[EpochTimesOctober092021](The Epoch Times reporters Luo Ya and Zhao Fenghua interviewed and reported) U.S. National Security Adviser Sullivan and the Chinese Communist Party’s top diplomat Yang Jiechi met behind closed doors in Switzerland on Wednesday. It was reported that US President Biden He and Chinese Communist Party General Secretary Xi Jinping agreed in principle to hold a video conference before the end of the year. A few days ago, experts on international issues accepted an interview with Epoch Times reporters to interpret the direction of US-China relations after the “Sayang Conference”.
Professor Feng Chongyi: US strategy has not changed the situation of CCP’s misjudgment
In an interview with Epoch Times, Feng Chongyi, associate professor of China Studies at the University of Technology Sydney, Australia, said that the United States has not changed the strategic framework of the Chinese Communist Party.
Professor Feng Chongyi said: “After Biden came up, he repeatedly reiterated that his strategy for China is cooperation in cooperation, competition in competition, and confrontation in confrontation. The meeting between Yang Jiechi and Sullivan did not change this framework.”
“Because they want to cooperate, one is environmental protection, the other is ending the new crown virus (Chinese Communist virus). The competition is mainly about economic and military aspects. Then, Hong Kong, Xinjiang, and Taiwan are issues of human rights and democracy. He wants to fight.”
“Whether it is negotiation or direct communication, it just wants to manage differences through negotiation or diplomatic means, instead of continuing to move forward. This is the United States‘ own interpretation, that is, it is a selective decoupling, which is only beneficial. Continue to communicate and cooperate wherever possible.”
Professor Feng Chongyi believes that the CCP misjudged that Biden “not seeking a cold war” was a show of weakness to the CCP.
He said: “But China (the Chinese Communist Party) uses Biden to show it, especially when he said in his speech at the United Nations that we are not seeking a new Cold War. This is on the Chinese Communist Party’s side, and its interpretation is Biden. Shows weakness, you don’t want to fight, do you? Then I will pretend to fight on this premise. For example, I will act as if I’m going to commit a crime by force.”
Professor Feng Chongyi believes that the resumption of the high-level talks between the United States and China is the face of the United States to the CCP.
He said: “Then the Biden administration does not want to confront, and does not want to go to war with China (the CCP) at this time. If you do not go to war, then you have to benefit me. So the meeting (Sha Yang) in Europe is at least on the diplomatic level. In the above, it is to give face to the CCP, that is, to resume their meetings directly with high-level officials.”
Professor Feng Chongyi said that the CCP used the “Sha Yang Hui” to promote nationalism and advocate the CCP’s strength.
“China is at least very helpful to its internal propaganda. You see that the United States has begged me for mercy, and the United States has subdued. It will come back. It will face Xi Jinping, who praised him at home, to make China strong, and we are strong. Even if Meng Wanzhou goes back, it is the same. It is the same tone, that is, any US weakness, or any slight concession, regards it as a victory for Xi Jinping and the CCP, and regards it as a strong CCP. .”
“This is its most important goal, and it counts as much as you can get for specific economic goals.” He said, “But the most important thing is to use this method to give the Chinese people, especially these simple-minded people. The pinks, fighting against nationalism and this kind of support for the government is the most important thing for them to consolidate the regime.”
Taiwan think tank Dong Siqi: The international community urges the CCP to fulfill its promises
In an interview with Epoch Times a few days ago, the deputy chief executive of Taiwan’s think tank said that the background of the “Sayang” talks was that the risk of conflict between the United States and China was increasing, and the results of the negotiations at the meeting seemed limited.
Dong Siqi said, “Consensus is that we must communicate and then hope to reduce conflicts. At the same time, we should not undermine some existing regulations or rules.”
“Everyone hopes that China (the CCP) can be more in line with international principles. Democracies hope to use international forces to substantively regulate the behavior of China (the CCP).” He said, “After such communication between China and the United States, then China ( The CCP’s original act of disrupting Taiwan stopped. That’s obvious.”
Dong Siqi mentioned that in the first phase of the trade agreement between the United States and China, the CCP has not fulfilled its promises. “Before proposing new promises, China must first resolve old promises and old problems.”
Regarding the recent response to the CCP’s threat from the League of Democracies, Dong Siqi believes that apart from the alliance of democracies with the same values, what kind of institutional system can truly implement communication with China is more important.
He emphasized: “China (the CCP) has joined a lot of international organizations in the past and has given a lot of international commitments. However, many of these commitments have not been realized in fact.”
“After the high-level meeting, the next step is how to give China a chance to fulfill his promise through more pragmatic negotiations. I think this is the best way to avoid war.”
International Relations Expert Zheng Qinmo: Dialogue on Risk Management and Control to Avoid Misfire
Cheng Qinmo, director of the Department of Diplomacy and International Relations at Tamkang University in Taiwan, said in an interview with Epoch Times that the focus of the US-China high-level talks is to manage the risk of military conflicts.
Zheng Qinmo said: “The focus of the US side at this meeting should be on risk control, that is, to avoid possible military conflicts caused by competition between the United States and China. This can be confirmed by the US speech after the meeting. China hopes to reiterate through the meeting. My own bottom line, I hope that through cooperation in climate, environmental protection, and trade, the United States can exchange respect for China’s bottom line.”
Zheng Qinmo believes that the United States and China do not want to have military conflicts, and the talks are to avoid wiping out guns.
He said: “The U.S. and China have their own domestic issues to resolve. Xi Jinping has a political struggle to break conventions to seek re-election, while Biden has a negative image of immigration, the epidemic, and the withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan. The two sides do not hope that higher and higher confrontations will result. Wiping the gun and getting out of the fire, so that they can calmly deal with domestic problems.”
Zheng Qinmo believes that this meeting should not change the structure of current international relations, nor will it restart US-China relations. It may only be a dialogue between the confronting parties to manage and control risks.
Editor in charge: Hu Yulong#
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