Since the formal start of the campaigns on March 1, the three candidates competing in the presidential elections in Mexico have been touring the national territory to convince voters that they are the best option to lead the country.
The candidates are Claudia Sheinbaum (Morena-PT-PVEM); Xóchitl Gálvez (PAN-PRI-PRD); and Jorge Álvarez Máynez (Citizen Movement). However, recent surveys by Mitofsky, Parametria, and De las Heras Demotecnia show that Sheinbaum maintains a significant lead in electoral preferences over her opponents. Sheinbaum is ahead by more than 20 percentage points in gross terms in all three surveys.
While Sheinbaum leads in all surveys, political analysts believe that there is still room for the other candidates to catch up. With the campaigns just beginning, analysts suggest that Sheinbaum’s advantage could change depending on how the candidates position themselves and their campaign proposals.
The upcoming presidential elections in Mexico are considered to be the largest in recent history, with over 20,000 popularly elected positions at stake. The election process began last year with the selection of candidates and pre-campaigns, and will culminate on June 2 when a little more than 99 million Mexicans are called to the polls.
In addition to the political aspect, security is also a central theme in the campaigns as violence continues to be a pressing issue in some areas of the country. The government and electoral authorities are hoping for a massive and peaceful turnout on election day, despite concerns about voter turnout due to fear of violence.
Overall, analysts and experts agree that while Sheinbaum currently leads in the polls, it is still too early to predict the outcome of the election. Anything can happen as the campaigns progress and the candidates make their case to the Mexican electorate.