Taiwan Legislative President You Xikun recently mentioned in a video speech that the Yunfeng missile developed by Taiwan can already hit Beijing, and China must think twice before invading Taiwan. The remarks sparked heated debate. You Xikun later emphasized that he advocated peace and happiness. The blue-green legislators believe that facing the threat of China’s military unification of Taiwan, Taiwan must strengthen weapons research and development. China’s Taiwan Affairs Office responded that if Taiwan dares to “hit the stone with an egg, it will accelerate its demise.”
You Xikun gave a video speech on the Taiwan Overseas Network on the 12th with the title “The will to defend is a good way to protect Taiwan – the revelation of the Ukrainian-Russian war”. He mentioned that the CCP is pursuing global hegemony, and the nature of aggression has not changed. Taiwan should not think that China will not launch war. Don’t rely on the enemy not coming, you must be prepared. Global democracies should help Taiwan in defense, and must have a “strategic clarity” to let China know that attacking Taiwan is an enemy of the United States, Japan, Australia, India and other countries.
You Xikun mentioned that in 2022, in the world‘s military rankings, it will be very difficult for Russia, which ranks second, to beat Ukraine, which ranks 22. It is not so easy for China, which ranks third, to beat Taiwan, which ranks 21. Taiwan’s defense advantage is the natural danger of the Strait. When he was the chief executive before, Taiwan’s strategy was to fight abroad. Now it is impossible to fight abroad. When the People’s Liberation Army wants to cross the Taiwan Strait, Taiwan will first sink it with anti-ship missiles and Xiongsan missiles, and then land on the beachhead. If the landing is successful, everyone must be as determined as the Ukrainian people to repel the enemy army and never allow China to swallow Taiwan.
Referring to Taiwan’s defense capabilities, You Xikun pointed out that in July 2016, Kaohsiung Zuoying Base accidentally fired the Xiongsan missile and hit a fishing boat in Penghu.
You Xikun: Seeking peace and mutual non-aggression, Taiwan does not want to counterattack the mainland
In addition to Yusan, You Xikun said: “When I was the chief executive, I knew a little that the Yunfeng missile has been mass-produced. I know part of it, but I can’t say it. According to media reports, it is already possible to attack Beijing. What is this? It is not for war, not for Invading China, we are not like Chiang Kai-shek who want to counterattack the mainland, no, China is China, Taiwan is Taiwan, non-aggression, Taiwan will not attack Beijing, Shanghai, the Three Gorges, but if we have this ability, if China wants to attack Taiwan, we must consider it well. Ability to hit Beijing.”
You Xikun emphasized that there is a proverb that says, “A deer and a dog will pant if they die.” Eight hundred enemies are injured, and one thousand is self-injured. Taiwan has excellent weapons, and the Ukrainian anti-Russian army has both stinger and javelin missiles in Taiwan. China needs to ask itself: Is it cost-effective to fight Taiwan? It will exhaust the national strength. “The CCP leadership, please think twice, Taiwan is not so easy to get.”
However, You Xikun pointed out that Taiwan’s will to defend itself is often questioned, with insufficient recruiting troops, too short service periods, divergent national identities, and blue-green conflict. Taiwan cannot rely on others. If it does not have the will to defend itself, no matter how sophisticated its weapons and armaments and the natural dangers in the Strait are useless. The most important revelation of the Ukrainian-Russian war is “self-help and human assistance”. President Zelensky did not accept exile and led the people to resist, and the world‘s assistance was endless.
Chinese Defense Minister Wei Fenghe made a speech at the Shangri-La Dialogue on the 12th, and when he met with US Secretary of Defense Austin on the 10th, he threatened twice that if anyone dared to split Taiwan, the People’s Liberation Army would not hesitate to fight.
Kuomintang legislator Jiang Qichen posted on his Facebook tag “Yunfeng Missiles should not be talked about”, calling on the Tsai government not to ignore the bitter words of the opposition parties for political interests, and to establish a dialogue, communication and mutual trust mechanism between the two sides of the strait to replace confrontation.
You Xikun clarified in an interview on the 14th that in his video speech, he mainly emphasized that “peace” will bring happiness. The Yunfeng missile information was based on media reports. He did not participate in national security, and did not talk about the mass production of Yunfeng missiles.
The Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council approves the tour: hitting the stone with an egg
Ma Xiaoguang, a spokesman for the Taiwan Affairs Office of the Mainland of China, responded on the 15th that there is an old saying in China: “If the sky wants to die, it will make him mad”, “The rhetoric of ‘Taiwan independence’ diehards like You Xikun has once again exposed their maddened nature. If you dare to hit a stone with an egg, your death will be hastened.”
In this regard, Wen Yuxia, a member of the Kuomintang legislature, expressed the hope that the two sides of the strait will not use words to intensify each other and deepen the confrontation. “Our national defense still has to continue research and development. He can say that the missiles we developed can reach hundreds of kilometers, and the target is correct. Don’t say that I can hit your home.”
DPP legislator Lin Jingyi expressed “no comment” to Ma Xiaoguang’s remarks, emphasizing that Taiwan will not be provocative, and the international community believes that China and Russia have caused regional tension and damage to the status quo, which will only stimulate more cooperation among Taiwan’s friendly countries.
Taiwan’s representative to Japan, Hsieh Chang-ting, also said on Facebook that if Taiwan is attacked, it is impossible to stand by. There is no winner in the war. Once China starts the war, many countries may be waiting or taking the opportunity to accelerate its collapse or weakening. China’s so-called building and efforts to enter a moderately prosperous society will bring everything to zero. Don’t easily destroy peace. This is the positive meaning of the recent topic of “Yunfeng” missiles.
Can the Yunfeng missile hit Beijing? The blue and green legislators remained tight-lipped. Jie Zhong, a researcher of the China Strategic Foresight Association, was interviewed and analyzed by Radio Free Asia. According to media reports, Yunfeng has a longer range than Yuuji E, and can reach Beijing in a straight line distance. Its flight speed is faster than that of subsonic Yuuji E. are classified as confidential. As for mass production? How far is the range? How fast? Neither has been made public. This time Russia used a similar supersonic long-range cruise missile to launch an attack on Ukraine.
Jie Zhong said: “Even if it can hit Shanghai or Beijing, Yunfeng is carrying a traditional warhead, not a nuclear warhead, and it is impossible for Taiwan to deploy too many. It is necessary to rely on Yunfeng missiles to retaliate against big cities, causing the CCP to suffer heavy losses. Possibly. On the contrary, if we really deploy the Yunfeng missile, we should take advantage of its long range and difficult to intercept air defense system to allow it to attack more important Chinese mainland military targets that are far away from Taiwan in order to exert its benefits. “
Military experts: Yuuji E in service can threaten the Central Theater
Jie Zhong mentioned that the Xiongfeng 2E cruise missile developed by Taiwan has a range of nearly 1,000 kilometers and a quantity of about 200 to 300. It should be able to reach Shanghai from a simple straight-line distance, but in order to avoid interception in actual combat, theoretically The path design will turn to a large scale, so it is difficult to reach Shanghai. However, in the central theater of China and the eastern theater outside the central and northern Jiangsu, Taiwan’s extended-range Yuji E should be attacked, but from the number and traditional warhead types, don’t imagine that it can attack big cities such as Shanghai, but select important military It is more practical to target, attack at the source, delay its combat plan, and buy enough time for the country to defend itself.
Taiwanese military expert Chen Guoming said in an interview with Radio Free Asia that the Chinese Academy of Sciences in Taiwan has developed extended-range supersonic cruise missiles and ballistic missiles, codenamed “Yunfeng” and “Jifeng” missiles, which the Chinese Academy of Sciences denied and kept secret. According to media reports, Yunfeng has an effective range of up to 1,200 kilometers, and it can reach Beijing and Shanghai. There is nothing wrong with saying it from the dean’s mouth, which can be regarded as official announcement and official confirmation. It’s unclear whether there will be mass production.
Chen Guoming also analyzed that due to the small number and characteristics of Yunfeng missiles, the CCP will also intercept them. It is not as effective to use them to attack political targets as to attack military targets, such as the first-line airports and ports along the coast of Fujian and Zhejiang.
Taiwanese scholar Lai Yueqian pointed out in a political commentary program that the Yunfeng missile is guided by GPS, and Taiwan can only rely on US satellites. Once a war breaks out between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, the United States is likely to directly turn off the GPS, so that the missile cannot be launched.
In this regard, Chen Guoming mentioned that avoiding the escalation of the war did happen. In 1998, when the Sino-Indian border was shelled, India used the US GPS-guided artillery shells to find that they were inaccurate and became very angry, so they developed their own GPS satellite positioning system.
Jie Zhong believes that the GPS problem is not that serious. The military can set the attack coordinates and regional paths in advance to achieve the attack effect. If the US military turns off the GPS, the long-range weapons will be useless. He does not believe that the US military will turn off the GPS during wartime. .
Chen Guoming pointed out that China is also strengthening the development and testing of new weapons, forming an arms race. China’s tough tactics will only arouse Taiwan’s greater determination to become independent. Regardless of blue, green or white, it is not good for China for a long time. It is suggested that China abandon its strategy of military unification against Taiwan.
Radio Free Asia reporter Xia Xiaohua, editor-in-chief of Taipei reporting, Xu Shuting, Chen Meihua, and Qingqing.com editor: Ruizhe