Ukraine, Tricarico: “Russia ahead, but only for a little while. Tired soldiers and too many mistakes”

The turning point of the 100-day war raises the curtain on geopolitical questions and tactical doubts, while the world wonders how long the slaughter of soldiers and civilians in Ukraine will last. General Leonardo Tricarico, analyst, pilot with 3 thousand hours of flight, former Chief of Staff of the Air Force, experienced a war as commander of the Italian air forces in the Balkan crisis. Moscow removes General Dvornikov Who is winning in Ukraine? “The situation is still very fluid. Moscow’s troops, even if unmotivated, seem to have regained advantage, but the Ukrainians are not willing to give in, even by virtue of Western aid. Russia has already lost in other respects”. What do you mean? “I don’t know how it will go in Ukraine, but it has certainly lost weight on the international level, it is under the check of sanctions and risks being isolated. Nothing will be the same again and who knows when and if it will be able to recover lost international relations”. Could we have avoided getting this far? “At the beginning of the conflict, Moscow and Kiev had shown a mild intention to negotiate. Then the positions stiffened and the word passed completely to arms”. Does the West have faults? “Hypothetically, if the international community had strongly supported the path of negotiations right away, perhaps we would have avoided all this bloodshed”. What did the hundred days make us understand? “The poverty of the Russian military instrument has come to light. Not even the experts had foreseen such a paucity in terms of tactics and military doctrine”. How long will the war last? “Today it is difficult to say. Certainly it cannot hold up at this rate for long. Putin’s army, which fielded 100 thousand men thinking of a rapid campaign, shows a strong human wear, low availability of supplies, errors on the ground. But also Kiev …