period of time when strategic and overall opportunities exist and play a role, which plays a key role in the development of things. For example, in the 1980s, the world ushered in the wave of economic globalization. It was China who seized this important opportunity to implement the strategic decision of reform and opening up, integrate the domestic economy into the international industry and trade division system, and enable the country to It developed at an unprecedented speed, thus creating the “Chinese miracle” in the history of human development. As far as the development of a major country is concerned, whether it can seize, use, maintain and extend the period of important strategic opportunities is related to the prosperity of the country and the long-term development of its cause.
In 2002, the 16th National Congress of the Communist Party of China first proposed a period of important strategic opportunities, which clearly pointed out: “The first two decades of the 21st century are a period of important strategic opportunities that must be firmly grasped for our country and can make great achievements. “In the past 20 years, we have seized opportunities and taken the initiative to deepen reforms, expand opening up, promote development, and continue to create new prospects for the development of the party and the country. Now that we have entered the third decade of this century, my country’s development is in a new historical period, and the conditions, factors and environment it faces have also undergone new changes. So, is my country still in a period of important strategic opportunities? Based on the overall domestic and international situation, we have sufficient reasons to make a judgment: the times and the situation are generally in our favor, and my country’s development is still in a period of important strategic opportunities.
China’s external environment remains favorable. In today’s world, although there are local conflicts, terrorism and other disharmonious factors, peace and development are still the themes of the times. Political dialogue, economic and trade negotiations, and cultural tolerance have become the main methods for handling differences and disputes between countries, and political multipolarity The trend of economic globalization, cultural diversification, and social informatization is irreversible, and the concept of a community with a shared future for mankind has become increasingly popular. Especially under conditions of nuclear deterrence, the possibility of a direct war between major powers is greatly reduced. Under such a general environment, the chances of my country’s development being blocked by external factors are significantly reduced, and you can concentrate on doing your own things well and win a longer development window period and golden period.
China’s development potential is still huge. After more than 70 years of the founding of the People’s Republic of China, especially over 40 years of reform and opening up, my country has firmly ranked as the second largest economy in the world and the largest manufacturing country in the world. It has a super economic volume, a strong industrial foundation and a huge domestic market. market. At the same time, my country is still in the primary stage of socialism and will remain the largest developing country in the world for a long time. The demand for solving the problem of unbalanced and insufficient development and improving the quality of life of the people is lasting and comprehensive. At present, my country has a middle-income group of more than 400 million people, which is more than the total population of the United States and more than half of the total population of Europe. The contribution rate of final consumption expenditure to GDP growth is less than 60%, and that of developed countries is more than 70%. There is still a lot of room for my country to stimulate consumption and expand domestic demand.
China’s growth momentum remains strong. The principles of economics tell us that factor input and reform and innovation are the two most important driving forces for economic development. Relying on factor input to drive the space is limited and marginal effects will become weaker and weaker. The energy driven by reform and innovation will be huge, and endogenous power will increase. The stronger. At present, my country’s total savings rate is about 45%, which is still at a high level, and the consumption potential that can be tapped is still great. In recent years, my country has comprehensively deepened reforms with multiple breakthroughs, and highlights of scientific and technological innovation have frequently emerged, providing good conditions for accelerating the conversion of new and old kinetic energy and promoting the transformation and upgrading of economic structure. Since the Third Plenary Session of the Eighteenth Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, my country has issued more than 500 important reform documents, and historical changes, systemic reshaping, and overall reconstruction have been achieved in several areas, so that the vitality of economic development has been fully stimulated and released.
Most importantly, we have a strong institutional advantage. Adhering to the party’s leadership and the socialist system can maximize the integration of resources, unite people’s hearts, and concentrate efforts on major tasks, which has unparalleled significant advantages. In promoting development, the socialist system and the market economy can be well integrated, so that the “two hands” of the government and the market can be effectively brought into play; in response to challenges, the people of the country can be united and united. Work together to overcome the difficulties and form a powerful force to overcome all risks and difficulties.
It is based on these facts that the Fifth Plenary Session of the Nineteenth Central Committee of the Party made a scientific judgment on the current and future stages of my country’s development. This is the basic standpoint and starting point of our planning for economic and social development. All undertakings of the party and the country must be carried out accordingly, and we must not deviate from this major judgment.
2. A rational view of new opportunities and challenges
There is a basic principle of materialist dialectics, which talks about the law of quantitative change and qualitative change, that is, the accumulation of quantitative changes of things to a certain extent will cause qualitative changes, and on this basis, new quantitative changes will begin. How to locate my country’s development environment through the complex appearances? Using this law as a telescope, we can clearly see that my country’s development is still in a period of important strategic opportunities is the “qualitative” qualitative, and the new changes in opportunities and challenges are the development of “quantity”. Therefore, we must not only “flight through chaotic clouds and still be calm” and maintain a rock-solid strategic determination, but also “know the deer when the grass shakes the leaves” and maintain the predictive ability to see the slightest and know what is happening.
The world today is in a period of major development, major changes, and major adjustments. Contemporary China is undergoing extensive and profound social changes. The opportunities we face are more strategic and malleable, and the challenges we face are more complex and overall. Today, we have both the “confidence” to approach the center of the world stage and the “pressure” to stand under the spotlight; there are both the “joy” of rapid development and the “troubles” of growing up… Place yourself in a contradiction where opportunities and challenges are intertwined, light and darkness coexist, and advantages and disadvantages coexist.
Looking outside, the world is full of hope. Now that human civilization has developed to the highest level in history, rapid changes are taking place every day, and various positive factors brought about by development and progress are constantly increasing. The international balance of power is undergoing the most revolutionary changes in modern times. Emerging market countries and developing countries represented by China have risen rapidly, accounting for nearly 40% of the world economy and contributing 80% of the world economic growth. . In particular, information technology is iteratively upgraded at an exponential rate, promoting the in-depth development of a new round of technological revolution and industrial transformation, greatly changing people’s production and lifestyles, and accelerating the reconstruction of the global political and economic order and pattern.
At the same time, the world is constantly challenged. The world has entered a period of turbulent change, and the international environment has become increasingly complex. The earth we live in is not calm, and often undercurrents are surging. The epidemic has a wide-ranging and far-reaching impact, unilateralism, scumming of trade protection, power politics, unpredictable terrorist attacks, refugee crises one after another… Various instability and uncertain factors pierce people’s nerves and contribute to world peace and development. It poses a threat and becomes the death of the age of human civilization and progress.
Looking inwardly, my country has obvious advantages in development. China’s economy is already a vast ocean. Although it has encountered violent winds and waves, the sea cannot be overturned. It can show its strength and magnificence even more in the wind and waves. At present, the overall situation of my country’s society is stable, the fundamentals of the long-term economic improvement and the internal upward trend have not changed, and conditions are available and fully capable of overcoming difficulties and reaching a new level. In particular, our country has entered a stage of high-quality development. In recent years, the benefits of continuously optimizing the economic structure have initially emerged. The economic “look” is getting higher and higher, the “temperament” is getting better and better, and the “vitality” is getting more and more. In 2020, the scale of my country’s digital economy will reach 39.2 trillion yuan, accounting for nearly 40% of the total domestic economy.
At the same time, my country’s development is also problematic. International experience shows that when the per capita GDP of a country or region reaches about US$10,000, it is not only a period of important development opportunities, but also a period of concentrated conflicts. In the final analysis, the problem of my country’s development is imbalance and inadequacy, where imbalance refers to the development of some regions and fields, while others do not develop well, and there is an imbalance phenomenon that affects the improvement of the overall level; inadequate refers to It is the incomplete reform and development, and there are still shortcomings and weaknesses in some areas. These problems are the result of the superposition of cyclical and structural factors, external shocks and internal conflicts, and there is a long way to go to resolve them.
Guanshan is so heavy that the mountains are high and man-made peaks. Opportunities and challenges have always coexisted and can be transformed into each other under certain conditions. The key is to use dialectical thinking to study, judge and grasp. The “14th Five-Year Plan” period is a period when new opportunities and challenges are constantly emerging. We must adhere to the correct view of history, overall situation, and development, and see the essence of things through complicated phenomena, so as to avoid chaos and danger. Seek opportunities, forge ahead, and open up new opportunities to promote our country’s development towards a brighter future.
3. Firmly grasp the initiative of development strategy
For a country or a nation, important strategic opportunities do not often occur, and they do not exist forever. The key is to firmly grasp them after they appear, and be good at maintaining and extending them. This is a basic experience that has been repeatedly proven by the development of human civilization. This is especially important in the process of transforming new and old opportunities.
The experience in history is worth learning and learning. After 1640, Britain seized the important strategic opportunity period of the bourgeois revolution and completed the transition from a feudal autocratic country to a modern country. In the 1860s, the first industrial revolution took place in the capitalist world. Britain once again seized this important historical opportunity and gradually won the competition. It defeated the “Sea Coachman” Holland and the “Gaulian Rooster” France. The hegemon of the world established the “empire that the sun never sets”, which has been glorious for more than a hundred years, without any difference. The rise of the United States is also a typical example. After the mid-nineteenth century, the United States seized the opportunity in the second industrial revolution and its economic strength was greatly enhanced. In 1894, the total economic volume surpassed that of the United Kingdom. After the Second World War, the United States took the lead in the third industrial revolution, secured the top spot in the world, and further consolidated and consolidated its position as the number one power.
When the river enters the gorge and the wind crosses the pass, it is the moment of urgency. The rise and prosperity of a big country often faces a critical transition of life and death. There are only two destinies standing at the intersection. Seizing the opportunity can maintain the advantage and take advantage of the momentum. If the opportunity is lost, the previous achievements will be abandoned and the trough will fall. Our country has missed the previous two industrial revolutions in history, lost too many development opportunities, missed too many historical intersections, turned a deaf ear to the roar of steam engines, and turned a blind eye to the light of electricity. The tragic situation of falling behind and being beaten paid a heavy price.
learn from past experience. Today, when historical opportunities once again appear before us, we must maintain, extend and make good use of the important strategic opportunity period, seek advantages and avoid disadvantages, maximize strengths and avoid weaknesses, and win strategic space and upward channels for the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation. Based on this, the Fifth Plenary Session of the 19th Central Committee of the Party is based on the scientific judgment of my country’s development environment, and from the perspective of coordinating the “two overall situations”, it requires the whole party to increase the awareness of opportunities and risks, and bravely sail on top and go uphill. , Firmly grasp the initiative of the development strategy.
Accurately recognize changes. Today’s era is changing rapidly, and updates in all fields are “one thousand miles”, and the speed of change is dazzling. In the field of science and technology, the calibration cycle of Moore’s Law is constantly compressing, and the speed of technological change is increasing fissionally. In this era of rapid advancement, we need to have a pair of insightful eyes, scientifically grasp the general trend and trend of world development, be keenly aware of the development and changes of the internal and external environment, and accurately distinguish the clues and clues of the development in the fields of economy, politics, culture, society, and technology. Trends, to be able to hear and see clearly, know well, and not be surprised at every change.
Scientific strain. “Permanent system cannot wait for changes, and one path cannot be unresolved.” In the face of constantly changing situations, it is impossible to stick to the rules and follow the old ways. We must use the situation to make the best of the situation and implement scientific strategies. This time the fight against the new crown pneumonia epidemic is a good example. Sudden and severe epidemics have been rare and fierce in a century. China has taken extraordinary actions to deal with extraordinary events and adopted extraordinary measures at extraordinary times. The city was decisively closed at the first time, the whole country was used to support a province, the shortest time was used to build a treatment hospital, and the entire city was quarantined for all staff testing. This effectively curbed the spread of the epidemic, effectively changed the dangerous situation of the spread of the virus, and maximized protection The safety and health of people’s lives have become a model for the successful control of the epidemic in the world.
Actively seek change. A popular saying on the Internet is philosophical: breaking an egg from the outside is food, but breaking it from the inside is life. The same is true for the development of a country. Active change from the inside can break the predicament and gain a new life; if led by external forces, it can only be passive and controlled by others. For example, in recent years, China has adapted to the trend of in-depth development of economic globalization and has put forward a major initiative to jointly build the “Belt and Road”, which has strengthened economic and trade cooperation between China and countries along the route, and has made China’s contribution to the liberalization of world trade. China’s international influence and shaping power.
In 1923, shortly after the founding of the Communist Party of China, Li Dazhao wrote in his article “Sangximen’s View of History”: “The golden age is not behind us, but in front of us; not in the past, but in the future.” Nearly 100 years have passed. , The Chinese Communist Party is flourishing, and the historical opportunity once again opens its enthusiasm to the Chinese nation. The responsibility of our generation is to take dreams as horses, live up to the time, take advantage of the east wind of opportunity and fly high, so that China’s modernization will reach a new world of prosperity and strength.
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