Control, abstention and dispersion: this is how Chavismo’s gear works to prevent the opposition from participating in the Venezuelan elections

76

Chavismo’s strategy in Venezuela to manipulate election results

Since the establishment of the Chavista regime in Venezuela, questions about the legality and transparency of the country’s elections have persisted. Complaints regarding inconsistencies in the electoral registry, electronic voting, lack of guarantees, and various manipulations have been consistently raised by the opposition during each election.

The apparent maneuvers made by the regime to stay in power have led to widespread outcry. The persecution unleashed by the “Tascón list” and the designation of Chavismo-linked tokens within the National Electoral Council (CNE), in addition to abuse of public funds for campaigns, have all played a role in favoring Chavismo in the elections.

Eugenio Martínez, the director of Votoscopio.com, emphasized that, to secure a win in 2024, President Maduro needs to maintain electoral control, generate abstention, and disperse the opposition vote.

The impartiality of electoral bodies is critical to ensuring democratic processes, but in Venezuela, officials have clear ties to Chavismo, raising doubts about their management. This is exemplified by the post-election appointments of Jorge Rodríguez, Tibisay Lucena, and Elvis Amoroso to positions in the Maduro administration.

Martínez stated that the electoral law, which gives the CNE absolute discretion in defining elections’ timing and operational issues, further solidifies Chavismo’s control over the electoral process. Chavismo’s grip on the CNE, designed to deter opposition voters, advises debates over fraud and lack of conditions, further deterring opposition participation.

A pressing concern for the opposition is the need for a comprehensive review of the electoral registry, with an estimated four million voters needing to update their information. The absence of opposition voters at the polls complements Chavismo’s strategy for dispersion. For the 2024 elections, several opposition candidates are expected to register independently, leading to vote dispersion.

In summary, Chavismo’s elaborate strategy involves maintaining control of the CNE, generating abstention, and dispersing the opposition vote to secure a favorable outcome. As the 2024 elections unfold, Chavismo’s influence remains a significant concern for electoral transparency and fairness.