Sevilla-Real Madrid, the odds and precedents

The trip to Seville may be Real Madrid’s almost final step towards the title in La Liga. The calendar also says so: after the Andalusian home game – scheduled for Sunday at 21 – Carlo Ancelotti’s team will play against Osasuna and Espanyol, two teams that occupy the central positions of the table and that no longer have much to ask from the championship. . But the double engagement against Manchester City could bring some distraction and then there will be the derby against Atletico Madrid: to win on the field of the second in the standings (at -12 precisely from Real and on equal points with Barcelona, ​​which however have a game less) would be crucial for the Blancos.

The moment

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For their part, Sevilla need points not so much to chase a now unexpected title in the La Liga as a place in the Champions League: the formation of Julen Lopetegui – formerly of the match – is at 60 points in the league, in fourth place there is Atletico at 57 and with the same points there is Betis, stopped at 0-0 by Real Sociedad on Friday evening. The Andalusians will try to exploit the boost of success found in the last round, with a 4-2 home win against Granada that interrupted a streak of four games without a win in the league. While Real, galvanized by the passage of the round in the Champions League with the thrill of extra time against Chelsea, comes from two successes in the Liga after the blow in the Clasico, with the 0-4 at the Bernabeu against Barcelona.

The numbers

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The last precedents between the two teams are in favor of the Blancos: no defeat in their last six matches against Sevilla in the league (five wins and one draw) and two consecutive wins on the Andalusian field, managing not to concede goals on both occasions ( double 1-0). Only once have Real won at least three games in a row at Sevilla (streak of four between ’94 and ’96). Prior to their last two successes, the Blancos had lost their previous four matches to Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan. The bookmakers say that the draw is the least likely result and the precedents also go in this direction: the last equal between Sevilla and Real Madrid in the league, at the Andalusian home, dates back to May 2005.