American scholars who are concerned about China’s military power analyze the consequences that the Communist army will face once it attacks Taiwan. The picture shows the US Nimitz aircraft carrier traveling in the Philippine Sea. (Image source: Getty Images)
[Look at China July 16, 2021](Look at a comprehensive report by Chinese reporter Ming Si) In recent years, the CCP has frequently threatened Taiwan’s military and is concerned about China’s military power. Beckley, an associate professor of political science at Tufts University in the United States, warned that the CCP May pretend that the military exercise suddenlyTaiwanLaunched an attack, but he thought,Communist ArmyThe attack on Taiwan will almost certainly fail!
According to a report by Voice of America on the 13th, Michael Beckley said in an interview that the Beijing authorities are indeed considering military reunification of Taiwan, because they have lost hope of peaceful reunification, and the relationship between Taiwan and the United States has continued to strengthen, and the hope for reunification is growing. The slimmer.
Beckley believes that the Chinese Communist army may weaken the vigilance of the Taiwan authorities through frequent exercises, and then use military exercises to suddenly forcibly attack Taiwan, leaving Taiwan and the United States off guard.
Beckley said that if the Communists really use military exercises to attack Taiwan, the United States may not be able to prevent them from invading Taiwan in the first place, but this operation will almost certainly fail. Crossing the Taiwan Strait is inherently risky, not to mention landing in Taiwan. Moreover, Taiwan itself is a natural fortress. The east coast is muddy beaches, and there are not many places where troops can land in the west. Taiwan has already prepared for the few beaches that can be used for landing.
Beckley pointed out that this is not like the Allied counterattack landing on the European continent during World War II. At that time, the German forces faced by the Allied forces had only light weapons, and Taiwan had precision-guided bombs that could greatly damage the invading Communist forces.
Beckley said bluntly, “The invasion of Taiwan is the most difficult and complex military operation in history.”
Regarding how the U.S. counters the Communist invasion of Taiwan, Beckley believes that in addition to deploying a large number of missiles and drones on Taiwan’s main island and the waters around Taiwan, and turning Taiwan’s surroundings into a “high-tech thunder array”, if the CCP wants to attack and merge Occupying Taiwan must consume a lot of manpower, time, and resources. On the other hand, the United States only needs to impose sanctions on China that are sufficient to paralyze China. It does not necessarily have to directly resort to military attacks to block China’s attempts.
As for the US government’s willingness to defend Taiwan, Beckley admitted that it was “both optimistic and pessimistic.” After the Wuhan pneumonia epidemic and the financial crisis, Americans have become more focused on domestic military conflicts rather than being involved in overseas military conflicts.
However, Beckley also said that this attitude is changing, and the key lies in China itself. The CCP’s “wolf war diplomacy” and spread of the Wuhan pneumonia virus attempt to cover it, causing the world to resent the CCP and to the current two parties in the United States. , “It has become a rare consensus to deal with the CCP.”
In fact, apart from the CCP’s constant military intimidation against Taiwan, its navy has also frequently conducted long-distance training in the Yellow Sea, the East China Sea, the South China Sea, and the Philippine Sea.
The “Freedom Times” reported that the recent analysis of the “Recent CCP Military Training Observation” report by the Institute of Military Affairs of the National Defense University of Taiwan pointed out that the CCP believes that in order to win military operations against Taiwan in the future, it must have the ability to conduct counter-operations against the U.S. military. Prevent the US military from intervening in conflicts across the Taiwan Strait.
However, the Beijing authorities believe that the US military is unlikely to directly send troops to participate in ground operations under the threat of various types of long-range strikes by the Communists. In the name of ensuring the freedom and safety of international navigation, the US military will control the Miyako Strait and the Bashi Strait with its maritime and air superiority, prevent the Communist aircraft and ships from entering the Western Pacific to carry out anti-intervention operations against the US military, and reduce the military operations of the Communist military against Taiwan to the western beaches of Taiwan. shore.
Therefore, the key to the success or failure of the Communist military’s military operations against Taiwan will be the battle between the Chinese and American armed forces for control of the Miyako Strait and the Bashi Strait.
The report also pointed out that when the U.S. military transport plane C-17 was carrying the U.S. Senator to Taiwan, the Communist Army issued the “Amphibious Loading Airway Training” combat training information of the 72nd and 73rd Army Groups in the Eastern Theater, but the content was general training. This is a typical “painting a dog as a tiger”, and the operation is cognizant of combat against Taiwan.
The report concludes that the CCP’s military threat to Taiwan at this stage is mainly based on operational cognitive warfare, which makes Taiwan’s internal fear of the CCP’s possible use of force to violate Taiwan, and the Taiwanese people must understand the CCP’s cognitive warfare routines before they can be confused. .
Source: Look at China
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