[Micro video]”The decisive battle in the east of Ukraine” is a problem | Ukraine | Shanghai is cleared | Russia

[The Epoch Times, April 15, 2022]Hello everyone, my name is Zhao Pei.

The last few issues were mainly about Shanghai’s clearing. In this issue, let’s talk about the situation in Ukraine. On April 12, 2022, Russian President Vladimir Putin said that negotiations between Russia and Ukraine had reached an impasse and that a conflict with Ukraine was inevitable.

By the inevitable conflict Putin was referring to the Armageddon in eastern Ukraine. Russia has redeployed troops besieging Kyiv to eastern Ukraine, and satellite images from April 13 show that a large number of Russian troops are being mobilized to eastern Ukraine, with the entire convoy 13 kilometers long.

Russia also summed up its previous strategic mistakes, believing that the previous attack had too many directions, and the various units lacked a unified command, so it appointed General Alexander Dvornikov, commander of the Russian Southern Military District, to take over the entire Ukraine war.

Our “Micro Video” said before that Russia’s 200,000 troops are not enough to destroy Ukraine. Now the Russian Ministry of Defense is also aware of this problem, so 135,000 recruits have been recruited nationwide. These recruits cannot be sent without training and actual combat. to the Ukrainian front, but these recruits can replace troops in other theaters, and the replaced troops will be sent to the Ukrainian front.

This series of preparations by Russia is to prepare for the decisive battle in the Donbas region, also known as the decisive battle in eastern Ukraine. The Mariupol offensive and defensive battle is the outpost of the decisive battle in the east of Ukraine. Mariupol is a key city connecting Crimea and Donbass. After Russia takes Mariupol, it can connect Crimea and Donbass theaters together. If it wins Odessa, Ukraine has completely lost access to the sea.

These military actions by Russia are to lure the main Ukrainian forces to come out for the main decisive battle in the east. This main decisive battle is the charge of infantry to infantry and tanks to tanks. With Russia in control of the air, the Ukrainian army is at a disadvantage in such a large-scale decisive battle.

Ukraine’s advantage lies in space. With the support of US satellites, Ukrainian special operations teams can easily attack Russian tanks and personnel carriers with precision-guided missiles, and even shoot down Russian fighter jets. This is the victory of guerrilla warfare. Once a large-scale tank battle takes place, the advantage of the special combat team is completely wiped out by the advantage of the number of tanks.

The Ukrainian Ministry of Defense is well aware of this contrast of advantages and disadvantages. When Mariupol was besieged by the superior Russian army, Ukraine did not dispatch the main rescue. Even if Mariupol is captured, the Ukrainian army will lose three brigades, but the main force of Ukraine’s 60 brigades is still intact.

Ukraine is also training new recruits in Poland with Anglo-American aid. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s response to the decisive battle in eastern and southern Ukraine was, “We’re not sure how much force Russia will send, but as far as we know, it will be several times more. It will depend on how fast the U.S. can do. Provide aid. Honestly, it depends on whether Ukraine survives.”

Ukraine is also evaluating the timing of the decisive battle in the east of Ukraine. The main force of Ukraine will form a convoy of more than 10 kilometers from the west to the decisive battle in the east. This convoy will be completely wiped out by the superior Russian air force if it is not careful. Therefore, the timing of the decisive battle It is especially important for both parties that it is precisely because of the wrong timing that Ukraine did not rescue Mariupol.

Ukraine and Russia are like two heavyweight fighters, who will not strike out without seeing a good opportunity. There is a possibility that after the occupation of Mariupol, Russia will not continue to attack. At the same time, Ukraine will not take action rashly, and the main decisive battle between the two sides will not be carried out. Has the two sides ceased fire in essence without a peace agreement? This is just a guess, let us wait and see how the future war situation will be.

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“Zhao Pei Micro Video” Production Team

Responsible editor: Li Hao#