For the fourth consecutive time, we will have emotions in the dispute over Oscar for Best Actress. Lily Gladstone took home the SAG Awards on Saturday for her performance in “Killers of the Flower Moon.” She beat Emma Stone, winner of the BAFTA, Critics Choice and Golden Globe for “Poor Creatures,” at awards shows in recent months. As a result, both are going head-to-head in industry awards.
Lily Gladstone named Best Actress at the 2024 SAG Awards @ Monica Schipper/FilmMagic
But when SAG and BAFTA are at odds, which one has a better chance of winning the Oscar?
Since BAFTA became a barometer at the Oscars 23 years ago, the British awards and the American actors’ union have failed to agree 13 times in the Best Actress dispute.
In some cases, the film was not eligible (under UK rules) or, if it was eligible, actresses were snubbed in the competition, as was the case with Gladstone exactly this year. There have also been confusions among studios when it comes to defining categories in which the actress best fits – such as Best Actress or Supporting Actress.
Emma Stone vence o Bafta 2024 @ Getty Images
Check out 13 awards (SAG, BAFTA and Oscar) that didn’t line up.
2001
SAG: Halle Berry, “The Last Supper”
BAFTA: Judi Dench, “Iris”
Oscar: Halle Berry
2002
SAG: Renee Zellweger, “Chicago”
BAFTA: Nicole Kidman, “As Horas”
Oscar: Nicole Kidman
2003
SAG: Charlize Theron, “Monster”
BAFTA: Scarlett Johansson, “Encontros e Desencontos” (not nominated at SAG)
Oscar: Charlize Theron
2004
SAG: Hilary Swank, “Golden Girl” (not BAFTA nominee)
BAFTA: Imelda Staunton, “Vera Drake”
Oscar: Hilary Swank
2007
SAG: Julie Christie, “Longe Dela”
BAFTA: Marion Cotillard, “La Vie en Rose”
Oscar: Marion Cotillard
2008
SAG: Meryl Streep, “Doubt”
BAFTA: Kate Winslet, “The Reader” (also nominated for Leading Role at the BAFTA for “It Was Just a Dream”; won for supporting role for “The Reader” at the SAG, Critics Choice Golden Globes)
Oscar: Kate Winslet
2009
SAG: Sandra Bullock, “The Blind Side”
BAFTA: Carey Mulligan, “Education”
Oscar: Sandra Bullock
2011
SAG: Viola Davis, “Cross Stories”
BAFTA: Meryl Streep, “Iron Lady”
Oscar: Meryl Streep
2012
SAG: Jennifer Lawrence, “Silver Linings Playbook”
BAFTA: Emmanuelle Riva, “Amour” (not nominated for SAG)
Oscar: Jennifer Lawrence
2018
SAG: Glenn Close, “A Esposa”
BAFTA: Olivia Colman, “A Favorite”
Oscar: Olivia Colman
2020
SAG: Viola Davis, “The Supreme Voice of the Blues” (not nominated for BAFTA)
BAFTA: Frances McDormand, “Nomadland”
Oscar: Frances McDormand
2021
SAG: Jessica Chastain, “The Eyes of Tammy Faye” (not BAFTA nominee)
BAFTA: Joanna Scanlan, “After Love” (not nominated for SAG or Oscar)
Oscar: Jessica Chastain
2022
SAG: Michelle Yeoh, “Everything Everywhere at Once”
BAFTA: Cate Blanchett, “LIBRARY”
Oscar: Michelle Yeoh