[Epoch Times July 13, 2021]Hello friends, today is July 12th (Monday), welcome to the “Foresight Quick Review”, my name is Tang Jingyuan.
It has been two and a half years since Meng Wanzhou was detained by the Canadian police and initiated an extradition lawsuit. As Sino-US relations and Sino-Canada relations continue to deteriorate, the Meng Wanzhou incident has gradually faded out of public view and has not received so much attention. But this weekend, Meng Wanzhou’s team took a very bold new move to restore the unfavorable situation, and it failed. However, this drastic move made Meng Wanzhou almost no hope of a comeback.
Today we will briefly talk about this incident. This incident is not only related to Meng Wanzhou and Huawei, but also to the hottest focus of the Sino-US game, which is the fierce confrontation between sanctions and anti-sanctions.
Then we will discuss with our friends the large-scale protests that just broke out in Cuba yesterday, as well as the public opinion on the mainland network that used nuclear weapons to attack Japan. Although these things are just a symptom, they are enough to attract our attention, because behind the scenes Both contain unusual signals.
Meng Wanzhou’s new evidence was rejected by a Canadian judge, hopeless
Last Friday, the Deputy Chief Justice Heather Holmes, who has supervised the Meng Wanzhou case since the beginning of the case, rejected Huawei’s CFO Meng Wanzhou’s application to replace her legal team. A large number of new documents received from HSBC were added as evidence in her U.S. extradition case. Holmes said her reasons will be announced in writing within about ten days.
These new documents are more than 300 pages of internal documents obtained by Meng Wanzhou’s legal team from HSBC through a court in Hong Kong. The defense believes that they should be used as evidence because they would refute the basis of the US extradition request.
This piece of news is not eye-catching, and many media reports are short in length and have not attracted much public attention. But in fact, the defeat of Meng Wanzhou’s team this time is of great significance, because this is the first case in which the CCP tried to rely on the “Hong Kong version of the National Security Law” to coerce a foreign company into a direct confrontation with the United States in exercising its judicial overseas jurisdiction. We will observe China and the United States in the future. Both sanctions and legal wars have important reference value.
Meng admitted that he violated U.S. law but did not admit that he violated Canadian law
Let’s briefly sort out the ins and outs and intentions of this new action of Meng Wanzhou’s team.
We all know that, in accordance with Canadian judicial regulations, to detain Meng Wanzhou and successfully extradite him to the United States, a very important prerequisite must be met: Meng Wanzhou used Skycom to trade sensitive equipment with Iran. , Is not only suspected of violating American laws, but also violating Canadian laws. For the United States, Meng Wanzhou directly violated the sanctions. For Canada, Meng Wanzhou was suspected of defrauding HSBC.
Only by satisfying this double violation can Meng Wanzhou be extradited to the United States smoothly.
Previously, the strategy of Meng Wanzhou and the Huawei team was to completely deny the allegations and insist that neither Huawei nor Skycom has any relationship. However, with a lot of conclusive evidence, Meng Wanzhou’s legal battle has been retreating steadily, and his situation is extremely passive. In this case, Meng Wanzhou and Huawei decided to take a risk, that is, to selectively admit that they violated American laws, but did not admit that they violated Canadian laws.
What do you mean, that is, Meng Wanzhou admitted that he had manipulated Skycom to conduct illegal transactions with Iran, but he did not admit that he had defrauded HSBC. The specific method is to ask HSBC to provide documentary evidence that the bank’s personnel responsible for weighing sanctions, money laundering and fraud are very clear about the relationship between Huawei and Skycom, and believe that such risks are acceptable.
Huawei wants to drag HSBC into the water to prove that Meng Wanzhou has not defrauded
In other words, Huawei used HSBC to drag HSBC into the water and risked becoming an accomplice to prove that Meng Wanzhou did not defraud HSBC Bank. In this way, Meng Wanzhou would not have violated Canadian laws, and Canada would also There is no reason to continue to detain Meng Wanzhou, and there is no way to talk about extradition. Although Meng Wanzhou admitted that he violated American law, the United States can only stare at nothing.
This is the calculation of Meng Wanzhou and the Huawei team. The purpose is to take advantage of the legal loopholes. The focus is no longer on the issue of whether it is illegal, but for me if I violate the law, you will not be able to sanction me, that is, to engage in actions against the jurisdiction of the United States. , And the key point of this action is HSBC. To put it bluntly, as long as HSBC Bank submits evidence to prove that Meng Wanzhou did not defraud HSBC, Meng Wanzhou can get out.
On February 12 and 25 this year, Huawei filed an application in the High Court of London, England and the High Court of Hong Kong, China, requesting HSBC to disclose internal materials related to Meng Wanzhou’s extradition case. The British High Court rejected this application, but the Hong Kong court issued a decree on April 12 this year, agreeing that Meng Wanzhou can request relevant documents from HSBC and submit them to Canada as evidence.
This brings up a question: Meng Wanzhou has been detained by Canada for more than two years, why does her team think of this strategy now?
In fact, it’s not that Meng Wanzhou’s team didn’t have this kind of brains, but that they couldn’t handle HSBC before. Because if HSBC issues such a document, it is equivalent to proving that it is Meng Wanzhou’s accomplice, knowing that it violated the US sanctions and continues to assist Meng Wanzhou in completing the transaction with Iran.
The Hong Kong High Court bowed its head to the CCP due to the National Security Law, and Huawei forced HSBC to cooperate
But why is HSBC being dealt with now? In fact, the answer we have just mentioned, the British High Court rejected Huawei’s unreasonable request, but the Hong Kong High Court agreed. We must know that Hong Kong’s judicial system originally inherited Britain in its entirety. Why did Hong Kong make a different ruling from that of Britain? There is only one reason: Hong Kong is now controlled by the CCP, and the “Hong Kong version of the National Security Law” has been implemented in Hong Kong.
Lawyer Yang Jie, a senior partner of Huiye Law Firm, publicly claimed in an interview with the mainland media that if Huawei filed a lawsuit in Hong Kong before the “Hong Kong National Security Law” came into effect, it is likely to be rejected like this time in London. It is impossible for Meng Wanzhou’s team to do such “useless work”.
However, after the National Security Law came into effect on June 30, 2020, the judicial environment in Hong Kong has undergone tremendous changes. The CCP’s “blocking law” system has been initially established, and HSBC has played a major role in the game of sanctions and counter-sanctions between China and the United States. Under the background, especially when its main market is still dependent on the mainland, it is necessary to consider obeying Huawei. This is the underlying reason for the agreement between HSBC and Huawei.
As you can see, for the CCP, they are quite complacent and feel very successful. With the “Hong Kong version of the National Security Law,” they can coerce any company or individual in Hong Kong into cooperating with the CCP, so that the CCP can obtain whatever they need. evidence”. In the CCP’s own words, it has a weapon to resist US sanctions, and HSBC’s soft service is the result of the CCP’s small test.
But for Meng Wanzhou, the results of this test were disastrous. Because the Canadian judge refused to adopt the new HSBC documents, it was tantamount to no longer recognizing the legality of HSBC’s documentary evidence after the implementation of the National Security Act. As a result, Meng Wanzhou’s stealing chickens failed to erode the rice and failed to clear the suspicion of violating Canadian laws. On the contrary, admitting that he violated American law is tantamount to setting a strong nail to his coffin board.
U.S. sanctions 14 Chinese technology companies, CCP has no chance of winning
This case is very meaningful for us to observe the Sino-US sanctions war. Because we saw that the US Department of Commerce just added 23 Chinese companies to the entity list on July 9 (last Friday), including 14 that participated in the CCP’s repression, mass detention and mass detention of ethnic minorities such as Uighurs in Xinjiang. Chinese companies with high-tech surveillance.
The intensity of the sanctions this time is not very large, but there is one particularity: this is the first case of sanctions by the United States after Xi Jinping signed the “Anti-Sanctions Act”.
The Ministry of Commerce of the Communist Party of China issued a threat yesterday saying that China will take necessary measures to protect its rights, which means that it must retaliate. So, will the CCP use its own “blocking law” systems such as the “Anti-Sanctions Law” and “National Security Law” to effectively block various sanctions initiated by the United States?
Judging from Meng Wanzhou’s attempt this time, the CCP’s anti-sanction measures did not go beyond what we discussed in the previous program, that is, it still relies mainly on the mainland market as the capital and coerces relevant foreign-funded companies to obey the CCP’s instructions. , Just cut off all kinds of business contacts or all kinds of “checking water meters” to find trouble, and it is called the “blocking method”.
This style of play will only have one result, which is to eventually force foreign companies to choose between the CCP’s market hegemony and the U.S. financial hegemony. Whoever has greater influence or control over the future of the company will lead the company to fall behind. Who.
Therefore, I think anyone with a little common sense will see that before the CCP has financial capital and monetary payment systems that are comparable to the United States, the CCP’s so-called anti-sanctions will only deepen various decouplings, and there is almost no hope of victory. .
Is the sudden outbreak of large-scale demonstrations in Cuba affecting the CCP?
Next, let’s talk about the large-scale demonstrations that suddenly broke out in Cuba yesterday. To a certain extent, the impact of this demonstration on the United States even exceeded the impact on socialist China, which is thousands of miles away.
Just this past Sunday, Cuba suddenly broke out in unprecedented large-scale anti-government protests. In almost all provinces and major cities, a large number of people took to the streets to protest the government, including the Cuban capital Havana. From the news footage, we can see groups of people surging along the Malecon waterfront and the streets of Havana, chanting “freedom” and “downturn dictatorship” slogans.
According to the BBC report, the protest first appeared in San Antonio de los Baños, a city in southwestern Cuba, and quickly spread across the country. The reasons for the outbreak of demonstrations are believed to be related to the economic crisis, hunger, necessities, the outbreak of the Chinese Communist Party virus (Wuhan virus, the new crown virus), and the people’s desire for freedom.
Although the panic-stricken Cuban authorities cut off the domestic Internet on the same day, we still saw a lot of demonstrations circulated. Large numbers of people gathered in the square; crowds chanted “freedom” and marched in the streets; many demonstrators surrounded the local Communist Party. Headquarters, shouting “Cuba is not yours” and so on.
In the Cuban capital of Havana, the police’s violent suppression triggered popular resistance. The two sides broke out in conflict. The police used tear gas, beat the demonstrators with plastic pipes, and kept firing shots into the air. Angry people overturned several police cars, and at least dozens of people have been arrested.
Such a scene has never happened in the history of the Cuban Communist Party for decades. The first secretary of the Central Committee of the Cuban Communist Party and President of the State Diaz-Canel, in accordance with the usual propaganda routine, claimed that the demonstrations were American imperialism. Funded and incited, this was the result of the overthrow of the Cuban socialist revolution, so he called on those who supported the Communist Party to take to the streets to “defend the revolution.”
Aiming at the Communist authorities, Cuba and the CCP both evaded
“American Emperor” is the root of all evil. This propaganda trick to transfer contradictions and brainwash the people has been played by all communist countries for decades. This is not new in itself. Even in mainland China today, this trick is still used repeatedly by the CCP. However, I just feel that the term “US imperialism” is a bit too outdated, so I replace it with “foreign power”.
This sudden wave of protests in Cuba seems to be triggered by factors such as the economy and the epidemic on the surface, but in essence, the ultimate appeal of the protesting people is to focus on the current political system in Cuba, which is aimed at the signboard of socialism. .
We have seen reports from the mainland media try to evade this, desperately saying that this is because the epidemic has hit Cuba’s tourism and tourism industry, and the people are only dissatisfied with the government’s ineffective control of the epidemic and insufficient supplies of living materials, and they have targeted the Communist Party. Demonstrations and protests by the authorities and for freedom were distorted into a single issue of food and medical care.
What is very intriguing is that the reports of the American left media are basically in this tone, deliberately highlighting the material factors such as food and vaccines in the protests, while downplaying the protesters’ political demands for ending the communist system.
For the CCP, they believe that the Cuban model represents the old Soviet-style socialist model. In this remote and poor Caribbean island country, even if there is any change, it will be difficult to have a decisive impact on the CCP’s rule on the mainland. .
Fear even more impact on the American left
But the Cuban incident had a much greater impact on the American left. From a geopolitical point of view, Cuba’s position is in the backyard of the United States. After the socialist revolution broke out in Cuba, Che Guevara, Castro and others became idols of countless American left-wing literary youths. Young people pulling head T-shirts can be seen everywhere. Even when former President Barack Obama attended the José Martí Memorial wreath laying ceremony in 2016, he deliberately chose the huge Chevala head mural in Havana’s Revolution Square as a background photo.
This is what I said at the beginning, why this Cuban demonstration may have a greater impact on the United States than on the CCP.
At a time when American society has been largely leftward, and the pursuit of socialism has not only become a fashion, it has even become a kind of political correctness. Whether the Cuban protest continues to ferment or is suppressed by the authorities, it is an opportunity for Americans to reflect on. After all, this is a living example close at hand, not the remote and mysterious land in mainland China that is difficult to understand.
Mainland Internet media “bombed Japan with nuclear bombs”?
Finally, there is still some time. Let us briefly talk about the public opinion controversy caused by the nuclear bombing of Japan by the “Six Military Strategies” of the mainland cyber military channel.
This channel is an unofficial military video channel on the mainland network, but all the content it publishes closely follows the official position and narrative methods. A few days ago, the channel publicly proposed in its program that nuclear strikes should be used to prevent Japan from sending troops to assist in the defense of Taiwan. It must “use nuclear bombs in the first battle, and use nuclear bombs continuously”. In the end, Japan realized that it could not bear the cost of war and did not dare to interfere in Taiwan Strait affairs.
As far as the content of this video is concerned, it is basically the product of a wolf-like thinking that is both stupid, ignorant and crazy and bloodthirsty. But one of the things I think deserves attention is that the author threatens that the CCP is now facing “a major change unseen in a century.” In order to make full use of this change to achieve the CCP’s goals, it is necessary to make adjustments to any CCP’s past commitments, policies, etc. Or modify it, including the CCP’s previous principle of “no first use of nuclear weapons”.
This point is consistent with some official actions of the Chinese Communist Party.
As early as 2013, the national defense white paper published by the CCP did not mention the principle of “not being the first to use nuclear weapons” for the first time, which has attracted the attention of the international community.
In 2016, the mainland civil network also circulated the CCP’s “Three Principles for the Use of Nuclear Weapons”, essentially abandoning the principle of “no first use of nuclear weapons”. Although the official media did not report to confirm it, it never publicly refuted the rumors.
Therefore, the really worthy message of this “Nuclear Peace Japan” video is that the CCP may overturn any promises made in the past under the guise of the so-called “Hundred Years of Change”. After all, the destruction of Hong Kong’s “one country, two systems” on the grounds of “historical documents” is the latest and most vivid example of the changes in the Chinese Communist Party over the past century.
Using private platforms or identities to speak out on some highly sensitive topics and then test the reaction of the international community is a customary technique used by the CCP, and its purpose is not necessarily to actually pave the way for Japan’s nuclear strikes in the future. More I am afraid that I want to create an atmosphere of public opinion at home and abroad, that is: the general environment has changed, and any behavior of the CCP to tear up its promises is legitimate and worthy of understanding, because this is the need of the party and the so-called national rejuvenation. .
Okay, that’s it for today. Thank you for watching. See you next time.
“Foresight Quick Review” Production Team
Editor in charge: Li Hao #
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