Original title: Canadian elections usher in voting day, whether Trudeau can be re-elected as prime minister or not. Source: Chinanews.com
The election for the 44th House of Representatives in Canada will mark polling day on September 20. The leader of the winning party will become the new Prime Minister of Canada. Judging from the current election situation, there is still suspense whether Justin Trudeau can be re-elected as Prime Minister of Canada.
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau asked Governor Mary Simon to dissolve the Congress on August 15 and was approved to initiate the general election ahead of schedule, with the intention of changing the ruling state of a minority government that has been maintained for nearly two years. Trudeau’s campaign period for this election is 36 days as the minimum period stipulated by law.
During the election campaign, the leaders of the major political parties conducted three live televised debates, of which the first two were conducted in French. The main topics of debate include response to the new crown epidemic, economic restart, climate issues, housing and medical insurance and other livelihood issues, aboriginal issues, and diplomatic issues including China policy.
According to statistics from major Canadian polling agencies, the two largest political parties in Canada, the Liberal Party led by Trudeau and the Conservative Party led by O’Toole, have always been in the lead in public support since entering the election period. In the past five weeks, the popularity of the two parties has fluctuated, and the support of the Liberal Party was surpassed by the Conservative Party.
The investigation showed that Trudeau’s move to launch a general election during the epidemic has received more criticism from the public. At the end of the election period, the two major parties, the Liberal Party and the Conservative Party, had a stalemate in their elections, each with a support rate of about 30%. The Liberal Party took a slight lead with a small advantage.
From a geographical perspective, the Liberal Party and the Conservative Party have superior support in the eastern and western provinces of Canada respectively. Among them, in Ontario and Quebec, the Liberal Party leads in public support. Among the 338 seats in the House of Representatives, Ontario and Quebec each have 121 seats and 78 seats, with the largest weight.
However, various polls also show that no matter whether the Liberal Party or the Conservative Party wins the election, it is difficult to win more than half of the seats in the House of Representatives, that is, 170 seats. This means that Canada is likely to usher in another minority government.
According to statistics from the Canadian Election Commission, a record nearly 5.8 million voters participated in the early voting. In addition, more than 1 million voters voted by mail, but these votes will not be counted until September 21 to prevent repeated voting. Therefore, the results of the general election may not be released on the night of polling day on September 20.
Statistics in 2019 show that there are 27.37 million voters in Canada’s total population of 35.15 million. The turnout rate in the October 2019 general election was 67%.
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