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The outgoing president of the autonomous region of Madrid, Isabel Diaz Ayuso of the Popular Party, would clearly win the regional elections, according to Rtve polls, with 43.7% of the preferences, for 62-65 deputies equal to more than double the 30 obtained in 2019.
However, to govern by overcoming the absolute majority (69 seats) he would need the 12-14 seats that the extreme Vox party would obtain. The left bloc would stop at 56-63 deputies, while Ciudadanos would leave the local Assembly having not exceeded the 5% threshold.